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First weekend of Feb storm


Ian

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NAM probably heading for a bigger event...more amplified vs 12z BUT..warmer too...

we need as much energy as possible at 500 to get us dynamics or it should be rain until well nw.

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hpc was acting like the gfs was on its own but the euro has been trending that direction for a while and today's euro was pretty wet. if 500 is too strung out it could certainly go east more than into us but with the setup i have a hard time seeing it totally miss us.

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500 goes south of us and seems to wrap up in the good spot unless I am reading it incorrectly.

it's ok for now. i'd like to see it get more consolidated soon. we need super dynamics imo.

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A 200HR rainstorm on the 18Z GFS tends to not generate much interest.

What happened to all that talk about let's get a storm first and worry about the temperatures later? Looks like we aren't that far from the 0 line and there is bitter cold that comes in afterwards. Wasn't this the first run to show rain? arrowheadsmiley.png

Guess it is showing up more as a Feb 8th event now.

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