Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 1004 low over se va 6z SAT... 850 0c back to MRB then down the wv/va border. This threat seems to be gaining traction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 runs the low right up the coastline into sne. trixieville (or just west) does OK it seems. everyone back to central WV over .5" in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 runs the low right up the coastline into sne. trixieville (or just west) does OK it seems. everyone back to central WV over .5" in the area. Does SNE somehow manage to gets a MECS with the low over ORH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 3 rain storms on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Good to see things back to normal in RIC. you wil be in the same boat if this run verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 late next week looks interesting for se va if the low is a little more nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 late next week looks interesting for se va if the low is a little more nw. i think it has potential. the euro mid-long range is not doing that well right now imo. if nothing else it completely seems to have screwed up the weekend possibility until the last run. the gfs implies something of interest especially if the h5 consolidates a bit. it might be another thread the needle thing but it looks more interesting than the midweek storm at this pt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 i think it has potential. the euro mid-long range is not doing that well right now imo. if nothing else it completely seems to have screwed up the weekend possibility until the last run. the gfs implies something of interest especially if the h5 consolidates a bit. it might be another thread the needle thing but it looks more interesting than the midweek storm at this pt. at least the early week storm will be 50 and rain and not 36 and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Jma has the storm too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 The 84 hr nam has lot of energy lagging behind so the weekend threat still looks like its worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 The 84 hr nam has lot of energy lagging behind so the weekend threat still looks like its worth watching. That it does. Also, the western ridge is slowly migrating east to a better position. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 The 84 hr nam has lot of energy lagging behind so the weekend threat still looks like its worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 18z DGEX has a snowstorm for you guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 18z DGEX has a snowstorm for you guys whydya' have to go and wreck it for us, huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Euro ensembles are colder than the operational run for next weekend's threat and the following week. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 OT: what's that area of precip centered over IL all about? models don't seem to have that depicted very well http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 i split mitch's midweek stuff to a new thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 18z DGEX has a snowstorm for you guys As bad as the DGEX usually is, it made a stellar call for the Feb 6 HECS last year. This was from Jan 30 last year. At the time, people laughed at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 As bad as the DGEX usually it, it made a stellar call for the Feb 6 HECS last year. This was from Jan 30 last year. wow, that is pretty much dead-on. amazing how it nailed the cut-off just south of NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 the dgex might have sniffed it out yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 This needs Ji's blessing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 This needs Ji's blessing. If this storm goes well, it shall be named the Reagan Centennial storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 18z gfs still showing potential but keeping the trough pretty stretched out.. also a pretty hefty vort right on its tail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 This threat is legit imo. Details aside at this time, all models are starting to show a storm moving up the east coast, varying from a low hugging the coast tightly (12z euro) to a low that just barely gets precip back to the coast (18z gfs). This imo at least has more cold air to work with than the last system we had. Still no blocking for it though. Where ever it tracks it will move fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Game Time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 0z GFS so close for next weekend. Actually gets some precip into VA and MD, but the bulk of precip is OTS. Still, not bad for this time frame. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Game Time Looks promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 He** Yeah! Little something something brewing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 00Z GFS looks very threatening for the weekend event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Looking good. At least we can forget about the midweek mess, and worry about this more promising mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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