ineedsnow Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 i could def see that happening Either way were screwed lol...we either get a good 1-2' of snow region wide or we see a solid 4-8'' of snow (more for northern sections) with a potentially significant icing event. I wonder if the state of CT shuts down at all during this event if it occurs to it's potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Far NNE climbing the railings of the Golden Gate bridge. I won't laugh at that though because then 00z will come in giving NYC all snow. I bet the NAM comes N and the GFS stays pretty much the same. Euro ens probably a decent place to hedge. Really can't wait to see how juicy they come in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 If you take off your shoes you always will. Thank you, thank you ... I'll be here all week. Don't forget to tip your waitress. :snowman: Just don't steal cake... I love this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 If you take off your shoes you always will. Thank you, thank you ... I'll be here all week. Don't forget to tip your waitress. :snowman: haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 This winter just amazes me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Just wanted to pop in and say congrats. You guys are having a truly historic winter, probably equal to mine last year relative to departure from climo/averages. We've had some amazing storms on the EC over the past few years. Long way to go with this Phin, but thanks man. Lots up in the air still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I can't believe there is the potential for a major Nor Easter next weekend too..wow. This is going to be one to remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Could happen. I wouldn't much like getting 6" while Kev rips another 25". lol But it could happen. just to soothe your fears the RGEM extrapolated would be further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 i have a feeling 95/96 isnt going to be bdl's snowiest winter for long! This winter just amazes me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 lol....6-12 D6 I have to make a little bit of a serious note here for every body here in SNE. This week could be potential epic and of couse DANGEROUS. Houses will colapse with this. IF and I mean IF this week turns out to be near or historical record snow accumulation on ground this could be potentially severe. I love snow just like any body here but this couls be a problem from the Hartford to Worcester to Boston area situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Verbatim, state of emergency for MA CT RI ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Long way to go with this Phin, but thanks man. Lots up in the air still. Where are you guys in relation to averages up there? Last winter, I had about 4 - 4.5 times my average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawnmov Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 At this point, there's probably snow mounds sticking around until Memorial Day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I have to make a little bit of a serious note here for every body here in SNE. This week could be potential epic and of couse DANGEROUS. Houses will colapse with this. IF and I mean IF this week turns out to be near or historical record snow accumulation on ground this could be potentially severe. I love snow just like any body here but this couls be a problem from the Hartford to Worcester to Boston area situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 The Euro was at least close to being correct here (and I'd say the same for Burlington) it had the timing and QPF fairly accurate from what I saw I posted the maps at the end of that storm thread. The 72 hour euro surface prog was off by maybe 200 miles The gfs at 18z is slower with the ejecting s/w at 60 and further sw with the 2nd digging down the Rockies. My bet is the nam has the right idea but as always is probably too extreme Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Verbatim, state of emergency for MA CT RI ... I would not be shocked if it inches north at 18z. Long way to go, but you see how a slight shift here and there means a lot to our sensible wx! I still think the PV position is key. Get is slightly south and not have it shift west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I just told my 11 yo daughter that in my life, this is one of 2-3 winters in all of my years. She will remember this one for the rest of her life. This one ranks with 1960-61, 1993-94, and 1995-96. The other great ones are just a notch below. The way we're going, this season becomes the one to compare all others to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 At this point, there's probably snow mounds sticking around until Memorial Day! I'd be worried about flooding if one of these cutters manages to actually be rain up there with such a deep snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Where are you guys in relation to averages up there? Last winter, I had about 4 - 4.5 times my average. You can't compare to averages between DC and up here though. I'm not going to see a 280" winter to get 4x my average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 i could def see that happening You hate to use such strong wording especially being so far out but were getting crushed with something mid-week and with what we already have this is just going to be ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 no kidding. wow. Phase Shift; Shmaze shift! But then, DT always warns against taking the 18z gfs too seriously.. I think he maintains this is typically the worst run of all the gfs runs. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I'd be worried about flooding if one of these cutters manages to actually be rain up there with such a deep snowpack. with tihs much snow, the rain will just soak in like a sponge springtime could be a difeerent story once temps start rising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeVries Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 This winter just amazes me This is pretty much what happened in the mid atlantic last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Where are you guys in relation to averages up there? Last winter, I had about 4 - 4.5 times my average. Well my avg may be close to 25" so far. 43" for the season. I'm at 62.6". Parts of srn CT are probably 4.5 times there avg. Maybe close to 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 You can't compare to averages between DC and up here though. I'm not going to see a 280" winter to get 4x my average. Hmm.. maybe - ( ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Don't call me a winnie. Because this situation isn't a laughing matter. It is a serious one if it comes to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 This winter just amazes me Sounds like youre giving the nam just a bit more cred after this gfs run. Don't 0z runs today have the recon data in them? You'd have to be chucking high and low if they come in like this, no? Noyes called this evolution right after the last storm ended, he has been on a hot streak. Skeptically optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Where are you guys in relation to averages up there? Last winter, I had about 4 - 4.5 times my average. Hey Evan....thanks for the good words. BOS is now 3x climo for this point in the season and it looks like we could be about your numbers by week's end. Crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 8-14 still? With only the 18z NAM and the 18GFS on board at this point I think a Final call of 8-14" is still prudent. If the models continue this theme tomorrow then I will amend my final call with a Final final call to reflect an upward bump in totals. If need be I will pull the 24-36" card and chuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 You can't compare to averages between DC and up here though. I'm not going to see a 280" winter to get 4x my average. One fifty not off the table tho and that would be double Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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