JulieRI Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Gutters and downspouts are somewhat free flowing now - we bought three bags used almost one so we have two on standby we have a manufactured home so there isn't much pitch to the roof - you made our day! It works wonders... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Wow.... >1" QPF / 6 hr.... All snow, and right under one heck of a pressure gradient. That's 6 hours of >2 in/hr white out conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Let's lock it. First wave pulls down cold renewal for 2nd.... there's ongoing ll caa from the nne into the day on wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Much slower with round 2...no measureable precip from 18z to 12z weds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I'm going to a family event 3/20 in Chicago. Let's repeat it then. My sister moved out to Chicago last January. Since then, they've been under multiple tornado warnings, and now this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 NAM this run is way colder with wave 2. 72 hours H85 line is south of all points in New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 NAM this run is way colder with wave 2. 72 hours H85 line is south of all points in New England. 18z nam vs all other guidance...hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 18z NAM is off it's rocker. Not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 NAM this run is way colder with wave 2. 72 hours H85 line is south of all points in New England. That would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Wow the 12z NAM is a nasty ice storm for HFD... gets 800mb temps to +5c at HFD with sub freezing temps at the sfc. Ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Well there's at least one person not surprised with the turn colder and snowier..Should see other guidance follow suit tonight/tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Gutters and downspouts are somewhat free flowing now - we bought three bags used almost one so we have two on standby we have a manufactured home so there isn't much pitch to the roof - you made our day! Glad i was able to help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 18Z NAM: Very little of anything else for NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Wow the 12z NAM is a nasty ice storm for HFD... gets 800mb temps to +5c at HFD with sub freezing temps at the sfc. Ouch. lol...almost getting too warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Well there's at least one person not surprised with the turn colder and snowier..Should see other guidance follow suit tonight/tomorrow I thought you said the NAM and GFS shouldn't even be looked at by any meteorologist because they make forecasts worse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Some funky 18z runs lately. Yeah...totally different from any other NAM run and other 12z guidance. I probably get NNE's better frontogenesis/deform snows on this run so I'd make up for QPF loss with better ratios. This run will probably burn far NNE though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 lol...almost getting too warm lol yeah and then it's -3c in the boundary layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I thought you said the NAM and GFS shouldn't even be looked at by any meteorologist because they make forecasts worse? I did..when they don't make sense..but when they make sense meteorlogically like the 18z NAM does then you should...GFS remains to be seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Verbatim for me 4-8 Tues, 6-12 Wed. lalalalalalock it. If that doesn't work...lalalalalalick it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I thought you said the NAM and GFS shouldn't even be looked at by any meteorologist because they make forecasts worse? Ryan that's only if the trend is in the wrong direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Well there's at least one person not surprised with the turn colder and snowier..Should see other guidance follow suit tonight/tomorrow c'mon man. its the 18z nam. hasnt had a good event since jan 12. sucked the big one recently. anddd its vs. every other peice of guidance (including the srefs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I wonder if this is one of those nam runs that comes in way too cold...like we've seen in the past inside of 72h in these SW flow events and then they correct warmer again in the final 36h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 The Kevin Correction Vector is strong, cannot underestimate it when forecasting heavy heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Wait for the 00z run. The off hour runs have definitely been suffering a bit as of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I wonder if this is one of those nam runs that comes in way too cold...like we've seen in the past inside of 72h in these SW flow events and then they correct warmer again in the final 36h. Yeah we always seem to get one NAM run that brings 12" of snow to HFD/PVD only to have it yanked away by later in the night in these SWFEs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 wow...nam is not even close to mixing over the interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I wonder if this is one of those nam runs that comes in way too cold...like we've seen in the past inside of 72h in these SW flow events and then they correct warmer again in the final 36h. Happens all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I did..when they don't make sense..but when they make sense meteorlogically like the 18z NAM does then you should...GFS remains to be seen :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Sorry Kev, but this is a SW flow event in a La Nina. You are always touting the La Nina = north trend ... well here you go. I don't think you'll get much ice, but you'll have to turn up the TV to block out the pinging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Its probably a bad sign. You usually want the 18z nam to come in with the opposite outcome that you want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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