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Epic winter signal continues to beam, part II


Typhoon Tip

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The sun is starting to do it's dirty deed ..6 weeks after the lowest angle day. Today we have had very light snow all day with sun at times...half inch tops. Actual sheltered temp. hasn't been above 26. That light amount melted right off the roof of my car....nasty.

I was thinking the same thing today Rick. Even with substantial cloud cover, the increasing angle is allowing melting on the driveway in spite of the temp of 26.1. :(

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I was thinking the same thing today Rick. Even with substantial cloud cover, the increasing angle is allowing melting on the driveway in spite of the temp of 26.1. :(

On a related subject I've really noticed how much later it is light out. Used to be I'd leave work in darkness at 4:30. Now the sun has not yet set. Sadness.

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Agreed.

This storm will do a huge number on the baroclinic zone, and we'll end up with a much weaker temp gradient over the east--> weaker UL confluence, and thus we'll have to watch out with disturbances tracking from the SW. HOWEVER there is also no sign of an end to a very active, perturbed northern stream, and will help prevent any huge warm ups. The biggest "threat" may come early next week as the Pacific jet intensifies into the NW. Result? Maybe a few days 5 degrees above normal.

Then the ridge out west reintensifies, and cold air comes pouring back into the northern tier by late next week. All the while, numerous disturbances are tracking through a strengthened northern stream.

Once a negative AO is revived by week 3, all the cold air bottled up in Canada comes pouring down, and one of the disturbances riding the late season arctic blast will produce big time. We're not done with KUs this winter.

Somewhat OT I know, but keeping with the general LR theme to the thread,

Warming occurring in the upper stratosphere, and the ECMWF indicates a SSW developing over the next few days

time_pres_TEMP_ANOM_JFM_NH_2011.gif

temps.gif

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ZR no way..sleet possible but the way the Euro and ens are trending even that is questionable...I'm willing to bet you a case of brew there is no zr here

I won't bet you a case...but I'll throw in that 6-pack that I did this morning. You'll get some zr.

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