dryslot Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 How's the euro lookin for qpf in ne vt buddy? 1.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Thanks. I am sw of HFD so that's worrisome..hopefully we limit the ice accretion to < .5" Danbury could get nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Mini "torch" on the Euro d7-9/10. Not a real torch...just maybe 5F above normal for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 What's funny? That map only covers 24 hours. This is at least a 36 hour storm for everyone. There will be a huge swath of 12+, and a decent stripe of 18" amounts across much of the northern tier, with a stripe of damaging ice accumulations just to the south. Strong winds will create blizzard and near blizzard conditions further west. This obviously won't compete with some of the historic monsters, but it could be up there near the list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Just hope that s/w doesn't trend stronger. If it stays status quo, I could see everything tucked south another 20 miles or so. Do ens. show this as a valid concern? "what would it take for this to happen?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Do ens. show this as a valid concern? "what would it take for this to happen?" Ensembles are cold, which makes me want to lean colder, but I'll wait to see how the 12z ensembles look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 You're scaring me...lol. I mentioned to people yesterday at the GTG. I have a flat roof, house is 130 years old. No way am I going up there to risk my life. It's seen snowpack before. But leaks are certainly possible. You should have a real bigger concern with that flat roof... Get someone up there to unload some of that off of there, I would say you are a real good candidate for leaks at the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 What's funny? That map only covers 24 hours. This is at least a 36 hour storm for everyone. There will be a huge swath of 12+, and a decent stripe of 18" amounts across much of the northern tier, with a stripe of damaging ice accumulations just to the south. Strong winds will create blizzard and near blizzard conditions further west. This obviously won't compete with some of the historic monsters, but it could be up there near the list. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 What about here on the Euro? ...20 miles wnw of KALB (due west of MA/VT border for reference) How does it look in terms of snow versus sleet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Just hope that s/w doesn't trend stronger. If it stays status quo, I could see everything tucked south another 20 miles or so. It could actually trend strong enough that it wraps far enough W that we see more snow too...kind of some weird possibilities with this one. That kind of happened in 12/16/07...which is why Binghamton and Watertown NY got less snow than BOS. I personally think its going to end up a bit on the colder side. Regardless of what extremely minor trends we've seen today. We were talking at the GTG yesterday (esp Phil and I) about how we seem to have become overly married to the models and its been showing this winter. Almost a sort of "too much information" syndrome. We sometimes mistake little bumps in the models for meaningful trends and we see congrats or rafter posts because of it. Something like Jerry said is simple but may have a lot of merit...big high up there...BOS doesn't usually see prolonged sleet storms...probably will stay either snow for longer or trend warmer and a period of rain...that combo would make me lean toward snow with the high in a great spot. But who knows, this might be the exception. Still a lot of time left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Lots of melting beyond d6-7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I know this is kinda OT...but how 'bout St. Louis? 1-1.5" of ice? Ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 You're scaring me...lol. I mentioned to people yesterday at the GTG. I have a flat roof, house is 130 years old. No way am I going up there to risk my life. It's seen snowpack before. But leaks are certainly possible. I dunno, it seems brookline has seen a decent bit of melting on roofs from the mini 2-3 day mid 30s torch, we def have a lot less snow than someone like kevin or ray and others out in the colder burbs. I keep seeing dump trucks carrying snow out all the time - they cleared it out from washington sq too. Anyone know where their giant snow field is that they're dumping it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 Lots of melting beyond d6-7. yes, the overnight teleconnectors have recharged the major thaw idea a bit - have to see if this is consistent but ...the snap shot appeal off last night's run would whip-lash season the other direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Thankfully the Euro isn't very good in that range. Lots of melting beyond d6-7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 You should have a real bigger concern with that flat roof... Get someone up there to unload some of that off of there, I would say you are a real good candidate for leaks at the least. It may be too late. But we're calling someone to see if it can happen. Not sure as tomorrow's the only window. In years with this much snow, I've had leaks but we have replaced the roof since as it was old......I'm sure it won't fail structurally...it hasn't in those 130 years and it has seen its share of snow in that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Well people are tossing numbers around for north and south of the pike, but not so much for BOS. Just curious is all. Wish I could learn to read the models myself. I've learned a lot on these threads. Dude, you gotta lay off on the "how much for Boston?" posts every few hours. People will start making forecasts then there is enough clarity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 It could actually trend strong enough that it wraps far enough W that we see more snow too...kind of some weird possibilities with this one. That kind of happened in 12/16/07...which is why Binghamton and Watertown NY got less snow than BOS. I personally think its going to end up a bit on the colder side. Regardless of what extremely minor trends we've seen today. We were talking at the GTG yesterday (esp Phil and I) about how we seem to have become overly married to the models and its been showing this winter. Almost a sort of "too much information" syndrome. We sometimes mistake little bumps in the models for meaningful trends and we see congrats or rafter posts because of it. Something like Jerry said is simple but may have a lot of merit...big high up there...BOS doesn't usually see prolonged sleet storms...probably will stay either snow for longer or trend warmer and a period of rain...that combo would make me lean toward snow with the high in a great spot. But who knows, this might be the exception. Still a lot of time left. Great points, esp the second paragraph What about the idea of SWFE coming in a little sooner that was mentioned yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I dunno, it seems brookline has seen a decent bit of melting on roofs from the mini 2-3 day mid 30s torch, we def have a lot less snow than someone like kevin or ray and others out in the colder burbs. I keep seeing dump trucks carrying snow out all the time - they cleared it out from washington sq too. Anyone know where their giant snow field is that they're dumping it? I have feet of snow in my yard. It hasn't been above the mid 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Jerry - didn't you have a rule that if Chicago gets heavy snow, BOS will not? Seems like this storm may be one of the rare exceptions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 What's funny? That map only covers 24 hours. This is at least a 36 hour storm for everyone. There will be a huge swath of 12+, and a decent stripe of 18" amounts across much of the northern tier, with a stripe of damaging ice accumulations just to the south. Strong winds will create blizzard and near blizzard conditions further west. This obviously won't compete with some of the historic monsters, but it could be up there near the list. I wanted to express excitement/agreement. didn't realize that was "lmao" til now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Thanks to Dryslot. Roof clearing guy coming tomorrow...easy and at $85, well worth it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Just hope that s/w doesn't trend stronger. If it stays status quo, I could see everything tucked south another 20 miles or so. No sh*t. That'll make us most of the Bay State ping away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 We had one day last week when it got close to or touched 32. Otherwise I'm not recalling any day above 32 since the New Years eve/day period. Not bad to go an entire month without thawing. I have feet of snow in my yard. It hasn't been above the mid 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Thanks to Dryslot. Roof clearing guy coming tomorrow...easy and at $85, well worth it. I discovered a friggen leak in my dining room this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 It may be too late. But we're calling someone to see if it can happen. Not sure as tomorrow's the only window. In years with this much snow, I've had leaks but we have replaced the roof since as it was old......I'm sure it won't fail structurally...it hasn't in those 130 years and it has seen its share of snow in that time. You have had some melting down that way, I would at least make sure its draining off of there and the drains are not frozen, You don't need al that water just sitting and then you end up with more hvy wet snow and sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Excellent. Thanks. Dom, I feel like we're in a pretty good position for either side of a foot Wed... depending obviously on how much mixing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Dom, I feel like we're in a pretty good position for either side of a foot Wed... depending obviously on how much mixing Seems like zero at this point. Let's hope it stays that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Jerry - didn't you have a rule that if Chicago gets heavy snow, BOS will not? Seems like this storm may be one of the rare exceptions. Hi Yaakov. The only way the rule is broken is during overrunning events with systems that can't penetrate the PV in Canada. Sometimes they phase and run west of us...more often than not in big ORD events. But this is one of the exceptions to the rule where both cities stay cold at least at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I wanted to express excitement/agreement. didn't realize that was "lmao" til now lol oh okay. sorry for jumping all over ya haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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