dryslot Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 1'' here? Your more like 1.25", Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Looks very icy for interior sw ct. Probably north and nw of HVN and BDR. Scott, is this a big time ZR threat in your eyes across inland CT or do you think we may be "saved" by sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Your more like 1.25", Excellent. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Euro is warm for d6....for some. And verbatium another snow dumping here........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Can that d6-7 low be the pattern turner....the glorified warm front that kills the cold pattern for a time? Looks possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 The "first" system is like 0.30-0.40 over SNE...but it never really stops...it just gets absorbed into the 2nd main part...just in case people were wondering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vttaconics Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 1'' here? You're solidly within the 1.25" to 1.5" contour! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 The "first" system is like 0.30-0.40 over SNE...but it never really stops...it just gets absorbed into the 2nd main part...just in case people were wondering. Man, I wish this wasn't still D3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 When it comes time to start a new thread... please no one random... TT or ETauntonMa... this is epic juju, you know what to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 You should to, I was in Construction for many years and you would be surprised the people that ended up with leaks even on fairly new roofs, Its the daming with water backing up under the shingles and when it starts and can be a nightmare.. I second that. I cleaned all my low pitch porch roofs yesterday. Main house is standing seam FTW. Git yer azz to wirk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Organizing Low should do well in the pattern over the next few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 When it comes time to start a new thread... please no one random... TT or ETauntonMa... this is epic juju, you know what to do. or money pit mike (MPM) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Can that d6-7 low be the pattern turner....the glorified warm front that kills the cold pattern for a time? Looks possible. Was just thinking that. All of the cold is 50-60N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Out of our area but blizz watches posted for chitown and surrounding areas. [/size][/font][/size][/font] Not to be too weenie but this looks to have the potential of one of the great winter storms of all time in terms of how broad of an impact it has across the entire US from the plains all the way to new england with a combo of heavy snow, heavy ice, wind, and even strong storms in the warm sector. I'd love to hear one of the weather historians put the potential in perspective in terms of another storm that has had such a broad impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Starts as snow....waiting to see the rest of the outcome...D6 that is.. is D6 Friday or Saturday? Fly to london Sunday morn... Jer, maybe we should have coffee up here on Wed instead of Peets in Brookline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 When it comes time to start a new thread... please no one random... TT or ETauntonMa... this is epic juju, you know what to do. OT but there are all kinds of candidates for our program interviewing on site this week. I hope their flights get in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 This is gonna be a tough forecast here. I'm leaning more snowy, but I def think we'll be flirting with pingers. Its interesting that most guidance now has what I was kind of describing yesterday....a period where the high fights back along with dynamics and we actually see the mid-levels cool slightly for a few hours. The insane direct flow from Maine and those thicknesses not getting over 546 is still a red flag for me on how this could go on future guidance. Yea, not a huge diff, but it should be enough to set up the sleet line at the pike, as opposed to rt 2.....my guess is the EC ens still holds it at the pike.....that is the way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 You should to, I was in Construction for many years and you would be surprised the people that ended up with leaks even on fairly new roofs, Its the daming with water backing up under the shingles and when it starts and can be a nightmare.. How's the euro lookin for qpf in ne vt buddy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 The "first" system is like 0.30-0.40 over SNE...but it never really stops...it just gets absorbed into the 2nd main part...just in case people were wondering. Inquiring minds want to know. Is this a snow to rain situation for the NY metro area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Scott, is this a big time ZR threat in your eyes across inland CT or do you think we may be "saved" by sleet? It will be for parts of inland CT..probably sw of HFD imo. It's such a touchy setup since a few more hours of sleet will put a limit to the icing. However, maybe the sleet area is pretty narrow? It's too early to determine that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 is D6 Friday or Saturday? Fly to london Sunday morn... Jer, maybe we should have coffee up here on Wed instead of Peets in Brookline. Peets or bust. I think we do ok based on climo of these events. It's very unusual for this area to have prolonged sleet. Rain yes, snow yes, sleet...well VD 07 stands out and I can't remember other events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Was just thinking that. All of the cold is 50-60N. The ensembles have this "break" as well. It comes back around 2/8 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 How's the euro lookin for qpf in ne vt buddy? read back man...you are inside the 1 inch contour. for all the imby questions, as someone who has asked many of them over the years, read a good part of the thread before you ask em. Lotta nice people on here who give out info freely and mets who give great analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I second that. I cleaned all my low pitch porch roofs yesterday. Main house is standing seam FTW. Git yer azz to wirk. You know as well, I have seen a lot of fallen ceilings and replaced sheetrock from just not getting at least the 1st 6' off the roof, I have one section of mine that has very little pitch if its a storm with wind no problem, But if there is no wind it just sits up there, Much better since i used ice&water shield up there no worrys.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Peets or bust. I think we do ok based on climo of these events. It's very unusual for this area to have prolonged sleet. Rain yes, snow yes, sleet...well VD 07 stands out and I can't remember other events. You know I'm rooting for you. You can be mostly snow and I do well so no bad wishes from up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Yea, not a huge diff, but it should be enough to set up the sleet line at the pike, as opposed to rt 2.....my guess is the EC ens still holds it at the pike.....that is the way to go. Just hope that s/w doesn't trend stronger. If it stays status quo, I could see everything tucked south another 20 miles or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 violently agree. I don't think this aspect is being discussed enough. Decided to post something similar in the main thread to see if any of the folks that track winter history can give a perspective. I guess it might be more appropriate as a post-mortem since this is still just potential but the signals are quite strong right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 You know as well, I have seen a lot of fallen ceilings and replaced sheetrock from just not getting at least the 1st 6' off the roof, I have one section of mine that has very little pitch if its a storm with wind no problem, But if there is no wind it just sits up there, Much better since i used ice&water shield up there no worrys.... You're scaring me...lol. I mentioned to people yesterday at the GTG. I have a flat roof, house is 130 years old. No way am I going up there to risk my life. It's seen snowpack before. But leaks are certainly possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 It will be for parts of inland CT..probably sw of HFD imo. It's such a touchy setup since a few more hours of sleet will put a limit to the icing. However, maybe the sleet area is pretty narrow? It's too early to determine that. Thanks. I am sw of HFD so that's worrisome..hopefully we limit the ice accretion to < .5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 read back man...you are inside the 1 inch contour. for all the imby questions, as someone who has asked many of them over the years, read a good part of the thread before you ask em. Lotta nice people on here who give out info freely and mets who give great analysis. Crap sorry on the call haven't had time. Thanks though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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