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Epic winter signal continues to beam, part II


Typhoon Tip

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I saw a some of people up on their roofs in town today. I don't get the idea that most people have a clue about how serious this week can be and aren't going to take any precautions. My house has a steep roof so 'I'm not as concerned. I think that NWS should hit this harder than they are. This is all they give in the synopsis????

PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR MIXED PRECIPITATION CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY

INTO WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVE PAST NEW

ENGLAND.

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Hopefully the Plains s/w doesn't trend stronger. That kind of did it today, but the end result wasn't as bad as one would expect...thank to the PV. Still got 60+ hours here to figure things out.

yeah not a big fan of that primary getting so strong. i liked it more when it was a strung out POS.

i'm not sure i'm going to like all 240 hours of this euro run. :lol:

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The one comforting thing for many of us (and disconcerting thing for many others) is that there seems to be a pretty well-clustered battle zone between mostly snow vs. other. Lots of grey wrt what that "other" consists of.

That said, we've had enough changes in the final 12-48 hours before systems to really feel confident in the final outcome. I'll take what I'm seeing now fwiw. Seems the best all snow areas might hope for would be a standard 10:1 with any ip mix killing ratios. With that in mind, Pete's 8" floor might be realistic for those of us south of the VT/NH line. Of course, the high end of possiiblities is pretty tasty with this.

26.6/15

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Out of our area but blizz watches posted for chitown and surrounding areas.

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Not to be too weenie but this looks to have the potential of one of the great winter storms of all time in terms of how broad of an impact it has across the entire US from the plains all the way to new england with a combo of heavy snow, heavy ice, wind, and even strong storms in the warm sector. I'd love to hear one of the weather historians put the potential in perspective in terms of another storm that has had such a broad impact.

violently agree.

I don't think this aspect is being discussed enough.

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This is gonna be a tough forecast here. I'm leaning more snowy, but I def think we'll be flirting with pingers.

Its interesting that most guidance now has what I was kind of describing yesterday....a period where the high fights back along with dynamics and we actually see the mid-levels cool slightly for a few hours. The insane direct flow from Maine and those thicknesses not getting over 546 is still a red flag for me on how this could go on future guidance.

It's a disaster to forecast for those from say ma/ct/ri border and points ne to near ASH-LWM, with the Pike being especially a difficult area. What I would like to see is the PV sit further south and deflect the s/w underneath. Or, have that primary low occlude in the OV and redevelopment occur south of sne. It looked like models were trying to do that today. I agree, and defintely think it could trend colder...obviously I'm hoping for that from a weenie and as a forecasting standpoint. I respect that cold in Quebec and Maine. My concern is that the s/w comes in just a little more stronger and that almost guarantees pingers to the Pike and probably to the NH border for a time. Just my 2 pennies anyways.

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Ok, not as much as I was expecting but nothing to sneeze at. Sounds like an expansive 1" band, too. Screw that tight gradient from last weeks storm.

Yeah, Its 1.0" from Bangor-WTVL south, North of there, .75 to Milinocket east to west, .50" above there and .25" at the crown

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There's quite a few peeps in the hood today doing theirs...

You should to, I was in Construction for many years and you would be surprised the people that ended up with leaks even on fairly new roofs, Its the daming with water backing up under the shingles and when it starts and can be a nightmare..

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