Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

Epic winter signal continues to beam, part II


Typhoon Tip

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.5k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

I don't know..I just feel real strongly about this one for some reason..I just look at the cold source and banana high config..and it just looks to me like it might try and overwhlem the midlevels as well as the surface. I could be totally wrong...but I just have this gut feeling on this one

Still think your latitude is just too far south, especially with your past history of changing over to sleet so quickly. This is definitely an event where BOS is ripping snow while you are a mixed bag. IJD-PVD-TAN probably flip to plain rain and 33-36F.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

94 analog to me

A prolonged period of snow, which started late on January 6th and became heavy around noon on the 7th into the morning of the 8th, produced snowfall totals of over one foot in the central and northern portion of the state. The National Weather Service at Bradley International Airport in Windsor Locks reported 15.4 inches, Litchfield 12 inches, and Bridgeport 7.5 inches. Snow changed to sleet and then freezing rain along the coast after an accumulation of five to seven inches. Travel was difficult and most schools were closed. The freezing rain produced one-quarter to three-quarters of an inch of glaze, with the heaviest ice accumulation in the extreme southeast. Up to 2,000 electric customers lost power around Lyme when the ice buildup resulted in downed tree limbs and power lines.

This event occurred on a Friday and Friday night. There was a lull between bouts of precip. Batch #1 produced snow all the way down to the coast all day Friday, and when precip. redeveloped Friday evening it was supposed to have been heavy snow...but it was primarily an ice event for a good chunk of SNE south of Taunton/Brockton/PVD. Boston had over 18 inches. This was one of the rare ice events all the way down to the South Coast. Even I had a good amount of ice.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Still think your latitude is just too far south, especially with your past history of changing over to sleet so quickly. This is definitely an event where BOS is ripping snow while you are a mixed bag. IJD-PVD-TAN probably flip to plain rain and 33-36F.

You might be correct about the sleet part..but I can pretty much guarantee those areas you mentioned stay below freezing..I think only the extreme south coast ever goes to rain..if they do at all

Link to comment
Share on other sites

There has been a bit of trend on the latest guidance to almost have no difference between the leading event and the main one...they are kind of getting smeared together now.

Kinda the opposite of the trend with the last storm which went from one consolidated to two-part storm. This is looking more and more like a freaking epic week of snow and winter - gotta hand it to tip on the thread title and picking up on the signal from 7 days out.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Euro verbatim has 3-6 at Boston followed by stronger snow to sleet at the height back to back end snow. I have to think the net gain will be pretty good and a pack as durable as it can get. Going to be nearly impossible moving snow/sleet around late week and it will remain non stop bitterly cold at the surface throughout.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I couldn;t do it .. I decided I'll wait and see if this indeed trends colder. If it looks like 10 inches of sleet as we get closer I'll shovel it.

Not to be the bearer of bad news--but whatever comes down is going to add to the weight. Straight rain vs. straight snow's going to have the same impact with your snowpack.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

You might be correct about the sleet part..but I can pretty much guarantee those areas you mentioned stay below freezing..I think only the extreme south coast ever goes to rain..if they do at all

12z runs thus far have come in just a nudge warmer. GFS probably gets PVD to 34 or so at the surface. This is definitely shaping up an event when NW RI sticks at 28-31 and sleet/zr while WST is in the upper 30s. 12z GFS gets BID to 45F before crashing.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...