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Epic winter signal continues to beam, part II


Typhoon Tip

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Anyone want to guess on a snow total amount for Boston/Brookline?

Or how about one of these ranges:

0-4

4-8

8-12

12+

And how much IP and/or ZR should I expect?

Dude, you gotta lay off on the "how much for Boston?" posts every few hours. People will start making forecasts then there is enough clarity.

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Growing up in the Western CT hills, the "elevated" valleys can hold on to the cold air and get pretty icy. DXR's airport for example, besides being a fantastic radiational cooling location, gets pretty icy at times.

Yeah they do, but maybe HFD is saved from some sleet. I think further sw looks pretty dam icy. I can't recall a big ice event for that part of CT, it seems like it's usually snow or rain. Did '94 have anything like that??

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Once again, NWS busting in high temps.....not to blast them and I could see the first day, but how do they not realize that whatever they were doing os NOT working....it's so predictable.....they keep calling for 32-33* highs and it's always like 36 imby.

35.:arrowhead:

They're understandably hesitant to ever buy the MET MOS although it has been trouncing the colder MAV for days now.
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Once again, NWS busting on high temps.....not to blast them and I could see the first day, but how do they not realize that whatever they were doing is NOT working....it's so predictable.....they keep calling for 32-33* highs and it's always like 36 imby.

35.:arrowhead:

I was only out for a few minutes but its amazing how warm it feels.

Heavy heavy melting, Ive lost about 6" of snow pack since Thursday-about 22" now. 35.3F

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Once again, NWS busting on high temps.....not to blast them and I could see the first day, but how do they not realize that whatever they were doing is NOT working....it's so predictable.....they keep calling for 32-33* highs and it's always like 36 imby.

35.:arrowhead:

Interesting.....you are 35, I am 32.8, BOS is 32 Noon obs. But just inland it's "torching".

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They're understandably hesitant to ever buy the MET MOS although it has been trouncing the colder MAV for days now.

MET has been very good for awhile now. During last summer's heatwaves, it cleaned MAV's clock. However during the most recent extreme cold, MAV won the battle. Maybe the colder biased model does better when the cold is real?

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Scott posted his NAM clown map...you get 5'', I get 17''. Big gradient.

Don't buy that.

I was only out for a few minutes but its amazing how warm it feels.

Heavy heavy melting, Ive lost about 6" of snow pack since Thursday-about 22" now. 35.3F

6"...really....I don't think I have lost that much...

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I mentioned the GFS had a heck of a gradient near BOS and he got about 14" on the snow maps. I don't like to use exact numbers, because they aren't meant to be taken verbatim in marginal setups. Take it FWIW,.

Thos maps are qualitatively on par with what I have thought all along....I buy it.

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I mentioned the GFS had a heck of a gradient near BOS and he got about 14" on the snow maps. I don't like to use exact numbers, because they aren't meant to be taken verbatim in marginal setups. Take it FWIW,.

YeaH talking exact snow amounts right now is a fruitless task for the most part. I mean I guess you could throw out very general numbers. Most are probably looking good for 4"+ because of that front runner appetizer...but what happens after that is very uncertain other than there's going to be a crap load of winter precip...the type is what's tough to figure out at this juncture.

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