nutmegfriar Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 SE CT probably changes to rain. Really really hard for them to get big ice. Ok, thanks very much. I agree with it being hard to get big ice. However, it used to be hard to get 12" of snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Some of those hilly areas in sw ct look awful in this setup. The valley too from HFD down to just north of HVN always seems to drain low level cold well in these setups while IJD torches to 33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLove Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Meh, I see Boston sucking for this storm. As much as I want 18", i see those numbers reserved for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 The valley too from HFD down to just north of HVN always seems to drain low level cold well in these setups while IJD torches to 33 Yeah they do, but maybe HFD is saved from some sleet. I think further sw looks pretty dam icy. I can't recall a big ice event for that part of CT, it seems like it's usually snow or rain. Did '94 have anything like that?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 HFD to OXC and over to MMK seem ground zero for ZR heaven on Wednesday lol Verbatim we go to rain on the GFS but there would be a good deal of ice before that. The NAM on the other hand locks in the cold air at the surface so it would be a lot worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Meh, I see Boston sucking for this storm. As much as I want 18", i see those numbers reserved for NNE. We'll be fine. Not every storm dumps 18". Did you finally free yourself from the rafters with the last storm?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 HFD to OXC and over to MMK seem ground zero for ZR heaven on Wednesday lol I think this could be really bad here. We were 5-10 degrees colder than forecast for much of the ice storm a couple of weeks ago. This looks colder, with more QPF, with trees and houses more snowloaded and traumatized than before. I like the idea that we don't lose our snowpack, but I'm worried this could cause some lasting damage. Is there any recent precedent for this kind of ice storm on top of this magnitude snowpack down here? If not, this could test structures in a way that hasn't been seen in decades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 All models are now shunting the precursor waa stuff more south now on Tuesday. The snow magnet of NYC and southern CT etc. may get several inches. I was surpised at this bump north for Wednesday...seems like they want to get pretty intense with the primary to the west now on this run, but the upper pattern dictates that it must squeeze under us. My bet is lowest pressure is near Cape Cod Wenesday evening. It wouldm't be suprised if the next model runs shifts south a bit again. Robust snow numbers in MEX for many. BOS has 2, 4, and 8. Some have 4,6,8 further NW. But even down to the Cape there is a decent snow signal latter part of the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 What a great week coming, and remarkable agreement with the models for my area, which is nice for a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLove Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 We'll be fine. Not every storm dumps 18". Did you finally free yourself from the rafters with the last storm?? oh dear. last storm had me going crazy. I literally thought we were going to ping for the entire storm and was very surprised when I woke up in the morning to 10-12". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Nam gets this started up here around noon Tues...gives us a couple of inches into Tues eve and then light snow over night. cranks it up after 12z Wed, with the peak likely between 15z and 0z Thursday. Similar timing at ORH and maybe 3-6 hours earlier at DXR. GFS giving similar timing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Nam gets this started up here around noon Tues...gives us a couple of inches into Tues eve and then light snow over night. cranks it up after 12z Wed, with the peak likely between 15z and 0z Thursday. Similar timing at ORH and maybe 3-6 hours earlier at DXR. GFS giving similar timing? Looks like a nice 12-15'' event on the GFS. Snow in the air for 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Looks like a nice 12-15'' event on the GFS. Snow in the air for 2 days. Heavy interest in what the Doc is prescribing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 33.2\22 I'm sick of the "warmth". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Heavy interest in what the Doc is prescribing. Our neighbor up north is extremely juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Heavy interest in what the Doc is prescribing. Yes yes, want to get through these 12zs in good shape. you see GFS ensembles yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Yeah....the GGEM is warm. It's out on ewall...0C H85 up to MA/NH border at 78hr and MHT by 84hr. I suppose it's at its normal warm/NW bias now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 so now i am going to miss most of the snow that i thought i could count on tuesday and then ice or cold rain wednesday...what a fookin nightmare!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! there is just no way to ever win in t his area...ever...cursed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 SE CT probably changes to rain. Really really hard for them to get big ice. Yeah they do, but maybe HFD is saved from some sleet. I think further sw looks pretty dam icy. I can't recall a big ice event for that part of CT, it seems like it's usually snow or rain. Did '94 have anything like that?? 94 analog to meA prolonged period of snow, which started late on January 6th and became heavy around noon on the 7th into the morning of the 8th, produced snowfall totals of over one foot in the central and northern portion of the state. The National Weather Service at Bradley International Airport in Windsor Locks reported 15.4 inches, Litchfield 12 inches, and Bridgeport 7.5 inches. Snow changed to sleet and then freezing rain along the coast after an accumulation of five to seven inches. Travel was difficult and most schools were closed. The freezing rain produced one-quarter to three-quarters of an inch of glaze, with the heaviest ice accumulation in the extreme southeast. Up to 2,000 electric customers lost power around Lyme when the ice buildup resulted in downed tree limbs and power lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Yeah they do, but maybe HFD is saved from some sleet. I think further sw looks pretty dam icy. I can't recall a big ice event for that part of CT, it seems like it's usually snow or rain. Did '94 have anything like that?? 1994 had a decent sized ice storm. As did November 2002 The big one here was 1973 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Yeah....the GGEM is warm. It's out on ewall...0C H85 up to MA/NH border at 78hr and MHT by 84hr. I suppose it's at its normal warm/NW bias now though. Toss it. I'd like to lock me some NAM.....amazing n of the pike......I'd like to see it even further s because it usually underdoes WAA in swfes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Yeah....the GGEM is warm. It's out on ewall...0C H85 up to MA/NH border at 78hr and MHT by 84hr. I suppose it's at its normal warm/NW bias now though. http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 ray has gotta love his locale for this one. hubbardson dave as well. Ray was psyched for this one last night and kept thinking I would be in good shape, too. Nashua (Dom) area to Keene should clean up. Maybe up to Portland (and Erik?) I'm hoping all snow and it looks good. I really hope this even ticks a little south and gets more ZR offshore than on people's trees, power lines, etc. Yeesh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Toss it. I'd like to lock me some NAM.....amazing n of the pike......I'd like to see it even further s because it usually underdoes WAA in swfes. GFS agrees...looks like we are locking in the pike as the transition from paint peeler to thump....AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 so now i am going to miss most of the snow that i thought i could count on tuesday and then ice or cold rain wednesday...what a fookin nightmare!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! there is just no way to ever win in t his area...ever...cursed please relax. If that happens there will be plenty of time to complain later. It's been a very good year for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Meh, I see Boston sucking for this storm. As much as I want 18", i see those numbers reserved for NNE. Looks like you'll maintain your hot streak. I think you want top end 4 inches for the 1/26-7 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Yes yes, want to get through these 12zs in good shape. you see GFS ensembles yet? Ensembles are very white for you and I. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 there is no way this area sees rain!! so now i am going to miss most of the snow that i thought i could count on tuesday and then ice or cold rain wednesday...what a fookin nightmare!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! there is just no way to ever win in t his area...ever...cursed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Ray was psyched for this one last night and kept thinking I would be in good shape, too. Nashua (Dom) area to Keene should clean up. Maybe up to Portland (and Erik?) I'm hoping all snow and it looks good. I really hope this even ticks a little south and gets more ZR offshore than on people's trees, power lines, etc. Yeesh... I'm locking in 1' for you and I as an aggregate amount from both events. BIG +PP....climo strongly argues for sleet to meet narsh resistance near CT\MA border and be denied from the pike points N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLove Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Looks like you'll maintain your hot streak. I think you want top end 4 inches for the 1/26-7 storm. Sorry, what does this mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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