CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 11:57 AM, Logan11 said: I like where I sit for this right now. Right now it looks like all snow to me and inside the best band. I'm feeling if anything this gets crunched a little more south with time , but quite a bit of margin so no northern fringe problems I dont think. Such a trend could save Kevin from an ice storm. Yeah you're good. Even of this went south by 50 miles..everyone would be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 11:56 AM, CoastalWx said: I feel pretty good where I'm at overall. It's very possible it does trend colder. I think what we want to look for, is the PV to try and sit closer to nrn Maine. This way, is deflects the incoming s/w to the south of sne. yes please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 11:56 AM, CoastalWx said: I feel pretty good where I'm at overall. It's very possible it does trend colder. I think what we want to look for, is the PV to try and sit closer to nrn Maine. This way, is deflects the incoming s/w to the south of sne. That happened a bit on last nights, runs, right? Meanwhile, some nice big flakes coming down, keeping the winter spirit alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 12:05 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: yes please I'm with ya, buddy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 12:09 PM, moneypitmike said: That happened a bit on last nights, runs, right? Meanwhile, some nice big flakes coming down, keeping the winter spirit alive. Yeah it did. I want to see that continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 11:53 AM, CT Blizz said: We'll see that push south at 12z and certainly by 00z I think it's going to push south too. We must be approaching the end of the Mayan universe when we start agreeing this much. 6z ticked south and to the wear closer to the event it's been ticking south for a bit. Long ride back won't do a 10 hr ride for a days skiing again.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hammerz_nailz Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 11:58 AM, CT Blizz said: I think I'm gonna have to break down and shovel my deck today. There's almost 3 feet of snow on it..and I've loved seeing it pile high to the point where I can't get out the sliding glass doors, but any more added weight and I think it could come down Not to mention that in any kind of emergency situation, multiple egress options are a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 11:53 AM, CT Blizz said: We'll see that push south at 12z and certainly by 00z ......the euro is only gonna trend so far you can see the HPC has there money on a icing event from MA/CT Border south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 12:21 PM, CoastalWx said: I'm with ya, buddy. nam seems to be doing a nice job picking up on the low-level cold. verbatim it's not that exciting out my way yet but the 06z nam surface temps are pretty darn cold right to the shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 12:26 PM, cpickett79 said: ......the euro is only gonna trend so far you can see the HPC has there money on a icing event from MA/CT Border south. as we discussed yesterday...i think you are fine in this event. suppose you can't rule out that you might be 22F and IP, but no rain for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 12:26 PM, cpickett79 said: ......the euro is only gonna trend so far you can see the HPC has there money on a icing event from MA/CT Border south. Neither BOX, ALY, nor OKX are hinting at an all snow solution (BOX has mostly frozen, but not snow). Universally, they are staying frozen (with the exception of OKX speaking of rain along the coastal-most zones). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 12:31 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: as we discussed yesterday...i think you are fine in this event. suppose you can't rule out that you might be 22F and IP, but no rain for you. Yeah if you are near 128 and west..forget about rain...ain't happening. Even my 2m temps barely get to 32. I don't know if you noticed, but once the airmass gets a sense of any pressure falls to our south, the cold collapses south. If you look at what the NAM and Euro do when the low passes just south of BID, they collapse the cold south at the first sign of any pressure falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 whos this Roger guy who thinks the northenr mid atlantic and sne gets clobbered with insane snow??? its a great weather porn read if anything else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Here is the NAM at hr 84. Dynamic cooling FTW over eastern mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 12:26 PM, cpickett79 said: ......the euro is only gonna trend so far you can see the HPC has there money on a icing event from MA/CT Border south. Guess they'll come away broke then..Maybe head to Brokeback with you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 4:55 AM, Ginx said: TB passed out as soon as I got on 290 currently crashed on the couch, wifey just got home from Deerfield, took one look and said Tequila Barry, although he will be up at 7 shoveling my roof with zero after effects. He's a great guy. Send him up here. Came home to a fooking roof leek in my living...ice dams and melting yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 12:35 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah if you are near 128 and west..forget about rain...ain't happening. Even my 2m temps barely get to 32. I don't know if you noticed, but once the airmass gets a sense of any pressure falls to our south, the cold collapses south. If you look at what the NAM and Euro do when the low passes just south of BID, they collapse the cold south at the first sign of any pressure falls. yeah and i'm thinking it's probably not done yet either. the set-up is also one where the ne surface flow in the GOM is actually advecting in lower t/tds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 12:47 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: yeah and i'm thinking it's probably not done yet either. the set-up is also one where the ne surface flow in the GOM is actually advecting in lower t/tds. YES. This is probably the first setup this year, where this has happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 12:32 PM, moneypitmike said: Neither BOX, ALY, nor OKX are hinting at an all snow solution (BOX has mostly frozen, but not snow). Universally, they are staying frozen (with the exception of OKX speaking of rain along the coastal-most zones). i'm lovin that this is all frozen. i was just trying to re-iterate a point to the rev that is looks like MA is gonna close the gap SOME on those areas in ct that are out ahead in accums. wether by 2 inches or 6 ...i dunno. but the gap should be closed some esp between tolland and ray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 5:18 AM, MaineJayhawk said: Sounds like heavy heavy possibilities up here this week. And, on a side note, what the hell am I still doing up? I think you are waiting for the Euro Eric.....I'm just reading the thread last night, so I will know soon what you saw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Gonna be fun trying to figure out where to put 15-30 inches of snow this week in SNE. This is just epic . A year where weenies are growing on trees and we can just reach and pick as many as we want Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 12:47 PM, mahk_webstah said: He's a great guy. Send him up here. Came home to a fooking roof leek in my living...ice dams and melting yesterday. Sounds like my house back in ME or the pit our first winter. Time for a snow belt or standing seam. Either ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 12:50 PM, CT Blizz said: Gonna be fun trying to figure out where to put 15-30 inches of snow this week in SNE. This is just epic . A year where weenies are growing on trees and we can just reach and pick as many as we want With the snowpack so high, some can reach up and pick them mouth first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 12:49 PM, mahk_webstah said: I think you are waiting for the Euro Eric.....I'm just reading the thread last night, so I will know soon what you saw. No, I got home and decided to read the whole flippin' day's discussion. Took 45 minutes. Up at 6:00. That's an FTL in my book. Good that the south guys stay (mostly) snow perhaps. No hard feelings that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 6:15 AM, dendrite said: Much juicier for NNE/CNE this run. Chuck'em. Yeah so why did HPC cut our QPF from the 1.5+ to the 1.25+? I always look at that first thing in the morn... Not that I'm complaining about 1.25 qpf and really cold surface temps on top of over 20 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 9:17 AM, ORH_wxman said: Congrats MA northward on the 06z NAM (and extreme NW CT) Ouch - Kev is right in the middle of that crazy 1"-20" gradient that occurs over about 75 miles in N CT - but we know where the correction vector is headed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 12:50 PM, CT Blizz said: Gonna be fun trying to figure out where to put 15-30 inches of snow this week in SNE. This is just epic . A year where weenies are growing on trees and we can just reach and pick as many as we want Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 12:53 PM, CoastalWx said: With the snowpack so high, some can reach up and pick them mouth first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Weenie flakes flying here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 12:54 PM, moneypitmike said: He has support from Roger Smith, which you have to respect. But I would say 20" is well within reach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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