Madmaxweather Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 EURO took a step towards major icing for southern Ohio.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Well, GFS produces 12-14" of snow for YYZ on 0.78" of QPF. Think of what 1.08" would produce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Justin I see you lurking what are your thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Wouldn't doubt it.. Its gotta be tough being the only mod for a region as big as ours.. The man needs a partner, our region is growing by the day and it wouldn't be a bad idea to get another mod to help him.. I was more talking about the 3 ft on snow the Euro just gave him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 how much if any mixing? lol im retarded my hometown isn't macomb, IL its macomb michigan but for you 850's and surface are below freezing the entire event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Did hoosier pass out? Nah I'm here. Not much to say. The Euro is a positive step but still cutting it way too close. Although things can still change, the relative consistency of these very high qpf amounts should inspire confidence that there will probably be a band of 18-24" snows somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 lol im retarded my hometown isn't macomb, IL its macomb michigan but for you 850's and surface are below freezing the entire event. <21 mile and romeo plank. Are totals higher on the euro north of detroit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 GFK: 0.03" OMA: 0.47" MSP: 0.27" LSE: 0.32" DSM: 0.77" DVN: 1.50" JLN: 1.47" OKC: 1.01" STL: 1.34" PAH: 1.43" MSN: 0.76" MKE: 1.07" ORD: 1.95" LAF: 1.90' IND: 1.70" CMH: 1.07" DAY: 1.38" DTW: 1.47" YYZ: 1.08" GRR: 1.35" PIA: 1.95" FLD: 0.44" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 <21 mile and romeo plank. Are totals higher on the euro north of detroit? pontiacs 1.43 so relatively the same as dtw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 GFK: 0.03" OMA: 0.47" MSP: 0.27" LSE: 0.32" DSM: 0.77" DVN: 1.50" JLN: 1.47" OKC: 1.01" STL: 1.34" PAH: 1.43" MSN: 0.76" MKE: 1.07" ORD: 1.95" LAF: 1.90' IND: 1.70" CMH: 1.07" DAY: 1.38" DTW: 1.47" YYZ: 1.08" GRR: 1.35" PIA: 1.95" FLD: 0.44" you can take off gfk.... we're an embarrassment for this event plus i just signed up for the free trial of accwx pro so i can look it up for a month before i cancel it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 GFK: 0.03" OMA: 0.47" MSP: 0.27" LSE: 0.32" DSM: 0.77" DVN: 1.50" JLN: 1.47" OKC: 1.01" STL: 1.34" PAH: 1.43" MSN: 0.76" MKE: 1.07" ORD: 1.95" LAF: 1.90' IND: 1.70" CMH: 1.07" DAY: 1.38" DTW: 1.47" YYZ: 1.08" GRR: 1.35" PIA: 1.95" FLD: 0.44" ORD the winner 2 runs in a row! what are the odds of that? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Ok, time for a nap before the 18z runs start rolling in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I am assuming this includes the waa snows? Is that where the extra .4 on DTW is coming from for ORD?Thanks for the input. y'all have a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 ORD the winner 2 runs in a row! what are the odds of that? lol Just amazing numbers and probably about maxes out what is possible in one storm in the region...or at least what we think is possible. Can't rule out some local totals over 2 feet but would be better to wait before going that high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 you can take off gfk.... we're an embarrassment for this event plus i just signed up for the free trial of accwx pro so i can look it up for a month before i cancel it. ...and add TUL, for future reference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Well, GFS produces 12-14" of snow for YYZ on 0.78" of QPF. Think of what 1.08" would produce Maybe 18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 GFK: 0.03" OMA: 0.47" MSP: 0.27" LSE: 0.32" DSM: 0.77" DVN: 1.50" JLN: 1.47" OKC: 1.01" STL: 1.34" PAH: 1.43" MSN: 0.76" MKE: 1.07" ORD: 1.95" LAF: 1.90' IND: 1.70" CMH: 1.07" DAY: 1.38" DTW: 1.47" YYZ: 1.08" GRR: 1.35" PIA: 1.95" FLD: 0.44" Just..... wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Stebo i added up for my hometown MQB....... storm total 1.94 Off to bed now, here's to the 18z runs showing wealth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 First, it was Omaha falling off the Euro's QPF cliff, now its Des Moines getting cut in half. I'm afraid Cedar Rapids will be following shortly. We now have zero room for error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Looks like a pretty wide band of 12-18"+. Those are very impressive numbers coming from the Euro. 18z NAM and especially the 00z NAM will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Imagine what the NAM would show. It was much stronger with the low compared to the EURO. 18z/0z NAM should be awesome. NAM/EURO pretty much agree spot on with the track though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 850 mb flirts with 0 but LAF gets demolished if it's all snow. GFK: 0.03" OMA: 0.47" MSP: 0.27" LSE: 0.32" DSM: 0.77" DVN: 1.50" JLN: 1.47" OKC: 1.01" STL: 1.34" PAH: 1.43" MSN: 0.76" MKE: 1.07" ORD: 1.95" LAF: 1.90' IND: 1.70" CMH: 1.07" DAY: 1.38" DTW: 1.47" YYZ: 1.08" GRR: 1.35" PIA: 1.95" FLD: 0.44" :faints: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Someone asked for TUL it's 1.59". About 1.5" would be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 <br />Justin I see you lurking what are your thoughts?<br /><br /><br /><br />My thoughts are that I'm not going whole hog into any one solution until all the energy is sampled. Trend is important as I always say at this stage of the game. I think GFS/NAM/EURO are getting closer and closer on agreement... still some slight disagreement between the big three but the trend the Euro started appears to have been gradually picked up by the other two. Still watching how strong the models say that high coming down is going to be, and that pool of cold air over NE Canada and what type of blocking or clearing out of the way it does. I still cannot believe the QPF totals from the Euro, seem awfully high and will still use my standard of cutting by a third or so. The GFS, for instance, spits out around 0.80" of water here while the Euro spits out 1.50" so I'll side with the GFS on that one. Still believe though someone will end up with 12-18" potentially, esp. with thundersnow potential in the Southern part of the heavy snow band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I wanted to throw this out there but at the end of the EURO we got another round for next weekend. CMC showed it too.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 There's going to be some hellacious drifting especially in rural areas and especially if we get a stronger surface low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I wanted to throw this out there but at the end of the EURO we got another round for next weekend. CMC showed it too.. So did the DGEX only further East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 This is going to be an extremely difficult forecast for my region - portions of our region may have significant ice and sleet - heavy snow over our west/northern counties changing to ice - then possibly thunderstorms over parts of our southern and southeastern counties. Possibly even thunderstorm with ice and snow in some counties. Track of the low will be key for our region - of course. Will make for a difficult call. There's a really good chance for Thundersnow and Thundersleet/ice I believe. Some of the offices out this way mentioned that in the early morning discussions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 LMAO did anyone take a look at the rest of the euro run? looks to take the energy left behind and spin up another storm out of the gulf CMC has it too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 LMAO did anyone take a look at the rest of the euro run? looks to take the energy left behind and spin up another storm out of the gulf CMC has it too shhhh the board will go into a frenzy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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