Powerball Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 Some BUFKIT numbers from the 18Z GFS, using max temp in profile method: KSTL .5" ice 1" sleet 12-14" snow KLAF 1.5" sleet, some of that mixed in with the snow ~13-15" snow - lower ratios KPIA 21" snow -- awesome ratios (1.3" QPF) KDPA 17" snow -- awesome ratios (1.1" QPF), DGZ > 400mb deep for a while KORD 20" snow -- awesome ratios (1.25 QPF), DGZ > 400mb deep for a while Do you have the 18z GFS BUKIT numbers for KDTW or KDET? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Some BUFKIT numbers from the 18Z GFS, using max temp in profile method: KSTL .5" ice 1" sleet 12-14" snow KLAF 1.5" sleet, some of that mixed in with the snow ~13-15" snow - lower ratios KPIA 21" snow -- awesome ratios (1.3" QPF) KDPA 17" snow -- awesome ratios (1.1" QPF), DGZ > 400mb deep for a while KORD 20" snow -- awesome ratios (1.25 QPF), DGZ > 400mb deep for a while Kankakee Illinois...winner winner chicken dinner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Only MKE... buried Bowme? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Some BUFKIT numbers from the 18Z GFS, using max temp in profile method: KSTL .5" ice 1" sleet 12-14" snow KLAF 1.5" sleet, some of that mixed in with the snow ~13-15" snow - lower ratios KPIA 21" snow -- awesome ratios (1.3" QPF) KDPA 17" snow -- awesome ratios (1.1" QPF), DGZ > 400mb deep for a while KORD 20" snow -- awesome ratios (1.25 QPF), DGZ > 400mb deep for a while Also a classic comma shaped storm is on the maps posted above by Hoosier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Might have been posted already, and if so I apologize for doing it again. Reminder you can find these maps on this site under the "go to" tab on the upper right hand portion of the page/forum. 12z Euro ensemble mean at 72 and 96 hours. The mean looks better than the op for my location anyways. Looks blizzardish on the backside even with the fairly weak low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Several major/historc storms are showing up as analogs. *December 15-16, 2007 *February 13-14, 2007 *Janaury 02-03, 1999 *December 23-24, 2004 *February 22-23, 2003 *Janauary 29-30, 1982 *January 17-18, 1987 bam (not expecting anything like that though up here.....toronto on the other hand ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Riding the edges on the clown map. Tippecanoe County (LAF) goes from 10" in the SE corner to 18" in the NW corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 21z SREF at 850mb. Don't think it's out yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Some BUFKIT numbers from the 18Z GFS, using max temp in profile method: KPIA 21" snow -- awesome ratios (1.3" QPF) I wonder if Beau is going to make another Peoria chase trip.... I know I am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Kankakee Illinois...winner winner chicken dinner I'll alert my parents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 God I hate being on the edge so bad. Shift SE, I get hardly anything, shift NW and I get at least 10-12+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Man, if that verified, it would be almost the magnitude of the December 16,2007 storm...except on a weekday! 12-14" for Ottawa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 God I hate being on the edge so bad. Shift SE, I get hardly anything, shift NW and I get at least 10-12+. How about that cutoff from detroit to say just east of cleveland. I am afraid the NW shift isnt done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Some BUFKIT numbers from the 18Z GFS, using max temp in profile method: KSTL .5" ice 1" sleet 12-14" snow KLAF 1.5" sleet, some of that mixed in with the snow ~13-15" snow - lower ratios KPIA 21" snow -- awesome ratios (1.3" QPF) KDPA 17" snow -- awesome ratios (1.1" QPF), DGZ > 400mb deep for a while KORD 20" snow -- awesome ratios (1.25 QPF), DGZ > 400mb deep for a while speechless....seriously can it get much better than that?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 God I hate being on the edge so bad. Shift SE, I get hardly anything, shift NW and I get at least 10-12+. Yeah, I know what you mean. All I need is probably a 60 mile shift NW of the QPF to get near 20" territory. And that is the possibly underdone GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 How about that cutoff from detroit to say just east of cleveland. I am afraid the NW shift isnt done Dude you're getting a little paranoid with the NW thing...relax a little. It's not like we can control where the storm goes anyway. Just let it play out in the next couple of days. We'll refine who gets what and how much as we get more information...that's all we can do. Hope for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 18 6z GFS Snow/Sleet/Ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 off the 15z SREF, thanks joe for the correction lol 12hr period of from WAA snows and then she really starts to get going with the defo band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I really do hope you guys cash in on this... It seems most of these major storms have been more NW the past few years ... Good luck.. I hope MKE/CHI get crushed by at least 20 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I'm putting several windows fans out in my yard to try to blow this system more SE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 18z GFS Snow/Sleet/Ice that is 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I'm putting several windows fans out in my yard to try to blow this system more SE... Gonna be a long 72-96 hrs to see how this plays out, that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 off the 21z SREF 12hr period of from WAA snows and then she really starts to get going with the defo band The new 21z SREF isn't out yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 that is 6z Dang It... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Man, if that verified, it would be almost the magnitude of the December 16,2007 storm...except on a weekday! 12-14" for Ottawa the 12/16/07 storm ripped snow in the 5 hr deathband like ive never seen before in our area, except the 93 Superstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 and im proud of it powerball Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I'm putting several windows fans out in my yard to try to blow this system more SE... In order to help Milwaukee and Chicago, you will need to face them northwest, even though it won't help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Although it's called the clown map for a reason, that 18z GFS snow map is astonishing. The 18+ band looks to be about 150 miles wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I know everyone is really excited about the snow, but PLEASE be concerned for us that could get a massive amount of ice. Can someone post some ice accumulation maps from the 12Z and 18Z GFS???????????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Although it's called the clown map for a reason, that 18z GFS snow map is astonishing. The 18+ band looks to be about 150 miles wide. good point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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