pondo1000 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Not going to come back as a regular poster. Found a couple other places for debate and such, but this is still the best place to be during a major storm. This could be a historic ice storm if trends hold up. For all the snow that Chicago and areas to the north may get, it won't be snow that would be the cause of significant damage. How come? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Great to hear from you again! You have been sorely missed, bud! Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 How come? Gave my reasons back in December. Took up way too much of my time! Anyway, enough about me, back to the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Thanks! welcome back... so wtf is up with ILN....they haven't cancelled the warning yet they only have a tenth of an inch of ice. ...major head scratcher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 welcome back... so wtf is up with ILN....they haven't cancelled the warning yet they only have a tenth of an inch of ice. ...major head scratcher Don't know, it's almost as if they wrote it wrong. Perhaps there will be an explanation in the AFD. Looking at some the the sites, I've been watching temps since this morning. The baro zone has set up basically along the Ohio River and has not budged all day. If anything, the last few hours, it has nudged south. That would at least explain why ILN does not mention a change to rain and temps staying, at best, in the low 30s through tomorrow. It doesn't explain the precip forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 MCD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Don't know, it's almost as if they wrote it wrong. Perhaps there will be an explanation in the AFD. Looking at some the the sites, I've been watching temps since this morning. The baro zone has set up basically along the Ohio River and has not budged all day. If anything, the last few hours, it has nudged south. That would at least explain why ILN does not mention a change to rain and temps staying, at best, in the low 30s through tomorrow. It doesn't explain the precip forecast. yea its crazy.....looking at the national radar with precip type, there is virtually no northern progress of rain over freezing rain. Looks like cmh would get slammed. As you said, dewpoints are dropping as well. gotta be a mistake...or they just haven't really fully updated. Then again i swore they were all on crack when that storm last week looked like it was going to drive snow right up into ohio....so who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Latest ruc only gives northern ohio between 0.25 and 0.5 through tomorrow. If this turns out to be mostly sleet with just a hair of ZR, storm could have minimal impacts. Also looks like Detroit gets dry slotted pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Not going to come back as a regular poster. Found a couple other places for debate and such, but this is still the best place to be during a major storm. This could be a historic ice storm if trends hold up. For all the snow that Chicago and areas to the north may get, it won't be snow that would be the cause of significant damage. Holy mother of god, he is risen.. lol.. Good to see ya posting a few times again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Don't know, it's almost as if they wrote it wrong. Perhaps there will be an explanation in the AFD. Looking at some the the sites, I've been watching temps since this morning. The baro zone has set up basically along the Ohio River and has not budged all day. If anything, the last few hours, it has nudged south. That would at least explain why ILN does not mention a change to rain and temps staying, at best, in the low 30s through tomorrow. It doesn't explain the precip forecast. If this keeps, I cannot imagine the number of people without power by tomorrow! My wife says that our cable and internet have been down all day. I hope everyone has finished all of their preps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I don't get it. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 413 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 INZ066-073-074-OHZ054>056-062-070-020515- /O.CON.KILN.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110203T0000Z/ FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-GREENE- BUTLER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROOKVILLE...VERSAILLES... LAWRENCEBURG...LONDON...COLUMBUS...NEWARK...XENIA...HAMILTON 413 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... SLEET ALONG WITH SOME PERIODS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THEN A LARGE AREA OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS EVENING THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THIS WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW AND ICE...WEST WINDS MAY OCCASIONALLY GUST TO 35 MPH OR HIGHER ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL ADD STRESS TO ICE COVERED POWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS...WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yeah its getting to the point not sure if the car will make it down the driveway. Solid sheet of ice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Some ice reports so far: Butler County-Oxford: 0.50" Darke County-Greenville: 0.50" Montgomery County-Vandalia: 0.25" Pickaway-Circleville: 0.10" Pickaway-Commercial Point: 0.25" Miami County-Tipp City: 0.30" Greene County-Huber Heights: 0.40" Franklin County-Columbus: 0.10" All of this was just through last night's 1st wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Some ice reports so far: Butler County-Oxford: 0.50" Darke County-Greenville: 0.50" Montgomery County-Vandalia: 0.25" Pickaway-Circleville: 0.10" Pickaway-Commercial Point: 0.25" Miami County-Tipp City: 0.30" Greene County-Huber Heights: 0.40" Franklin Country-Columbus: 0.10" All of this was just through last night's 1st wave. wish coshocton county was on there. I know in Warsaw Ive gotta be at or a little above .25. Hard to measure ice lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I don't get it. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 413 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 INZ066-073-074-OHZ054>056-062-070-020515- /O.CON.KILN.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110203T0000Z/ FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-GREENE- BUTLER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROOKVILLE...VERSAILLES... LAWRENCEBURG...LONDON...COLUMBUS...NEWARK...XENIA...HAMILTON 413 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... SLEET ALONG WITH SOME PERIODS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THEN A LARGE AREA OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS EVENING THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THIS WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW AND ICE...WEST WINDS MAY OCCASIONALLY GUST TO 35 MPH OR HIGHER ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL ADD STRESS TO ICE COVERED POWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS...WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ then they say an inch of sleet and snow and a tenth of ice. im starting to wonder if the .1 is a mistake. But it's in their text and on their recording. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 then they say an inch of sleet and snow and a tenth of ice. im starting to wonder if the .1 is a mistake. But it's in their text and on their recording. Maybe they misplaced the decimal and it's really supposed to be 1.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuckeyeSam Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Dropped down to 28 here in Pickerington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 413 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 INZ050-058-059-OHZ042>046-051>053-060-061-020515- /O.CON.KILN.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110203T0000Z/ WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE- MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY... GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE... PIQUA...URBANA...SPRINGFIELD...EATON...DAYTON 413 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... SLEET ALONG WITH SOME PERIODS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THEN A LARGE AREA OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS EVENING THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THIS WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATION OF A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW AND ICE...WEST WINDS MAY OCCASIONALLY GUST TO 35 MPH OR HIGHER ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL ADD STRESS TO ICE COVERED POWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS...WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. Looks like they downgraded our ice totals as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 413 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 INZ050-058-059-OHZ042>046-051>053-060-061-020515- /O.CON.KILN.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110203T0000Z/ WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE- MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY... GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE... PIQUA...URBANA...SPRINGFIELD...EATON...DAYTON 413 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... SLEET ALONG WITH SOME PERIODS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THEN A LARGE AREA OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS EVENING THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THIS WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATION OF A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW AND ICE...WEST WINDS MAY OCCASIONALLY GUST TO 35 MPH OR HIGHER ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL ADD STRESS TO ICE COVERED POWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS...WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. Looks like they downgraded our ice totals as well... Either they see something none of us do, or they're going to bust hard. I think even .25" is way too low if all that precip heading this way falls as ice. 0.50" or greater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Maybe they misplaced the decimal and it's really supposed to be 1.0" lol... crazy. maybe jym ganahl will clear things up for us. He's always calling out the nws...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Either they see something none of us do, or they're going to bust hard. I think even .25" is way too low if all that precip heading this way falls as ice. 0.50" or greater. plain rain wording is gone...wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Maybe they think the ZR will fall too hard to accumulate? I don't know, I'm reaching here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Maybe they think the ZR will fall too hard to accumulate? I don't know, I'm reaching here. What were the temps during the Kentucky ice storm a few years back? I remember seeing reports of heavy rain during that and the ice was like 1-2" thick. I can't imagine they were that cold... low 20's maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 plain rain wording is gone...wow Just like the DE County write up, but DE County mentions .75 of ice so there is no way that .1 is accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Maybe they think the ZR will fall too hard to accumulate? I don't know, I'm reaching here. That will help, but it won't wipe out 80% of what falls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 They should of followed IND idea... All their AFD's right now are a bit suspect... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Here are some pics of the ice and one showing the thickness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 That will help, but it won't wipe out 80% of what falls Especially not on exposed/elevated surfaces. It might help the roads, but the trees... they are going to have major problems. I remember driving up through Bellefontaine the summer after their ice storm in January 2005 and they were just torn to shreds. December 2004 was close, but still not as bad as I saw there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 lol... crazy. maybe jym ganahl will clear things up for us. He's always calling out the nws...lol LMAO He called for .10 of ice and an inch or two of rain last night, so not much threat of that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Here are some pics of the ice and one showing the thickness dude, those steps are a personal injury lawyer's wet dream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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