Northernohio Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Trent this run buried you in 20 inches of snow lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 Toss the towel for snow steve, models all seem to agree. I've got it in hand. Just awaiting the ggem and the euro to come out and I'm throwing the towel in for this winter.. Only upside is my call from december will be in tact in saying no 6+ storms.. hope I eat crow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 4:21 AM, dilly84 said: Toss the towel for snow steve, models all seem to agree. I've got it in hand. Just awaiting the ggem and the euro to come out and I'm throwing the towel in for this winter.. Only upside is my call from december will be in tact in saying no 6+ storms.. hope I eat crow Thats to funny..3 days out and now they agree..lol Still time..still hope...the lady does not have that mic yet!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 When was the last time a major storm jogged se in the near range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 4:23 AM, Steve said: Thats to funny..3 days out and now they agree..lol Still time..still hope...the lady does not have that mic yet!! Yea. I hate to say it, but for the first time since the big december midwest storm, the models are generally in agreement 3 days out.. rare this winter, but appears to be the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 4:25 AM, dilly84 said: Yea. I hate to say it, but for the first time since the big december midwest storm, the models are generally in agreement 3 days out.. rare this winter, but appears to be the case. NOAA has us on the probability map for ice tues-wed..close to a %40 chance already!! http://www.hpc.ncep....3_composite.gif ..Map on bottom right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 3:26 AM, dilly84 said: Only positive is the nam appears to give some decent back end snows to central OH. Yeah. Anyways... GFS gives FDY 1.73" Snow... no ice/sleet. TOL slightly less... but overall a fantastic run here. UKMET was similar to the NAM/GFS at 72... more NAMish then anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 4:13 AM, JayPSU said: Another run of the GFS, another paralyzing ice storm. I continue to be scared of what I'm seeing. I might be heading down to the lowes in polaris tomorrow if these keeps to look for generators. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 4:33 AM, ArmyGreens said: I might be heading down to the lowes in polaris tomorrow if these keeps to look for generators. In all seriousness, I wouldn't panic just yet. The scariest part of the storm isn't until late Tuesday and we need to know the EXACT track to know how bad it will truly be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 4:36 AM, JayPSU said: In all seriousness, I wouldn't panic just yet. The scariest part of the storm isn't until late Tuesday and we need to know the EXACT track to know how bad it will truly be. No, not panicking...just don't want to be the guy without the generator. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 4:36 AM, JayPSU said: In all seriousness, I wouldn't panic just yet. The scariest part of the storm isn't until late Tuesday and we need to know the EXACT track to know how bad it will truly be. I have looked at the Noaa track possibilities..and i have seen only a couple that take this storm just to our west..some have it coming over us, and quite a bit that track south of us..I am so confused..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 SREF members basically had two camps... a ECMWF/NAM compromise and a GGEM like situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 ggem still south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 This is sickening..really..75 miles maybe!! http://wxcaster.com/gis-snow-overlays2-10to1.php3?STATIONID=ILN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Probably the happiest person ever seeing this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Columbus looks right on the snow line from the ensemble mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 5:09 AM, dj3 said: Columbus looks right on the snow line from the ensemble mean nah the ens is further north than the op, and the op is close but the warm air is severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 5:19 AM, dilly84 said: nah the ens is further north than the op, and the op is close but the warm air is severe. I dunno from that map it doesnt look like we are that far off, I would wait to throw in the towel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 BTW, 0Z GFS bufkit for CMH shows 2.4" of front end snow, then .65" of freezing rain, followed by .80" of plain rain. Would be an absolute mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 5:24 AM, JayPSU said: BTW, 0Z GFS bufkit for CMH shows 2.4" of front end snow, then .65" of freezing rain, followed by .80" of plain rain. Would be an absolute mess. Not bad, a small shift could mean much more snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 5:32 AM, dj3 said: Not bad, a small shift could mean much more snow its a long shot.. Im hopeful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
passmaster16 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Odds are stacked against us with he big three models in pretty close agreement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 anything is possible with this winter.. I guess as bad as it sounds, I would rather have ice with some snow on top over rain. it'd make for some good pictures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
passmaster16 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Need a miracle at this point...btw where's buckeye been? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 5:47 AM, AppsRunner said: GFS congrats, dont rub it in, root for a se shift so all of us ohio guys can get snow lmao.. JK Id be happy if I were you too, but you could root with us lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 5:46 AM, passmaster16 said: Need a miracle at this point...btw where's buckeye been? I think he said he had bball tourney all weekend or something/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 On 1/30/2011 at 5:50 AM, dilly84 said: congrats, dont rub it in, root for a se shift so all of us ohio guys can get snow lmao.. JK Id be happy if I were you too, but you could root with us lol I actually am. Too close to that pesky snow/ice line for my comfort Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 euro is north. Towel is thrown.. GL Apps and Northern OH people. Go figure the biggest storm of the year would be a lock 4 days out. Sickening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
passmaster16 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Yeah just not in the cards for us...I hope it goes far north of us. Don't want rain or ice at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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