Tropopause_Fold Posted November 12, 2010 Share Posted November 12, 2010 kevin wants to know if this works: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 12, 2010 Share Posted November 12, 2010 On 11/12/2010 at 6:13 PM, MaineJayhawk said: Well, allow me to throw out the first weenie. OPA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 12, 2010 Share Posted November 12, 2010 How awful would that be if we got an -NAO block like that but miss out on the cold? That would be a huge low blow. What time does the 12z euro come out? GFS gets us cold but it's pretty short-lived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Noreaster Posted November 12, 2010 Share Posted November 12, 2010 On 11/12/2010 at 7:39 PM, weatherwiz said: How awful would that be if we got an -NAO block like that but miss out on the cold? That would be a huge low blow. What time does the 12z euro come out? GFS gets us cold but it's pretty short-lived. 12z euro has been out for over an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 12, 2010 Share Posted November 12, 2010 On 11/12/2010 at 7:45 PM, Noreaster said: 12z euro has been out for over an hour. What's the link please? I was looking at the San Jose page but it wasn't updated yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 12, 2010 Share Posted November 12, 2010 It's up now...Nice cold area of 850mb temps at Day 7! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 12, 2010 Share Posted November 12, 2010 Even the euro ensembles had a warm up around D9-10 so I wouldn't sweat it. The op run can have swings from run to run. The key is how the cold builds after. It should gradually build east a bit with continued ridging and a developing -nao. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 12, 2010 Share Posted November 12, 2010 Well that pre T-day warmup is still in the cards potentially, then euro ensembles suggest cool down afterwards with big nao progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted November 12, 2010 Share Posted November 12, 2010 how long is the progged pre-tday warm up ? 2 days 3...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 12, 2010 Share Posted November 12, 2010 On 11/12/2010 at 8:51 PM, cpickett79 said: how long is the progged pre-tday warm up ? 2 days 3...? Maybe 3 days perhaps? 1 or 2 days of peak mild conditions possible. Honestly it's so far out, but yeah a mild stretch is certainly possible. It makes no difference either way, the good stuff won't come until beyond that..possibly well beyond that..like beginning of December. That's fine by me. I got a feeling will see some more model swings so stay tuned. I do like seeing the robust -nao on the euro ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 12, 2010 Share Posted November 12, 2010 On 11/12/2010 at 9:37 PM, CoastalWx said: Maybe 3 days perhaps? 1 or 2 days of peak mild conditions possible. Honestly it's so far out, but yeah a mild stretch is certainly possible. It makes no difference either way, the good stuff won't come until beyond that..possibly well beyond that..like beginning of December. That's fine by me. I got a feeling will see some more model swings so stay tuned. I do like seeing the robust -nao on the euro ensembles. Nice to see your issues have cleared up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted November 12, 2010 Share Posted November 12, 2010 On 11/12/2010 at 9:37 PM, CoastalWx said: Maybe 3 days perhaps? 1 or 2 days of peak mild conditions possible. Honestly it's so far out, but yeah a mild stretch is certainly possible. It makes no difference either way, the good stuff won't come until beyond that..possibly well beyond that..like beginning of December. That's fine by me. I got a feeling will see some more model swings so stay tuned. I do like seeing the robust -nao on the euro ensembles. as long as have slighly below normal temps and a good storm track with a decent HP position......i think i could snow.....i don't really care for mutliple -15 departures for T-week ........just give me 30 degrees and snow. thanks santa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 12, 2010 Share Posted November 12, 2010 On 11/12/2010 at 9:42 PM, MaineJayhawk said: Nice to see your issues have cleared up. It worked when I got home. Will is back online as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 12, 2010 Share Posted November 12, 2010 On 11/12/2010 at 9:43 PM, cpickett79 said: as long as have slighly below normal temps and a good storm track with a decent HP position......i think i could snow.....i don't really care for mutliple -15 departures for T-week ........just give me 30 degrees and snow. thanks santa It takes a dam cold airmass for the coast to snow in November..usually. I feel pretty good it will get here, maybe not arctic, but perhaps cold enough. We'll probably just go through the classic yo-yo in temps before it settles in. I definitely could see model swings and perhaps it gets here sooner, but the key for most pattern changes is to prolong it. Enjoy the ride for now. Cold shot#1 comes in towards next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted November 12, 2010 Share Posted November 12, 2010 On 11/12/2010 at 7:51 PM, weatherwiz said: It's up now...Nice cold area of 850mb temps at Day 7! Not to bad but, like others have said no epic cold snap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted November 13, 2010 Share Posted November 13, 2010 is anyone driving out to "2k" to clue Pete in (if he's not heard from by sunday)? down to 37 in cooler parts of framingham now....i'm stuck at 44. norwood and holden, ma at 35 concord and carlisle at 36 those are the league leaders as i find them..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 13, 2010 Share Posted November 13, 2010 On 11/12/2010 at 11:51 PM, New England Storm said: Not to bad but, like others have said no epic cold snap. I think we would see pieces of that cold work into SNE at times but probably nothing pro-longed, but who really wants an epic cold snap to being with? It's not like we need them in order for us to get snow events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted November 14, 2010 Share Posted November 14, 2010 On 11/13/2010 at 2:16 PM, weatherwiz said: I think we would see pieces of that cold work into SNE at times but probably nothing pro-longed, but who really wants an epic cold snap to being with? It's not like we need them in order for us to get snow events True I can not for the firsts snows! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 14, 2010 Share Posted November 14, 2010 12Z NAM has a snow storm for NNE at the end of its range fwiw http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer//nam/12/nam_pcp072084_l.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Ryan..how is this looking? We'd like an update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 1, 2011 Author Share Posted January 1, 2011 On 1/1/2011 at 1:18 PM, CT Blizz said: Ryan..how is this looking? We'd like an update December was below normal as expected. January could be fun... we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 On 1/1/2011 at 1:32 PM, CT Rain said: December was below normal as expected. January could be fun... we shall see. So are you thinking your forecast of a torch , much above jan and Feb will not work out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 On 1/1/2011 at 1:38 PM, CT Blizz said: So are you thinking your forecast of a torch , much above jan and Feb will not work out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 1, 2011 Author Share Posted January 1, 2011 On 1/1/2011 at 1:38 PM, CT Blizz said: So are you thinking your forecast of a torch , much above jan and Feb will not work out? January torch may be in trouble. My original forecast for BDL was +3... at least I'm off to a good start! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Where's the avatar for ROTFLMAO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 .......... Jan is looking........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Warmistas should declare verification based on only the first 2 days of Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 BDL #'s are in Dec-Feb all were -2.0 or lower for temps..Solidly below normal 84.3 inches of snow YTD so far is top 2 or 3 snowiest of all time. No torch winter in CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 1, 2011 Author Share Posted March 1, 2011 On 3/1/2011 at 2:33 PM, CT Blizz said: BDL #'s are in Dec-Feb all were -2.0 or lower for temps..Solidly below normal 84.3 inches of snow YTD so far is top 2 or 3 snowiest of all time. No torch winter in CT -2.3 Dec -2.7 Jan -2.2 Feb Definitely colder and snowier than I thought! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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