Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Bucks lose to the Raptors tonight. Sounds like fun watching them. God, I wish the superbowl was Sunday instead of next Sunday. I wish there was a solution where everyone would get at least 4-5 inches and no ice etc. I'm sorry but I am greedy with this storm...want to be in the heaviest band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Where do you get that from? I beleive the 12z euro was showing KBUF getting 1.17" QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Bucks lose to the Raptors tonight. Sounds like fun watching them. God, I wish the superbowl was Sunday instead of next Sunday. I wish there was a solution where everyone would get at least 4-5 inches and no ice etc. Raptors lose tonight beleive me they suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Where do you get that from? prolly close to that right? 2m temps are in the teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I woke up in the middle of the night and actually thought of this storm...several days out...what a sick hobby. The amazing thing is the potential widespread nature of this event. Something most of the CONUS will share in some form or fashion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 prolly close to that right? 2m temps are in the teens. You gotta check what it is aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 NVM was looking at the wrong panel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 You gotta check what it is aloft. yea nvm,wrong panel lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Raptors lose tonight beleive me they suck My two cents: it will be a close game! Hard to trust the Bucks right now, but since they play good D and generally play hard, I'll stick by them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I beleive the 12z euro was showing KBUF getting 1.17" QPF Wasn't questioning the amounts, just the ratios. prolly close to that right? 2m temps are in the teens. lol, no. Probably 12-15:1 by my estimation. Sfc temps have a negligible effect on ratios and 30:1 is seldom seen outside of LES. Still be a great storm for BUF verbatim, especially the parts of the city that missed out on the Dec blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 DGEX ends up fairly similar to the GFS... just less QPF. Take it FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Regardless of what happens, whatching how things unfold in the southwest plains as the wave ejects will be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Where do you get that from? 30:1 30 parts, lips, bungholes and preservatives to one part beef weenier. Can't wait for the 0z runs.. this is worse than Christmas eve as a kid.. Fish fry time and I hope the beer taste good.. If nothing else we have them trained to make a tasty old fashion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 Here's the GFS forecast sounding for LAF. Very cold at the surface and a noticeable warm bulge aloft although it's not enough to get above 0C. If you don't like ice, the concerning thing in a setup like this is that if the model wind fields are close to reality, it's likely that the warming aloft will be more robust than progged but it might not translate to the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 ugh more snow...ready for supercells Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 18z GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Wasn't questioning the amounts, just the ratios. lol, no. Probably 12-15:1 by my estimation. Sfc temps have a negligible effect on ratios and 30:1 is seldom seen outside of LES. Still be a great storm for BUF verbatim, especially the parts of the city that missed out on the Dec blizzard. about a foot for kbuf http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=gfsm&site=kbuf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I just wanted to take this brief time to let you all know I LOVE you (<3), and hope most of us get our storm. I know we haven't had a good one since 2004 here in South Central Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 ugh more snow...ready for supercells Road trip to JI's might get you some thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 18z GEFS looking better for Toronto Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Oops put those images in reverse but you get the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Here's the GFS forecast sounding for LAF. Very cold at the surface and a noticeable warm bulge aloft although it's not enough to get above 0C. If you don't like ice, the concerning thing in a setup like this is that if the model wind fields are close to reality, it's likely that the warming aloft will be more robust than progged but it might not translate to the surface. I think your safe where you sit now but any more of a north trend and you would have to worry about it. It always seems like the warm push from around 700mb-850mb is underdone but we'll see. quite the turning in the wind profile! too bad its not spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 18z GEFS looking better for Toronto Still south of the OP but better than the 12z run. A couple of the 18z individual members actually clock us pretty good, while at 12z they were all whiffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 17" for FDY on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 man, if we could get it to shift ever slightly NW, Ottawa would be in the game. I so much want the Mid Atlantic to get rained on. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Road trip to JI's might get you some thunder. It's possible there's thunder on the cold side with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Still south of the OP but better than the 12z run. A couple of the 18z individual members actually clock us pretty good, while at 12z they were all whiffs. you are certainly having a steller season compared to us canuck. When's the last time you can remember Toronto getting more snow than Ottawa in a winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Still south of the OP but better than the 12z run. A couple of the 18z individual members actually clock us pretty good, while at 12z they were all whiffs. Keep in mind the GFS LOVES TO TRANSFER ENERGY way to early to east coast cyclogenesis more often than not. With a delayed transfer you may get more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 It's possible there's thunder on the cold side with this one. for sure, def possibility Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Ottawa your gain is our loss lol if this shifts any further northward will be on the warm side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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