Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 been waiting all winter to see something like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 My area gets hit pretty good with about 8" I'll take that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 haha why is that? Reasons I will explain later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Reasons I will explain later you probably know this will come way NW and crush you area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 60 hours QPF valid at hour 138. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguru Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 been waiting all winter to see something like this. I predicted something like this with the last storm in late Dec I believe but never materalized. Now it looks like this storm will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Reasons I will explain later did you land a dream job? Just a hunch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 60 hours QPF valid at hour 138. the coverage of that precip is incredible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 My area gets hit pretty good with about 8" I'll take that. Yeah, I'd lock this in if I could. We could get something better with a slightly further north track (EURO) or without the deamplification of the ul trough as it ejects, but I wouldn't roll the dice on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Tulsa gets creamed on this run. This thing may amp up after it's past OKC. Still show .50-.75" QPF before all is set and done, which I would take right now if I had to. creamed with what, rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I predicted something like this with the last storm in late Dec I believe but never materalized. Now it looks like this storm will. Still too early..but potential is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 you probably know this will come way NW and crush you area. dont say that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Earl Barker's snow maps will be porn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Here's a good satellite loop showing the digging BC wave and the eastward-chugging pac storm. Link Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 dont say that lol Don't worry, you are likely in the best area for a major snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I wouldn't be surprised if the whole H5 trough doesn't come out in the end and turn neutral while a new s/w from Canada drops in. Chicago would be destroyed completely. I like the way you think Angry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 For the record Hoosier, I am still humping the GFS. Like every model it's had a big shift over two days, it just seems like it has been slowly trending one direction and not jumping back and forth. I was prepared for a typical 18z GFS cold bias run but the creep north continued. Confidence rising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Here's a good satellite loop showing the digging BC wave and the eastward-chugging pac storm. Link thanks for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 12z GEM ensemble mean precip. 12 GFS ensemble mean precip: 12z EURO Ensemble mean LP placement: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
illinois Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 After reading the AFD from ILX I can only imagine that their office Christmas party would not be one of the funniest places, they seem pretty dry, not to knock them they do a good job, just a little dry. http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=ILX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 For the record Hoosier, I am still humping the GFS. Like every model it's had a big shift over two days, it just seems like it has been slowly trending one direction and not jumping back and forth. I was prepared for a typical 18z GFS cold bias run but the creep north continued. Confidence rising. I agree, but the EURO was showing a lake cutter for like 5 or 6 runs before that. Then, it didn't phase the waves in the pacific and it ended up suppresed, but then it did phase (I believe) and it showed a lake cutter again. Who knows at this point, but I would take a blend of the major models (EURO, GFS, GEM, UKIE) at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 For the record Hoosier, I am still humping the GFS. Like every model it's had a big shift over two days, it just seems like it has been slowly trending one direction and not jumping back and forth. I was prepared for a typical 18z GFS cold bias run but the creep north continued. Confidence rising. I will take the GFS to bed with me too if it continues its baby step trend north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 For the record Hoosier, I am still humping the GFS. Like every model it's had a big shift over two days, it just seems like it has been slowly trending one direction and not jumping back and forth. I was prepared for a typical 18z GFS cold bias run but the creep north continued. Confidence rising. That's fine, and something like the GFS could very well verify. Who knows at this point. All I know is that this is still by far the most excited I've been this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 about 1.00" QPF WITH 30:1 ratio for BUF? NVM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 That's fine, and something like the GFS could very well verify. Who knows at this point. All I know is that this is still by far the most excited I've been this winter. Agreed, and besides watching the Bulls tonight, It will consume most of my weekend lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 That's fine, and something like the GFS could very well verify. Who knows at this point. All I know is that this is still by far the most excited I've been this winter. i'm just messing with you. As for the bolded me too and it's not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 Agreed, and besides watching the Bulls tonight, It will consume most of my weekend lol I woke up in the middle of the night and actually thought of this storm...several days out...what a sick hobby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I woke up in the middle of the night and actually thought of this storm...several days out...what a sick hobby. As have I, the other night I woke up around 4am and looked at the 6z runs, It's an addiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Bucks lose to the Raptors tonight. Sounds like fun watching them. God, I wish the superbowl was Sunday instead of next Sunday. I wish there was a solution where everyone would get at least 4-5 inches and no ice etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 about 1.00" QPF WITH 30:1 ratio for BUF? Where do you get that from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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