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January 31-February 2 Major Winter Storm part 3


Hoosier

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If anyone else wants raw output just ask.

ORD comes in with the high QPF total so it's freebie night on me. :thumbsup:

Do you buy how it got there? I need some convincing this run wasn't bunk. It just didn't look like this had any chance to knock out those kinda of #'s to me. I thougt for sure it would be more gfs like precip.

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Chistorm...I am not sure how you would look it up, but how about Seymour, Indiana??? I know its mostly rain....haha

TUE 00Z 01-FEB  -0.2     2.2    1023      74      85    0.02     559     541    
TUE 06Z 01-FEB  -0.2     3.3    1021      90      91    0.18     559     543    
TUE 12Z 01-FEB   0.0     3.7    1019      95      79    0.06     559     544    
TUE 18Z 01-FEB   2.5     4.3    1016      96      52    0.04     558     545    
WED 00Z 02-FEB   5.6     3.7    1008      96      88    0.40     555     549    
WED 06Z 02-FEB   7.9     5.3     998      98      91    0.80     547     549    
WED 12Z 02-FEB  -3.6    -2.6    1003      80      13    0.06     539     537    
WED 18Z 02-FEB  -1.5   -12.4    1011      60      66    0.02     535     527    
THU 00Z 03-FEB  -4.8   -14.3    1021      75      71    0.03     541     525    
THU 06Z 03-FEB  -8.4   -12.8    1026      83      58    0.01     545     525

Chi, post one for here if you can. Thanks bud.

MON 18Z 31-JAN  -7.2   -12.4    1033      73      98    0.03     549     523    
TUE 00Z 01-FEB  -7.7   -12.7    1031      79      96    0.04     548     524    
TUE 06Z 01-FEB  -7.6   -12.9    1030      81      97    0.05     548     525    
TUE 12Z 01-FEB  -7.7   -13.7    1029      83      95    0.10     548     525    
TUE 18Z 01-FEB  -5.5   -13.8    1029      68      97    0.05     548     526    
WED 00Z 02-FEB  -6.2   -14.2    1025      73      97    0.03     547     527    
WED 06Z 02-FEB  -7.0   -14.2    1020      74      91    0.09     542     527    
WED 12Z 02-FEB  -7.9   -15.0    1017      74      71    0.11     537     524    
WED 18Z 02-FEB  -6.2   -12.8    1021      63      34    0.02     537     521

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1.62"

MON 18Z 31-JAN  -5.2    -8.0    1030      73      73    0.01 	553 	529    
TUE 00Z 01-FEB  -6.3    -8.5    1028      79 	100    0.01 	552 	530    
TUE 06Z 01-FEB  -6.0    -8.7    1026      84      98    0.09 	551 	531    
TUE 12Z 01-FEB  -6.7    -9.4    1026      86      96    0.11 	551 	531    
TUE 18Z 01-FEB  -5.1    -8.5    1024      77      96    0.04 	551 	533    
WED 00Z 02-FEB  -5.4    -9.7    1018      85      94    0.17 	548 	533    
WED 06Z 02-FEB  -6.2   -12.5    1012      84      97    0.46 	540 	531    
WED 12Z 02-FEB  -7.0   -14.6    1013      83      89    0.52 	534 	524    
WED 18Z 02-FEB  -7.7   -13.6    1020      72      84    0.20 	537 	522    
THU 00Z 03-FEB  -9.7   -10.2    1025      69      22    0.01 	542 	522

Can't cry about this, nice cold temps should yield higher ratios... LOL, we'll see about this. Thanks, Man...

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SUN 18Z 30-JAN   4.7     7.4    1020      57      19    0.01     567     550    
MON 00Z 31-JAN   5.8     5.1    1019      54      31    0.01     566     551    
MON 06Z 31-JAN   4.4     4.8    1019      67      33    0.01     566     550    
MON 12Z 31-JAN   3.0     4.9    1018      84      33    0.02     564     549    
MON 18Z 31-JAN   4.8     4.6    1017      84      36    0.02     562     549    
TUE 00Z 01-FEB   4.9     4.5    1013      89      41    0.03     558     548    
TUE 06Z 01-FEB   0.5     3.9    1014      93      94    0.21     556     545    
TUE 12Z 01-FEB  -2.8    -3.5    1015      83      64    0.35     551     538    
TUE 18Z 01-FEB  -2.3    -9.8    1021      58      60    0.03     547     531

Thanks for the raw output on the house. :beer:

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Could you throw up DTW's for me, I kind of want to save it for dreaming purposes. :)

TUE 12Z 01-FEB  -9.1    -6.0    1027      83     100    0.14     553     533    
TUE 18Z 01-FEB  -7.1    -4.4    1025      81      85    0.10     555     535    
WED 00Z 02-FEB  -6.5    -3.5    1021      85      93    0.05     553     536    
WED 06Z 02-FEB  -6.8    -2.7    1013      89      90    0.43     548     538    
WED 12Z 02-FEB  -7.0    -3.8    1004      88      73    0.71     538     535    
WED 18Z 02-FEB  -6.6    -9.3    1006      83      74    0.15     533     529    
THU 00Z 03-FEB  -6.5   -13.9    1015      81      88    0.11     535     523    
THU 06Z 03-FEB -10.4   -11.2    1022      80      12    0.01     539     522

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TUE 00Z 01-FEB  -0.2     2.2    1023      74      85    0.02     559     541    
TUE 06Z 01-FEB  -0.2     3.3    1021      90      91    0.18     559     543    
TUE 12Z 01-FEB   0.0     3.7    1019      95      79    0.06     559     544    
TUE 18Z 01-FEB   2.5     4.3    1016      96      52    0.04     558     545    
WED 00Z 02-FEB   5.6     3.7    1008      96      88    0.40     555     549    
WED 06Z 02-FEB   7.9     5.3     998      98      91    0.80     547     549    
WED 12Z 02-FEB  -3.6    -2.6    1003      80      13    0.06     539     537    
WED 18Z 02-FEB  -1.5   -12.4    1011      60      66    0.02     535     527    
THU 00Z 03-FEB  -4.8   -14.3    1021      75      71    0.03     541     525    
THU 06Z 03-FEB  -8.4   -12.8    1026      83      58    0.01     545     525

Damn...mostly rain. Thought so. Thanks Chi-Storm!

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So Hoosier, what are your latest thoughts? Im almost tempted to not check back in till Sunday. I dont see the EURO budging...I see the GFS playing follow Dr. No...Looks like ice storm or bust? I was hoping for more of a Feb 2007 type event. Still on the table I guess.

Non-Scientific discussion: I see it doing something to create headaches all the way through Sunday. I have lived in Indiana for 7 years now, and all but a couple have seen significant winter impacts on the Feb 4-7 time range. (My birthday plans always get messed up!)

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So Hoosier, what are your latest thoughts? Im almost tempted to not check back in till Sunday. I dont see the EURO budging...I see the GFS playing follow Dr. No...Looks like ice storm or bust? I was hoping for more of a Feb 2007 type event. Still on the table I guess.

Wait and see mode. Still not really that far away from a major snowstorm on the Euro and the event is days away. I do think it's going to be difficult to avoid mixing in central Indiana with the big question being how far north it gets.

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Non-Scientific discussion: I see it doing something to create headaches all the way through Sunday. I have lived in Indiana for 7 years now, and all but a couple have seen significant winter impacts on the Feb 4-7 time range. (My birthday plans always get messed up!)

Exactly why I need to stay away! Avoid headaches such as these! I finally moved well north of I-70 by about 30 miles to avoid being on the edge so much, but it's just following me :gun_bandana:

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Wait and see mode. Still not really that far away from a major snowstorm on the Euro and the event is days away. I do think it's going to be difficult to avoid mixing in central Indiana with the big question being how far north it gets.

Your right, thats always the million dollar question. 9/10 WAA is underestimated here in Indiana. But as you said, were 4-5 days out. Much will change, I just hope there isnt much more life in the north trend. We shall see.

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One thing that is going to have to be split from this discussion if the Euro has its way is a potential tornado threat in the south on Tuesday 2/1.

Yeah I haven't looked too indepth in this but I can imagine with the fetch as deep as it is with the moisture train from the Caribbean, that there could be some major Southern severe weather.

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