Mr Torchey Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 gfs 2 runs in a row now. -torch thru wed nite -cold DRY pattern thru Dec 9th -cutter gets squeezed se two weeks from now, rain coastal plain mix inland? -enormous west coast trough end of run, most of conus torches with a serious gradient over se canada/northern ne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 gfs 2 runs in a row now. -torch thru wed nite -cold DRY pattern thru Dec 9th -cutter gets squeezed se two weeks from now, rain coastal plain mix inland? -enormous west coast trough end of run, most of conus torches with a serious gradient over se canada/northern ne The GFS does suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 The GFS does suck. king aint much different ginxy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 if this does play out as modeled kudos to hm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 if this does play out as modeled kudos to hm Didn't HM think the 5-10th period was one to watch?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 king aint much different ginxy Seriously?, have you looked at both of the OP ENS's . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Didn't HM think the 5-10th period was one to watch?? yes with a reversal around mid month i believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Bottom line is we were forced into this method of threads and posting..and even though the majority of us would prefer things the old way, we will all try and adhere to the new rules most of the the time. If there's a little banter in the model or pattern threads it's not a big deal and is ok. But we'll just try and do 80% of it in this thread to make Will and Bob's jobs easier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Didn't HM think the 5-10th period was one to watch?? Yes I am confused by his libating posts, maybe too much libations? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Yes I am confused by his libating posts, maybe too much libations? nope not one unfortunately, what are you confused about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Seriously?, have you looked at both of the OP ENS's . Steve this is how Joe trolls..he posts things he knows are completely opposite of concensus and things he doesn't believe at all. Once you know Joe's bias you learn he really thinks cold and snow is coming for most of Dec. ..and thinks opposite of what he's posting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Just because I stated what a model depicted did not mean I do not think there is not potential around the 9th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Steve this is how Joe trolls..he posts things he knows are completely opposite of concensus and things he doesn't believe at all. Once you know Joe's bias you learn he really thinks cold and snow is coming for most of Dec. ..and thinks opposite of what he's posting I think there is an opportunity for a snow threat around the 9th, after that I believe we warm up again. Just as I thought that this coming week would be warm with a lakes cutter 7-10 days ago, and you called me crazy, so whatever Kev. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 yes with a reversal around mid month i believe I could see more of a gradient pattern mid month for the northern tier perhaps. It's all going to depend on what happens out west. The NAO may disappear, but with the ridge pushing into western AK, it still will try and dump cold down towards the US. It is quite possible that it will be reversed for areas across the south or even the MA, if we lose the NAO. Heck maybe even here..but I think this area is a bigger wild card. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 nope not one unfortunately, what are you confused about? Kudos to HM? 384 hour op runs? This model has had huge timing issues past day three for the entire fall. Why would you even take any stock in what it has to say after day three, even then it's horrid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Yes I am confused by his libating posts, maybe too much libations? No, I get what he was saying. I read it too quickly at first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Kudos to HM? 384 hour op runs? This model has had huge timing issues past day three for the entire fall. Why would you even take any stock in what it has to say after day three, even then it's horrid. pattern recognition thats all, cold first couple weeks of december, and if we flip like he thought we would then kudos to him, whats the big deal lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I think there is an opportunity for a snow threat around the 9th, after that I believe we warm up again. Just as I thought that this coming week would be warm with a lakes cutter 7-10 days ago, and you called me crazy, so whatever Kev. The LC this week was a no brainer. I do need to remember your biases though being as close to NYC and Hobo Ferry as you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Its going to get cold, lets hope the NS gives us a clipper or redeveloper the next two weeks. Have a great night guys, time to read to the little ones, and then ginxy's libation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 pattern recognition thats all, cold first couple weeks of december, and if we flip like he thought we would then kudos to him, whats the big deal lol? You are easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 The LC this week was a no brainer. I do need to remember your biases though being as close to NYC and Hobo Ferry as you are. I would imagine being 60+ miles ne of nyc and far west from the oceans influence, im in a pretty similiar spot to your locale, i certainly dont get that dreaded changeover that se ct gets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I would imagine being 60+ miles ne of nyc and far west from the oceans influence, im in a pretty similiar spot to your locale, i certainly dont get that dreaded changeover that se ct gets Just kidding dude, what elevation are you?, according to the winter experts who know LA Nina winters you are at heavy heavy risk for sleeters transistioning to dry slots, me I think the gradient sets up Hobo Ferry SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I would imagine being 60+ miles ne of nyc and far west from the oceans influence, im in a pretty similiar spot to your locale, i certainly dont get that dreaded changeover that se ct gets Put your location in your settings, what town? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Bottom line is we were forced into this method of threads and posting..and even though the majority of us would prefer things the old way, we will all try and adhere to the new rules most of the the time. If there's a little banter in the model or pattern threads it's not a big deal and is ok. But we'll just try and do 80% of it in this thread to make Will and Bob's jobs easier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Black Op Bob did they give you a Jeep? My wife got a 11 black op ragtop Jeep, silly boys Jeeps are for girls is her mantra lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Black Op Bob did they give you a Jeep? My wife got a 11 black op ragtop Jeep, silly boys Jeeps are for girls is her mantra lately. Seriously? Those are cool... A bit overpriced but great looking product from the USA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Steve this is how Joe trolls..he posts things he knows are completely opposite of concensus and things he doesn't believe at all. Once you know Joe's bias you learn he really thinks cold and snow is coming for most of Dec. ..and thinks opposite of what he's posting He does this while wearing Depends and with a Costco sized stash of toilet paper at the ready...just saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Since they destroyed the fun we were having in the threat thread..here's how we get the bus rolling this year. Heads slowly bopping as we get moving..then as the threat gets closer heads bob faster.. we get wild with Ray and Wiz dancing up on seats, asses shaking,, and as the snow gets started entire bus fist pumping, handfuls of weenies flying thru the air beers being ripped back..bus in 4 wheel motion, hydraulics... just a wild time http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DVERz5D1YEU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 29/25, LOL at the pessimistic Nervous Nellies. Here's a prediction, Snow Bowl II next Monday night at Gillette Stadium as the Pats spank the up until now overly lucky Jets. It'll be a great game to sit back in the relative warmth of your living room and watch as snow falls on the faithful. Lock it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Since they destroyed the fun we were having in the threat thread..here's how we get the bus rolling this year. Heads slowly bopping as we get moving..then as the threat gets closer heads bob faster.. we get wild with Ray and Wiz dancing up on seats, asses shaking,, and as the snow gets started entire bus fist pumping, handfuls of weenies flying thru the air beers being ripped back..bus in 4 wheel motion, hydraulics... just a wild time http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DVERz5D1YEU I can't stop laughing as i read this, I can see the whole bus fist pumping......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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