ayuud Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I think the ruc is finally catching on this model snowfall forecast was spot on for buffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 It has to be snowing like 2" an hr, its just coming down like crazy.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 this sleet is prolly coming down at 1"/hr buffalo northward is overcoming the dryslot somehow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 PARTS OF THESCHOHARIE VALLEY AND WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY SEEING MULTIPLE INCHES PER HOUR EARLY THIS MORNING. ACTUALLY..PARTS OF THE SCHOHARIE VALLEY...WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEYAND NORTHERN CATSKILLS SHOULD SEE HIGHER AMOUNTS THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS...PERHAPS IN THE 5 TO 12 INCH RANGE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StotaRattler Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 ping ping ping and 17F in Canastota. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Moderate snow and 10F now...... It looks like I'm approaching 5 inches for this part #2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 LOL - schools won't even be closed. DANGEROUS Storm!! almost 200 closings mostly school related here in buffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 close to 7 inches(mostly sleet) for round 2 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 A couple bands have backfilled to my SW.. Its putting up a good fight,,No pings here yet..Nws said after the dryslot there will be some mixing, but can careless by then lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roady Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 16* 4" of snow no sleet so far but the back edge is upon us. The cars were 5 deep at the gas stations the other day and the store shelves looked like they had been looted. When wiil the next round of super hype begin? The media has now managed to comsume and pursude the weather part of our lives what is next? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 most closed due to pre-event hype...we don't normally close down for 6" of snow that is over by the time buses are rolling. This is the worst bust by the media, many meteorologists (practically all) and the models in several decades for the CNY area....total embarrassment, no other way to put it. This lesson should be pounded home once and for all, pertaining to a storm track such as this....IGNORE THE MODELS for our area.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 this guys had balls last night going with this forecast and almost still got it right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 2" of mostly sleet overnight. Right now it is a mix of freezing rain and sleet with some snow mixed in when it is coming down heavier. 26.2° @ 5:30. No suprise to me as these swfe always verify warmer than forcast here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Major pinging going on right now..It only snowed heavy for about 4 hrs but we prob recieved 4-6" during that time frame..Very intense snowfall at times,maybe more then 2" a hr..What killed me was the flakes size, it got better for 20 min and then that was that lol Total snowfall for the 1st event was 4".. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 This is the worst bust by the media, many meteorologists (practically all) and the models in several decades for the CNY area....total embarrassment, no other way to put it. This lesson should be pounded home once and for all, pertaining to a storm track such as this....IGNORE THE MODELS for our area.... SW flow above 850 fuked us..and the 1-2 inchQPF forecast. EC had it right (QP)...we had spirited debate here in the offcie i wanted to low end snowfall chief was ramped up for a lot ofsnow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roady Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 SW flow above 850 fuked us..and the 1-2 inchQPF forecast. EC had it right (QP)...we had spirited debate here in the offcie i wanted to low end snowfall chief was ramped up for a lot ofsnow... Tell the chief to lay off the fool*aid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Absolutely incredile conditions in Chicago the past several hours. Genuine blizzard... http://www.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KMDW.html truly unbelievable footage coming out of chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avid6eek Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Nice underperforming event around here. Overall I'm not nearly as disappointed as I would have been earlier in the season. Our snowpack is better right now than it has been for the past 3 years, and the forecast for the future looks snowy and cold. The models are already in pretty good agreement about events here on 2/5 and 2/8. We're just having a hard time getting a major snowfall....it seems like 4-8" is our range for each event. Currently: 14.1F, moderate sleet, haven't measured accumulation yet but I'd guess 4-6" new. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 When do you expect the snow to start in Ottawa? It's February 12-13,1993 again. I'm telling you man, you've got to believe. i went to bed early. i wanted to wake up early.....its pretty bad out there. the occlusion has occcurred and the storm is soooo wrapped up over the midwest......its moving quickly and im concerned we get dryslotted which would be just unbelievable considering where we sat a few days ago with a potential miss... if we dont get dryslotted i agree with Don S 6-10 for ottawa and montreal 8-12 south of the cities towards the border 3-6 north of the cities including the upper ottawa valley with the winds, it will be difficult to measure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 You're just not used to real snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 wow talk about fking bust yeah thats pretty bad......sorry to here. i guess the writing was on the wall.....this storm was just wrapping up so quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 first light reveals decent flake size.....nothing great but not tiny..... winds are howling, gonna be a tough commute across the area today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 SW flow above 850 fuked us..and the 1-2 inchQPF forecast. EC had it right (QP)...we had spirited debate here in the offcie i wanted to low end snowfall chief was ramped up for a lot ofsnow... I am convinced that any LP's coming in from the E. TX, LA area, moving NNE ward, occlude faster than any models ever anticipate, which allows for the midlevel baroclinicity to scream NE'ward. The CAD signature was actually a detriment to (and is very often the case) channeling the tongue of WAA to the west, punching well northward into the OV and eastern GL's. For whatever reason(s) the models consistently underestimate many parameters in these similar synoptic setups that lead to such a horrible, horrible error for our region. The under modeled convection to the south didn't help matters either, wrt the qpf up this way...... Bad day for mets for many parts of the OV and Upstate regions. And a potential for a follow up "bust" this weekend....maybe in reverse!! LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ontario squalls Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Did it snow last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 there is a big band lining up south of the cities......need that one to deliver later this morning and early afternoon dryslot is behind that band.....hopefully that doesnt cross the area, low should be collapsing and shifting SE off the new england coast to keep us in snow, albeit lighter the rest of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 4.9" @ 7am with .38 liquid. What a bust. Currently sleet with some flakes mixed in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Reporting from my car... Heavy snow, strong winds and crappy traffic. I'm loving it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Reporting from my car... Heavy snow, strong winds and crappy traffic. I'm loving it! drive carefully! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 this stuff is hard to shovel! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.