wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Just started snowing here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 SE of Lake Ontario should see some LES Thursday.....I'm just not sure how much. I've been watching this storm to much. Same here, this storm is a thing of beauty. The Upper level wind pattern is phenomenal, you can't beat a textbook coupled jet like that! As for Lake Effect, I've been curious about that myself. The V-day storm had quite a bit of Lake Enhancement under somewhat similar circumstances. Low level shear looks intense, so it will be nothing overly organized...just additional heat and moisture flux. Overall I see this storm as a highlight of this winter for sure! I completely agree..it is very beautiful.... it's going to be the biggest storm we've seen in awhile. I will tell you this storm has very impressive upper level support from the jet.....I think the primary low will hold on to its energy for awhile...I will be interesting to watch the transfer to the secondary on the coast. Its a snowgasm..I added thunder to the forecast for tomorrow's event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 THE WARM AND COLD AIR WILL STAGE QUITE A BATTLE...WITHTHE BOUNDARY LAYER THERMAL GRADIENT ORIENTED WEST TO EAST TIGHTENING AND RESULTING IN EXCEPTIONAL FRONTOGENESIS...BUT PERPENDICULAR TO THE STRONG V WINDS. THE BATTLE WILL FEATURE ERUPTIONS OF MOISTURE...RESULTING IN SNOW FALLOUT...AND IN SOME AREAS...SLEET LIKE PILES OF BUCKSHOT...AND SOME FREEZING RAIN. IN SNOW AREAS...MAY GET LITTLE MULTIBANDS OF ENHANCED SNOWFALL RATHER THAN WHAT WE HAVE SEEN IN THE PAST FEW STORMS THIS SEASON WHICH IS ONE BROAD BAND OF ENHANCED SNOWFALL LOWER END OF FINAL SNOW TOTALS IN AREASTHAT SEE MOSTLY SNOW...WILL BE WELL OVER A FOOT...WITH AREAS WITHIN THE MULTI BANDS AROUND 2 FEET. SOME HINTS OF CSI IN SATURATED LAYER IN CROSS SECTION ACROSS THE REGION DURING HEAVIEST SNOW WEDNESDAY. SNOWFALL RATES IN THE ENHANCED BANDS SHOULD BE 2"+ PER HOUR OR MORE. SNOW RATIOS LOOK TO BE AROUND CLIMO OVER MOST AREAS...AS THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE IS PREDICTED TO BE QUITE ELEVATED. SO THE SNOW MAY BE DRY...BUT A BIT MORE DENSE AND HEAVY THAN THE PAST FEW STORMS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the minister Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I'm just pinching myself here in Spencer...it looks like we're really going to get crushed! Amazing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 THE SLEET-SNOW LINE LOOKS TO BEALONG THE I-80 CORRIDOR IN PA WHICH SURPRISINGLY MATCHES UP WITH ALMOST ALL MODEL GUIDANCE AS OF 06Z. 00Z NAM12 CONTS TO BE THE COLDEST WITH H8 TEMPS AND WUD INDICATE ALL SNOW WHERE A MIX IS CURRENTLY BEING REPORTED OVR NE OH. THUS, WL CONTINUE WITH THE IDEA OF FOLLOWING GFS GUIDANCE FOR SHORT TERM DETAILS AS IT SEEMS TO BE PERFORMING THE BEST THUS FAR ALONG WITH THE HRRR IN THE VERY NEAR TERM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It's a beautiful day in the neighborhood........................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 HRRR 15 HR SNOWFALL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Hrrr every run looks the same, very consistent..Its also doing the best with temps along with the gfs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Snowing pretty good here. Hoping for a nice thump today so I'm not too dissapointed when it turns to sleet tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I'll post here. Start a new job in earnest on Monday, so I decided to chase this thing. Landed in Oneonta, NY because a HS buddy owns a bunch of hotels and his cousin owns the Hampton Inn up here. Got the room for 40 bucks. Seems like a good spot to see 5-7 today and hopefully 10 or so tomorrow. Moderate snow here now-- closing in on 2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Welcome Huff..Steady snow picking up here, radar looks good to the SW..I should be into mod snow for a while.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I'll post here. Start a new job in earnest on Monday, so I decided to chase this thing. Landed in Oneonta, NY because a HS buddy owns a bunch of hotels and his cousin owns the Hampton Inn up here. Got the room for 40 bucks. Seems like a good spot to see 5-7 today and hopefully 10 or so tomorrow. Moderate snow here now-- closing in on 2 inches. Cool. You might want to drive around a bit to some of the hilltops to really get the best experiance, if you have the proper vehicle/tires. Route 28 south out of Oneonta toward Delhi (where I am now) is a nice quick way to the higher elevations, but that road is notarious for accidents closing it on days like today and tomorrow. I know the area south of Oneonta real well and north somewhat so if you have any questions ask away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 mohawk can i get that hrr snowfall link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Cool. You might want to drive around a bit to some of the hilltops to really get the best experiance, if you have the proper vehicle/tires. Route 28 south out of Oneonta toward Delhi (where I am now) is a nice quick way to the higher elevations, but that road is notarious for accidents closing it on days like today and tomorrow. I know the area south of Oneonta real well and north somewhat so if you have any questions ask away. Rt 23 north out of town towards Morris has some pretty nice change in elevation. An some tricky turns in spots though. Glad my kid drives to SUNY Oneonta now. Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I actually measured and its very close to 3 inches already. I noted the hills outside town are 1500 feet and did some scouting last night. I'm somewhat beat from the drive and their computer system had issues last night when I showed up. Took them 45 minutes to get my room squared away. ( I got here at 1 AM and for some reason it cancelled my room) Heavy snow now-- great crystal growth, I imagine 15-20 ratio stuff. Going for a walk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Huff, Enjoy! My son and I are in the airport now. Assuming flights are on time, we arrive in Syracuse at 11:10am and in time for the main event. Hoping for 12+". Keep us posted from your location! I actually measured and its very close to 3 inches already. I noted the hills outside town are 1500 feet and did some scouting last night. I'm somewhat beat from the drive and their computer system had issues last night when I showed up. Took them 45 minutes to get my room squared away. ( I got here at 1 AM and for some reason it cancelled my room) Heavy snow now-- great crystal growth, I imagine 15-20 ratio stuff. Going for a walk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 mohawk can i get that hrr snowfall link? updating as we speak http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrrconus/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yea its snowing pretty good out Im getting a little nervous about sleet mixing in tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Huff, Enjoy! My son and I are in the airport now. Assuming flights are on time, we arrive in Syracuse at 11:10am and in time for the main event. Hoping for 12+". Keep us posted from your location! Flying-- why didn't I think of that. BTW, you're the coolest Dad ever pulling your son from school for a snow chase. 500 mile drive from LBURG. Great snow right now-- took a brief walk, not much walking near my hotel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Dude! I think we met once when you were chasing around Albany NY back several years ago (02/03 winter?), you stopped by my house for a few minutes. If I have you confused w/ someone else, I apologize. Welcome to the 'area'. Good timing. When I went on the ALB blizzard, I met BristolGeo at the Denny's in Johnson City-- is that you?? Met some locals LEK and I think his name is John who works at the Nuc plant in Oswego back in 07. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Frequent Flyer miles We usually drive. Takes us about 9 hours usually but quick trip this time. In today and back out Thursday evening! Hope things are not getting too bad around the airport though. Once I get there it can do anything it wants. He was already out of school today, but his grades are good so we do pull him out occasionally for some daddy time! I wonder if he will be as nuts as me over the weather when he gets older. HA! If you make the drive north today or tomorrow, let me know. Your welcome to stop by the cabin! Flying-- why didn't I think of that. BTW, you're the coolest Dad ever pulling your son from school for a snow chase. 500 mile drive from LBURG. Great snow right now-- took a brief walk, not much walking near my hotel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Frequent Flyer miles We usually drive. Takes us about 9 hours usually but quick trip this time. In today and back out Thursday evening! Hope things are not getting too bad around the airport though. Once I get there it can do anything it wants. He was already out of school today, but his grades are good so we do pull him out occasionally for some daddy time! I wonder if he will be as nuts as me over the weather when he gets older. HA! If you make the drive north today or tomorrow, let me know. Your welcome to stop by the cabin! Cool-- thanks. Looking at the data, it seems snow ends by noon tomorrow. Considering they kick ass here removing snow, maybe later on tomorrow evening if travel seems OK. I drove my little Elantra. The GF had the jeep and it really needs new tires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 thanks mohawk,,looks like mix and dryslot could fk things up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 lol it looks like snow is about to end for me already.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 2" so far and coming down real good.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 lol it looks like snow is about to end for me already.. Definitly booking. Going to end with a bang based on radar-- My hotel internet is friggin slow--having a hard time looping images and loading pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Slick Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 "Snowfall totals from this second round of snow Tuesday night & Wednesday will likely exceed one foot, with some areas potentially seeing close to 2 feet of snow" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I'm telling you. February 1993 redux OL. February 93 redux! High -17C in Ottawa today. Similar to end of January 1993, although our mean will finish two degrees celcius colder than that year. We have a similar snowpack to what we had at the end of February 93. Oh, the mean temperature in December 1992 was almost identical to December 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Its a snowgasm..I added thunder to the forecast for tomorrow's event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I'll post here. Start a new job in earnest on Monday, so I decided to chase this thing. Landed in Oneonta, NY because a HS buddy owns a bunch of hotels and his cousin owns the Hampton Inn up here. Got the room for 40 bucks. Seems like a good spot to see 5-7 today and hopefully 10 or so tomorrow. Moderate snow here now-- closing in on 2 inches. nice Huffwx! not sure if it will reach the MA snowgasm last year, but perhaps you can stick around for some lake effect and a couple more chances at snow in the next few days after this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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