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Feb 1-2 Upstate NY / North Country Major Winter Storm


CNYWxGuy

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SE of Lake Ontario should see some LES Thursday.....I'm just not sure how much. I've been watching this storm to much. :whistle:

Same here, this storm is a thing of beauty. The Upper level wind pattern is phenomenal, you can't beat a textbook coupled jet like that!

As for Lake Effect, I've been curious about that myself. The V-day storm had quite a bit of Lake Enhancement under somewhat similar circumstances. Low level shear looks intense, so it will be nothing overly organized...just additional heat and moisture flux. Overall I see this storm as a highlight of this winter for sure!

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Same here, this storm is a thing of beauty. The Upper level wind pattern is phenomenal, you can't beat a textbook coupled jet like that!

As for Lake Effect, I've been curious about that myself. The V-day storm had quite a bit of Lake Enhancement under somewhat similar circumstances. Low level shear looks intense, so it will be nothing overly organized...just additional heat and moisture flux. Overall I see this storm as a highlight of this winter for sure!

Yes sir, our region is exactly where we want to be:

nam_300_036s.gif

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Same here, this storm is a thing of beauty. The Upper level wind pattern is phenomenal, you can't beat a textbook coupled jet like that!

As for Lake Effect, I've been curious about that myself. The V-day storm had quite a bit of Lake Enhancement under somewhat similar circumstances. Low level shear looks intense, so it will be nothing overly organized...just additional heat and moisture flux. Overall I see this storm as a highlight of this winter for sure!

I completely agree..it is very beautiful.... it's going to be the biggest storm we've seen in awhile.

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From Environment Canada; their updated Special Weather Statement:

A significant snowfall is quite possible in the Ottawa Valley

including the national Capital region and over Extreme Eastern

Ontario including Cornwall on Wednesday as the storm gets

Closer. The winter storm watch may be expanded northwards and

eastwards as conditions warrant.

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0z Nam is looking like an even more powerful storm. The Lake Ontario plain is riding the hairy edge of being in an absolute golden spot for this storm... The sfc low seems a little more robust on this run too, perhaps increasing our winds more than in previous forecasts. I'm liking this storm.

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every single piece of guidance since the 12z runs has improved for my area......h7 low looking better and better as it crosses the region, as it as at h5.

await RGEM/GFS 00z, hopefully the trends continue.

You have to believe OL. You have to believe. :devilsmiley::weight_lift::thumbsup:

I'm starting to have increased hope for 8-10" Man, what a storm!

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wow KSYR has a real shot at beating their all time snowfall record this year

92-93 :wub:

I'm telling you. February 1993 redux OL. February 93 redux! :thumbsup:

High -17C in Ottawa today. Similar to end of January 1993, although our mean will finish two degrees celcius colder than that year. We have a similar snowpack to what we had at the end of February 93. Oh, the mean temperature in December 1992 was almost identical to December 2010.

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It won't last long, but Thursday will be pretty freaking cold, especially with that fresh snowpack and clear skies.

sounds good. Hopefully we get more vodka cold the week after, as well as more snow. February 1967, 1979 and 1993 are the ones to beat. 1934 is untouchable in my opinion. Record will stand forever.

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