ayuud Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Hey I noticed that MSNBC actually showed the weaher warnings on the Ontario side of the border on one of their maps showing each type of warning. You could see the county outlines barely. That was cool...usually these US networks just outline the lower 48 and leave it blank to the north like wx stopped at customs. Maybe one day they will have some kinda of integrated radar so you can pull up a national radar with canadian sites also included. That would be very cool with multi-lake bands. nice! yeah they usually dont do that.....which to us weather weenies is always good for a laugh. back in the 80 and 90s, ottawa's most reliable LR forercast came from Kevin Williams on Rochester TV , id always use his maps and such for accumulations. i havent tuned into any toronto media channels yet, but i am sure the hype machine is in full effect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Yeah I also remember in the 80's during my timer at Carleton and on trips there.... that the cable systems always carried the ROC nets in Ottawa. I thought that odd since SYR or even Plattsburgh is probably closer. nice! yeah they usually dont do that.....which to us weather weenies is always good for a laugh. back in the 80 and 90s, ottawa's most reliable LR forercast came from Kevin Williams on Rochester TV , id always use his maps and such for accumulations. i havent tuned into any toronto media channels yet, but i am sure the hype machine is in full effect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day2_psnow_gt_12.gif HPC chance for 12"+ snow from round 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 http://www.hpc.ncep....psnow_gt_12.gif HPC chance for 12"+ snow from round 2 that dreaded dryslot could fuk things up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StotaRattler Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 http://www.hpc.ncep....psnow_gt_12.gif HPC chance for 12"+ snow from round 2 I like it!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 WE SHOULD HAVESOME SNOW RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES AN HOUR FROM THE CAPITAL REGION...NRN BERKSHIRES...AND NRN CATSKILLS NORTHWARD. BETTER PCPN EFFICIENCY IS POSSIBLE IN THE DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH ZONE OF -12C TO -18C IN THE VICINITY OF THE HUDSON RIVER VALLEY WITH PART 2 OF THE STORM. ALL AND ALL...WE COULD SEE 8 TO 16 INCHES OF SNOWFALL OCCUR JUST BETWEEN 6 AM WED AND 6 PM THU. YARDSTICKS WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY. ...OUR NORMAL FEBSNOWFALL IS 12.7 INCHES. WE SHOULD BLAST THROUGH THAT NUMBER BY THE END OF THIS STORM. WE COULD GET UP TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE OVER THE MID HUDSON VALLEY...AND SRN LITCHFIELD CTY BASED ON THE CRITICAL THICKNESSES FROM THE NAM/GFS. IT SHOULD BE EMPHASIZED SLEET COULD CUT DOWN ON THE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SOUTH OF ALBANY TOO. FOR THEREGION...IT COULD BE THE BIGGEST EVENT...SINCE THE VALENTINES DAY 2007 SNOWSTORM/BLIZZARD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Ugly 15z SREF for KALB..QP up but more members have ZR... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Yeah, but by then you have had tomorrow's snow + a major WAA thump early Wednesday so it certainly adds up to a big accumulation in any event ...as long as it stays all snow. that dreaded dryslot could fuk things up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 It seems hard to believe we would have enough penetration of warm air for pure ZR ...Sleet yeah probable. But hey who knows. The good deal is we get a very nice thump tomorrow so even if Wed. is cut back it is still a very nice event. Ugly 15z SREF for KALB..QP up but more members have ZR... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Snowgasm or gasms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Yeah, but by then you have had tomorrow's snow + a major WAA thump early Wednesday so it certainly adds up to a big accumulation in any event ...as long as it stays all snow. there is nothing better than a foot plus storm followed by frigid temps below zero Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 lol blizzard warning for wisconsin with drift to 10 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 lol blizzard warning for wisconsin with drift to 10 feet Men.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StotaRattler Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 3 more model runs to go and then it is Storm Mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 didnt see it at the surface, but i liked the 18z GFS upper levels for that final possible 15-20 mile push we need up here. RGEM is very agressive still at 18z. still going with prelim 3-6 but trends continue to be encouraging.....on to the 00z models! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sgottmann Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Albany is certainly fired up. Talk of yardsticks and VD day are getting me jacked up. Just trying to figure out which day to ski -- Wednesday or Thursday and where to go (Gore, S. VT, Killington or Sugarbush). I guess the sleet line will be the determining factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 WNYT Channel 13 in Albany is going for 3-6" Tue and 14-20" on Wed for a 17-26" total. That's a NWSFO like forecast. I hope they don't get burned (well maybe being on the low side.....) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 WNYT Channel 13 in Albany is going for 3-6" Tue and 14-20" on Wed for a 17-26" total. That's a NWSFO like forecast. I hope they don't get burned (well maybe being on the low side.....) Bob has balls after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Yea i lived in troy ny for the vday storm, it was a great storm but looking at my avatar it seems like cny got crushed...Dolgeville ny in southern herkimer county recieved close to 40", ilion ny (1 mile west of here) recieved about 31" or so...Any thing even close to that would be amazing Last week i posted an analog website which had the vd 2007 storm as #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I think we could get something from that coastal storm on Saturday. The gfs is a near miss..normal correction of error and we get it. There is my chance to catch Ray in snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Theoretically the snowfall in the immediate CD could be close to the VD storm (though that seems a stretch). That is where the similarity ends as far as storm structure, etc.... And nobody will rival that snowfall max region to the west of the CD. Yea i lived in troy ny for the vday storm, it was a great storm but looking at my avatar it seems like cny got crushed...Dolgeville ny in southern herkimer county recieved close to 40", ilion ny (1 mile west of here) recieved about 31" or so...Any thing even close to that would be amazing Last week i posted an analog website which had the vd 2007 storm as #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Early congratz to syracuse/albany area for passing their seasonal average with this upcoming storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andyace Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 What is the expected snow ratio? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sgottmann Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 WNYT Channel 13 in Albany is going for 3-6" Tue and 14-20" on Wed for a 17-26" total. That's a NWSFO like forecast. I hope they don't get burned (well maybe being on the low side.....) Very bold at this juncture. potential for major let down. However, NWS is on his side. Channel 6 -- TWO DAY ESTIMATED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL FOR THE CAPITAL REGION: 13" TO 20". Waiting on Andy for the actual amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Ugly 15z SREF for KALB..QP up but more members have ZR... the probabilities for ZR look real low but like logan11 said sleet would not be suprising. are you thinking ALB flips to ZR at some point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 What is the expected snow ratio? look who's back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorizer Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Bob has balls after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 wktv in house model by 7 pm wed http://www.wktv.com/weather/blogs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 the probabilities for ZR look real low but like logan11 said sleet would not be suprising. are you thinking ALB flips to ZR at some point? No not really Just was "quoting" the SREF plumes verbatim...trend is colder on models...at worst just SOME IP mix for Albany..think round two 8-12 for CD, if no mix 12+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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