CNYWxGuy Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 Definately lending credibility to the colder 18z run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 Pure rue-age.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 hr 66 is real nice..looks like 3/4" here in a 6hr period.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 0Z NAM is cold and wet and all snow and perfect and it's gonna be exactly right!!!!!!!!! Definately lending credibility to the colder 18z run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 hr 66 is real nice..looks like 3/4" here in a 6hr period.. You might actually be .75+ in this period. She has a strip of .75-1.00 over the N Catskills / Mohawk Valley that looks to have your name on it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Patiience... had nice convo with colleagues..sort of a TV met collaboration.... TOP secret can't say what will happen but I can say not much arguing...... hmmmmm is that good/ Monday will tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 You'd have a tough time drawing up a better solution that includes most of Upstate than this one... 0Z NAM is cold and wet and all snow and perfect and it's gonna be exactly right!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 0Z NAM is cold and wet and all snow and perfect and it's gonna be exactly right!!!!!!!!! Total QPF for Over-running + Main Event and Zoomed in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Can't wait Andy...I noticed your competitor on 6 is thinking ice storm for Capital Region...at least that's what they're saying online now. Patiience... had nice convo with colleagues..sort of a TV met collaboration.... TOP secret can't say what will happen but I can say not much arguing...... hmmmmm is that good/ Monday will tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 What you said!!!!! The warm air keeps trying to advance and gets squashed by the PV. It's always very exciting and nerve racking when it looks this good a few days before the event. I'd feel better if this were the 12Z Tuesday NAM. You'd have a tough time drawing up a better solution that includes most of Upstate than this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I approve of this run.... Might make my drive back from NY a little bumpy Tuesday PM, but that's ok. I got through the white out on Wednesday evening. You'd have a tough time drawing up a better solution that includes most of Upstate than this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ontario squalls Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 May need to start a new thread for next weekend... DGEX goes nuts (albeit quite warm for ENY.....W and N NY gets the goods: Holy Carp, Batman!!! This could be the most impressive synoptic week in over a decade around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ontario squalls Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 This was the first time I started a thread between Eastern and American. You see... Andy and TG had been the only ones starting storm threads this winter before this one, and I dont think it was any coincidence that every storm ended up S / E or the only part of Upstate to reel in the significant snows were the CD folks. I started this thread because I felt we needed to change things up in order to get a significant synoptic snow event across the remainder of Upstate. When I started this thread, the models were all over the place (See original post). Now with less than a few days left before kickoff, this upcoming event has the potential to give atleast a portion of W / C NY a legit curb-stomping. Hmmmmmm... Well done my friend, well done!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Eta also has that enhanced precip around the MV area.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM clown map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 You da man!!!!!!!!!! This was the first time I started a thread between Eastern and American. You see... Andy and TG had been the only ones starting storm threads this winter before this one, and I dont think it was any coincidence that every storm ended up S / E or the only part of Upstate to reel in the significant snows were the CD folks. I started this thread because I felt we needed to change things up in order to get a significant synoptic snow event across the remainder of Upstate. When I started this thread, the models were all over the place (See original post). Now with less than a few days left before kickoff, this upcoming event has the potential to give atleast a portion of W / C NY a legit curb-stomping. Hmmmmmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM clown map The 0z NAM brought it to it's knees on this run. Accum's maxed out over 80% of Upstate... can't do much better than that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM clown map There's an epic gradient between exit 15 and exit 20 on the Thruway on this map................You go from about 2 inches to maybe 2 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 You da man!!!!!!!!!! Yes... yes I am... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FEFD17 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 There's an epic gradient between exit 15 and exit 20 on the Thruway on this map................You go from about 2 inches to maybe 2 feet. I guess I should get the plow put on tomorrow night........ I was kinda enjoying the break and I still have a ton of repair work to get done. It's looking good for us......so far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I'm thinking that you're going to be in the sweet spot with 18"+. Get that plow on!!! I guess I should get the plow put on tomorrow night........ I was kinda enjoying the break and I still have a ton of repair work to get done. It's looking good for us......so far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 That sure is a purty map. Things (finally) look to be lining up in our favor, Bri......but because of "gunshyness" another couple sets of runs without significant variations, would certainly help. But from 2.5 days out....this looks to be as much of a lock at 12+ as there is......for the total event.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Not to be greedy but just a slight tick north would be great and still make everyone here very happy. Should be in Redfield by noon on Tuesday.. I will keep you posted. Banking on 16-24". Things (finally) look to be lining up in our favor, Bri......but because of "gunshyness" another couple sets of runs without significant variations, would certainly help. But from 2.5 days out....this looks to be as much of a lock at 12+ as there is......for the total event.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Can i get a forecast for BUF for this storm. not to be picky just no one ever really talks about BUF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Slick Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StotaRattler Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 Not to be greedy but just a slight tick north would be great and still make everyone here very happy. Should be in Redfield by noon on Tuesday.. I will keep you posted. Banking on 16-24". 0z GFS not as wet with the over-running as 0z NAM. Hard to tell when period of over-running ends as GFS seems to keep light precip over region right up until the main event. Quite a disparity between the NAM / GFS thermal profiles... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 ncep is better , the blue line isin't as thick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 ncep is better , the blue line isin't as thick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 interesting runs im with Andy....12z tomorrow. nite weenies! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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