snowgeek Posted February 11, 2011 Author Share Posted February 11, 2011 My wife took the day off, slept late and reported that the heated mattress pad was working great. -6F at my house, -9F at my school....Brrrrrrrrr!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 My lovely wife reported that it was "really cold out" after she locked her keys in her van, and locked herself out of the house! (Keypad to get in was not working...too cold) She got back in after she realized she had the remote opener in her coat pocket..... I hope, for your sake...you didn't laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 Made it down to -25 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 11, 2011 Author Share Posted February 11, 2011 Wow! Is it OK if we laugh? Made it down to -25 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ontario squalls Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 Made it down to -25 here Wow!! My low was 4 above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 I hope, for your sake...you didn't laugh. She was laughing! Which was great, because she is so OCD about being to work on time...AAA had her unlocked in like 30 seconds!! My wife said the guy could make a nice second living just roaming parking lots with his "tool".... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 while the GFS and GEM have backed off on the torch somewhat the latest 12z euro is the worst torch yet for my area. still going to be a couple more days to sort out the details but its hard to be optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 Wow! Is it OK if we laugh? ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 She was laughing! Which was great, because she is so OCD about being to work on time...AAA had her unlocked in like 30 seconds!! My wife said the guy could make a nice second living just roaming parking lots with his "tool".... LOL....That is funny.....I won't say another word. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 the 0z and 6z GFS offer quite the contrasts on the torch, and represent the 2 opposite extremes as far as duration and severity. this has been the theme on the models.....as per the 6z GFS does a backdoor cold front progress far enough across the continent to cool us off and build a wall of heights near the canadian border and western high pressure... so the torch ending storm a short while later has to run W-E resulting in a rain->ice->snow event as arctic air oozes down across the lakes. or as per the 00z, does a big storm in atlantic canada and strong atlantic high bottle things up enough that the backdoor front washes out to the NW and into hudsons bay, never crossing our region.... resulting in the next storm having enough room to cut well NW of us resulting in a full blown multi-day torch ending with rain. the 00z euro backed off its 12z run yesterday, allowing an intermiedate ground. overall, the models are still undecided and waffling and we will have a better idea on monday. for now, i think its best to assume the worst considering how these usually play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 a little windy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 Late report...but we had -15F early yesterday morning. I heard that Esperance was -21F. My lovely wife reported her truck read -13 when she backed into the doghouse this morning, shattering the driver side rear tail light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 18z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 looks to be a brief, but devestating torch for my region on Thursday and Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 40 Thur and maybe 45 Fri devastating? Flash freeze before dawn Saturday. I mean it isn't fun, but devastating is like 50's and heavy line of rain, dew points around 40. looks to be a brief, but devestating torch for my region on Thursday and Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 40 Thur and maybe 45 Fri devastating? Flash freeze before dawn Saturday. I mean it isn't fun, but devastating is like 50's and heavy line of rain, dew points around 40. Point well taken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 the latest GFS and GEM are becoming much more potent up here with the rainfall at the end of the week this is pretty much in line with expectations with how torches come and go at this time of the year, and makes more sense given the abrupt end of the torch. for my area at least, i would continue to watch for the torch to continue to amplify as we get closer, with higher humidities and more rain and more impact on the snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saggy Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 She was laughing! Which was great, because she is so OCD about being to work on time...AAA had her unlocked in like 30 seconds!! My wife said the guy could make a nice second living just roaming parking lots with his "tool".... I got arrested for doing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 I don't think this warmth is going to get too carried away. Looking at the water vapor map The pattern looks to cool back down after three days or so..Looking out for the rest of the month; the pattern for the end of the month looks to be complicated with quite a few short waves.... But the Teleconnectons and Models are picking up on some storminess around the 21st-23rd...But to be fair the GFS has started to back off of this Idea. The reason is the GFS has lost upstream blocking. So I guess we will just have to wait a few more day to see what turns up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 had a high of 36F here while couple miles away from the lake were well into the 40s.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 lost about an inch from my snowpack also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 had a peak gust of 60mph around 5am this morning,still 50+ gusts outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 had a peak gust of 60mph around 5am this morning,still 50+ gusts outside wow thats impressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 14, 2011 Author Share Posted February 14, 2011 55F here and sunny....clouds moving in and wind picking up. Beautiful day!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 well the torch is not going to be pretty but at least on the globals it now looks to be of shorted duration, with the front coming through on friday evening. hopefully the majority of the rain passes north of us too. if we can keep cloud cover on thursday, that would be great too. it certainly wont compare to the blowtorch of january 2008, but significant damage will still occur. interesting, backing up Ottawa Blizzard's research, another storm will threaten the region early next week, and that could be a snowstorm for somewhere in our region... but there is a risk of mix with that too as the trough is actually out west and ironically we will need a block to develop and force the storm out under us, or else its another lake superior cutter west of us.....at this time, i would favor snow/mixed precip though based on OB's past history and the setup as of today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Next week is looking interesting...After the cold air comeback....it looks like we will see a couple of storms. Also, looking at the NINO SST index it looks like La Nina is starting to lose its grip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 the snowpack took a big hit here . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 well the torch is not going to be pretty but at least on the globals it now looks to be of shorted duration, with the front coming through on friday evening. hopefully the majority of the rain passes north of us too. if we can keep cloud cover on thursday, that would be great too. it certainly wont compare to the blowtorch of january 2008, but significant damage will still occur. interesting, backing up Ottawa Blizzard's research, another storm will threaten the region early next week, and that could be a snowstorm for somewhere in our region... but there is a risk of mix with that too as the trough is actually out west and ironically we will need a block to develop and force the storm out under us, or else its another lake superior cutter west of us.....at this time, i would favor snow/mixed precip though based on OB's past history and the setup as of today. I think Ottawa will take a run at 50F/10C this week unfortunately. Awful conditions for the Rideau Canal skateway, although tthey might be able to salvage it for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 THINGS GET MORE INTERESTING EARLY NEXT WEEK. GFS TAKES NEXT LOW ON APATH FROM NEAR CHI TO LK ONTARIO...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN A MAINLY RAIN EVENT FOR OUR AREA...BUT LATEST 00Z ECMWF IS ABOUT 100 MILES FURTHER SOUTH...TAKING THE LOW FROM ABOUT INDY TO PIT AND THEN OFF JERSEY COAST TUES...WITH OUR REGION COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW...WITH SOME IMPRESSIVE QPF. TIME FRAME WOULD BE MON NT AND TUES MORNING. PLENTY OF TIME TO WATCH THAT...FOR NOW WILL KEEP MONDAY DRY WITH INCR CLOUDS AND BRING LOW CHC SNOW INTO WEST LATE IN DAY. STAY TUNED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avid6eek Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 Yesterday's high at my house was 53.1F and most of the day was sunny. The snowpack held firm, but I don't think it will have as much staying power later this week because we'll have 48+ hours above freezing. Most of what melted yesterday just refroze deeper int he snowpack. That won't be the case later this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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