Coach McGuirk Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 We might see a few flurries tonight if this band can hold together. As for DT, he's a joke. The pattern into January doesn't look very good for snow here. It's nice to see that I'm still always right when it comes to the Hampton Roads. I still have the same outlook for February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Is it normal for a dual pol upgrade to take over a month to finish? http://www.erh.noaa....kq/dual_pol.php No, it takes about 7-10 days. It may be a typo... they probably mean Feb. 10 - Feb 17. Upgrades have been running ahead of schedule. Back in August AKQ's upgrade dates were 27-Feb-2012 to 11-Mar-2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 00z GFS catches a little southern stream energy this time for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 The weekend storm wants to be a Miller A coastal but I doubt enough cold air will be in place for snow. Maybe a little on the wrap around? GFS has Newport News at .3 inches of snow. It's a start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suffolkweather Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Yeah, all the models are now showing some close in coastal development. But, the high pressure is centered too far back.. not.much of anything significant for us if the high stays that far west. It would be rain changing to snow showers, but surface temps will most likely stay above freezing while any precip falls. Maybe we can squeeze out a dusting in this scenario? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAB1 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 The main low gets away to quickly for any changeover early Sat. but all the models seem to be showing some sort of upper level feature swinging in behind the main low through VA later Sat. and that may be our shot at a dusting or a bit more. This feature is trending a little stronger - 12z NAM has almost .10 in Southside HR Sat. afternoon/evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 The phase is very close on the 12Z Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 First time all season, Wakefield put up a chance of snow. Even if it is just 20%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Maybe there really is a Santa Clause! First time all season, Wakefield put up a chance of snow. Even if it is just 20%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Alright, I'm calling it. Light snow/snow showers from 8pm-2am Saturday Night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 OMFG! We have the Coach's Word!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 OMFG! We have the Coach's Word!!! I don't usually make calls like this But when I do, it's because this winter has been awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 New GFS looks nice with the second northern stream system coming through! Possible dusting to an inch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suffolkweather Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Yeah, looking promising for a dusting to an inch. Maybe a little more tuan inch closer you get to the coast? I haven't seen wrap around moisture depicted like this in a long time. Too had the high is so far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 00z GFS is an inch of snow for all of Hampton Roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 ALL HAIL THIS GREAT ENDING TO WINTER!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 ALL HAIL THIS GREAT ENDING TO WINTER!!!! As far as I know, winter isn't over until early April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Just for Coach!!! Hazardous Weather Outlook HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 459 AM EST FRI FEB 10 2012 NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-049-060>063-065>071-079>083-087>098- 111000- NORTHAMPTON NC-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK- BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-FLUVANNA-LOUISA- PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG- NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE- PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY- JAMES CITY-YORK-SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON- NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH- 459 AM EST FRI FEB 10 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...INTERIOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EAST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...INTERIOR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA...THE PENINSULA OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND THE PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY...BRINGING MUCH COLDER AIR TO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS SATURDAY EVENING MAY BRING A LIGHT ACCUMULATION TO MAINLY GRASSY SURFACES. IN ADDITION...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GUST TO 30 TO 45 MPH SATURDAY EVENING...AND 25 TO 35 MPH ON SUNDAY...PRODUCING WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 10 TO 15 DEGREES SUNDAY MORNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 12z GFS went down to a dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoff Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 EPIC AWESOME if true. 2 inches would be a miracle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 SNOW!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 SNOW!!! Radar down. Great timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 It is ok, because we can always attach ourselves to weenie radar tonight! Radar down. Great timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VBsurf Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Temps are running below forecast. I think the forecast was around 52 and partly cloudy so that should help a bit with ground temps. Also notice the wind is more N than NW/ I really hope it stay more on a Northerly trajectory for maybe some bay enhancement?? BTW what radar will you guys use tonight? Link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I agree with the hope of Bay enhancement as this is the type of cold air mass needed to produce such events. Give me North winds baby! Also, A NW wind could alter where the best band sets up to the north of Southside. A bit more northerly component and it will help things a lot! I will probably use TWC radar or something like that. Not the best, yes, but something better than weenie radar. Perhaps local channels radar as well. Temps are running below forecast. I think the forecast was around 52 and partly cloudy so that should help a bit with ground temps. Also notice the wind is more N than NW/ I really hope it stay more on a Northerly trajectory for maybe some bay enhancement?? BTW what radar will you guys use tonight? Link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 IS this band developing the start of our convergence taking place? http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D-Money Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 This is a good look when the radar comes back online http://weather.cod.edu/cgi-bin/radarloop.pl?station=AKQ&product=BREF1&loopdir=brefs For now http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D-Money Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 take a look at the nam sim radar IS this band developing the start of our convergence taking place? http://radar.weather...s/full_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 You have a link? take a look at the nam sim radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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