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Hampton Roads Obs/Disco


Martin

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Can someone squeeze 6 inches?! Wonder if Jeff Lawson will show up to work today?

That would be awesome. latest radar, looks like things will be backing off. Jeff did say that a shift 50 miles to the north would put HR in the bulls eye. Still I think he just had 2-3" at the most for anyone. I think he was basing this storm off our last system (this weekend) to much.

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8th snowiest season on record? These are the only seasons I can find in excess of 20" officially at Norfolk. The snowfall records began there in 1891.

2010-11: 22.0"

1988-89: 24.6"

1979-80: 41.9"

1947-48: 24.7"

1939-40: 22.9"

1935-36: 37.7"

1933-34: 20.1"

1917-18: 23.4"

1913-14: 21.7"

1911-12: 21.3"

1892-93: 33.3"

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8th snowiest season on record? These are the only seasons I can find in excess of 20" officially at Norfolk. The snowfall records began there in 1891.

2010-11: 22.0"

1988-89: 24.6"

1979-80: 41.9"

1947-48: 24.7"

1939-40: 22.9"

1935-36: 37.7"

1933-34: 20.1"

1917-18: 23.4"

1913-14: 21.7"

1911-12: 21.3"

1892-93: 33.3"

The guy on WAVY or WVEC said 7th snowiest.

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The guy on WAVY or WVEC said 7th snowiest.

I'm not making it up, the system shows the numbers. Rank them and it comes out to be 8th.

Just because the media says it, doesnt mean it's right. And I don't mean to throw them under the bus, but there are some things even in AKQ's climate section that's inaccurate.

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Going to be fun to see which model has it right in the short term.

12z GFS....

RIC .11"

ORF .34"

ECG .54"

ONX .67"

12z NAM

RIC .02"

ORF .06"

ECG .16"

ONX .32"

12z Euro

RIC .03"

ORF .07"

ECG .09"

ONX .11"

Model observation of this event.....

Overall the GFS did best by a fair margin (on this short range run).......

GFS - For ORF, did almost perfect Over done for RIC and ECG, It's precip field was a little too broad. Overall it did best.

MAM - did ok with cutoff in NW region, but too underdone in SE VA. It did well in NE NC which it was only a little under at ONX. It did best depicting the tighter gradient/precip shield.

Euro- Very poor on all accounts, it just flat out had the wrong idea.

I know it may be a little "unfair" to pick just one model run and compare, but I don't have time to validate every run. I feel the models should have the right idea at hour 24 and this is the one I chose yesterday (didn't pick it now) to track & "score".

On average since day 3 the GFS was the most wet, then NAM, then EURO. So, in general it felt like the GFS kept the best solution through out, although it did have some dry runs like the others at times. Euro was very consistient with pretty much nothing inside day 6 or so.

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I'm not making it up, the system shows the numbers. Rank them and it comes out to be 8th.

Just because the media says it, doesnt mean it's right. And I don't mean to throw them under the bus, but there are some things even in AKQ's climate section that's inaccurate.

LOL

I'm not saying you're wrong. I'm just stating what some guy on the TV said.

Still, 7th or 8th snowiest. Not bad for Norfolk. They needed it after so many awful winters this decade.

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