40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Matt Noyes just talked a lot about next week in his tech discussion. He seems to think the storm next week may be the biggest of the year, if that is possible. But at any rate, interesting to hear. I hope this time more of NNE gets in on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 we really should all go in on a crack house/ snow house in the snowiest place we can find. Just hard core snow crack weenies sittin around all day with vacant looks in our eyes, laptops of all the models running, old videos of storms, walls plastered with maps from 60-61, Feb 69, 78, 93-94, 96, etc... Every once in a while Pete skis by, stops in, takes a hit from the pipe and back on the trails. We could have the "Ray Room" which would be padded of course, and the MPM room where we could go to worry. The Will room would just be a looping tape of him describing the details of every single snow storm over 4 inches in Worcester since about 1978. That made me laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Boy you weren't kidding about Matt Noyes liking the storm middle of next week. Just got off phone with Father. Says that we have a 33" snow pack in Brockton. And really shouldn't be too much melting going on as temps aren't suppose to be too high. Only what the sun melts. If next weeks storm verifies to half of its potential then where in the heck are we going to put more snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Holy crap the 84 HR NAM has potential.. if that vort in Cali and that 488 MB 500 PV (-40C at 850) phase.. Watch out.. One word... monster Ridging out west.. vortex rides southern stream... super PV dives to the east coast... KABOOM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I'm telling you, the more I think about it, the more I have come to terms with the rubber band snapping. Maybe not till later in February but if we get 2 months dump 90 inches with more or less constant cold who could complain? Agree, although if torching is going to happen, I would want gradual warmth with no rain. Rain would be devestating to me here, especially with all of the ice daming I have going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 we really should all go in on a crack house/ snow house in the snowiest place we can find . . . Funniest stuff I've read in a while (didn't want to quote the whole post). Sorry Steve for keeping things off topic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Holy crap the 84 HR NAM has potential.. if that vort in Cali and that 488 MB 500 PV (-40C at 850) phase.. Watch out.. One word... monster Ridging out west.. vortex rides southern stream... super PV dives to the east coast... KABOOM! KABOOM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Holy crap the 84 HR NAM has potential.. if that vort in Cali and that 488 MB 500 PV (-40C at 850) phase.. Watch out.. One word... monster Ridging out west.. vortex rides southern stream... super PV dives to the east coast... KABOOM! looks like a quadruple phase with the weenie stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 looks like a quadruple phase with the weenie stream I thought it was one of those rare quintuplet phases where we have vorts coming in from 5 contninents that pahse over the mid atlantic and end up over tolland... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 looks like a quadruple phase with the weenie stream March 93 shifted 200 miles east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 lol, gotta love the BOX AFD: WED NIGHT AND THURSDAY... LONG RANGE MODELS BEGINNING TO SUGGEST STRONG SHORTWAVE PASSING OVER THE REGION WITH DYNAMICS SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHTS STORM. HAVE SUGGESTED THE CHANCE FOR SNOWFALL...AS CURRENT TREND SUGGESTS PASSAGE JUST E OF THE BENCHMARK. HOWEVER...WILL NOT HIGHLIGHT SPECIFICS ON THE FEATURE A WEEK IN ADVANCE AS CONFIDENCE IS STILL LOW WITH THIS STORM. Such a nonchalant reference to last nights storm. And "just E of the benchmark" + seasonal trends = boom This very short, and at face value unexciting paragraph basically says, another significant to major winter storm on the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 looks like a quadruple phase with the weenie stream He's the polar vortex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Holy crap the 84 HR NAM has potential.. if that vort in Cali and that 488 MB 500 PV (-40C at 850) phase.. Watch out.. One word... monster Ridging out west.. vortex rides southern stream... super PV dives to the east coast... KABOOM! The GFS looks WAY different than the NAM at 84, weenie stream looks completely out of phase to me, you worried?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 The GFS seems to have so much potential with the mid-week system...just an incredible amount of dynamics to work with....probably going to have a very nice Gulf connection as well so ample moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 They are removing snowbanks from Brookline Village and Coolidge Corner. Disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 They are removing snowbanks from Brookline Village and Coolidge Corner. Disaster. They're doing it everywhere... I drove home on Rt 9 from Metrowest and was behind a couple of dump trucks filled to brim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 GFS shifts north nicely for the midweek event and then drops an arctic high over NE Thu night/Fri morning. It gives me 2m temps of -30C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 The GFS seems to have so much potential with the mid-week system...just an incredible amount of dynamics to work with....probably going to have a very nice Gulf connection as well so ample moisture. I can't imagine we get another MECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I can imagine we get another MECS. Absolute porn run of the GFS tonight..start to finish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Absolute porn run of the GFS tonight..start to finish. Meant can't.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I can't imagine we get another MECS. Well the potential is certainly there Honestly I see this as either a hit or something that gets sort of suppressed to our south and just misses us. If this ends up being a hit though I think it will be big, just so much dynamics and incredible moisture feed. Obviously too early to go into fine details but it does seem, right now at least, that this would be something that could be another one of those somewhat fast moving systems that packs quite a punch. Now onto the other globals! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Well the potential is certainly there Honestly I see this as either a hit or something that gets sort of suppressed to our south and just misses us. If this ends up being a hit though I think it will be big, just so much dynamics and incredible moisture feed. Obviously too early to go into fine details but it does seem, right now at least, that this would be something that could be another one of those somewhat fast moving systems that packs quite a punch. Now onto the other globals! this could be a great overrunner for you guys or it could be a big cutter for all of us. suppressed is going out the window quick with the latest runs, and the teleconnections would support that....of course that could all change in say.....oh 12 hours ....at which point yuod be right again, and id be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 climo + history = this not being sne's storm one way or another Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 i actually disagree this could be a great overrunner for you guys or it could be a big cutter for all of us. suppressed is going out the window quick with the latest runs tonight.....of course that could all change in say.....oh 12 hours ....at which point yuod be right again, and id be wrong. After what just went on, I wouldn't throw anything out the window, at this point other than your post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 After what just went on, I wouldn't throw anything out the window, at this point other than your post. i added to my original post my feeling is that this will be a good overrunning event for the I-90 corridor. im basing that on the combination of the strong PV over hudsons bay + teleconnections + limited phasing out west due to the pac ridge + climo i have already posted as such in the central/upstate threads much earlier today. tongihts runs dont change that. i just dont see it suppressed unless its a piece of turd energy that passes meekly off the SE coast. of course i could very easily be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 i actually disagree this could be a great overrunner for you guys or it could be a big cutter for all of us. suppressed is going out the window quick with the latest runs, and the teleconnections would support that....of course that could all change in say.....oh 12 hours ....at which point yuod be right again, and id be wrong. Alot will determine phasing likely, if the southern stream and the northern stream phase too early then we can certainly see a cutter like scenario, however, notice the series of high pressures back over the northern Plains and sliding down from Canada, whatever happens here could help and try to push this more eastward, disallowing a cutter like scenario. I could potentially see some sort of overrunning type thing but I think we would see something similar to this past event with that regards. Still plenty of time to work things out though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Alot will determine phasing likely, if the southern stream and the northern stream phase too early then we can certainly see a cutter like scenario, however, notice the series of high pressures back over the northern Plains and sliding down from Canada, whatever happens here could help and try to push this more eastward, disallowing a cutter like scenario. I could potentially see some sort of overrunning type thing but I think we would see something similar to this past event with that regards. Still plenty of time to work things out though! yeah for sure. will be interesting to follow as usual. its dead in here tonight lol was just throwin out my 2 cents no hockey either, you going to the 2 Whale games over the weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 yeah for sure. will be interesting to follow as usual. its dead in here tonight lol was just throwin out my 2 cents no hockey either, you going to the 2 Whale games over the weekend? Yeah everyone is probably exhausted Definitely am! HUGE games...top two teams in the division come in this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Euro looks like the NAM at 84hr so snownh may get his extrapolating wish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Don't like the looks of this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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