dendrite Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 FWIW,12z Ukie has the sfc low into W KY at 84, C PA at 96, and then well offshore at 108 east of 60W. Seems a little fast from 96 to 108. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 FWIW,12z Ukie has the sfc low into W KY at 84, C PA at 96, and then well offshore at 108 east of 60W. Seems a little fast from 96 to 108. It looks like it would get the sleet line pretty far north based on that sfc pressure track at 96h. Probably up into CNE...but then again its Crazy Uncle...might be a track of HSE next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I'd have to add them up, but I think its around 70" What elevation are they taken at? Do you know what part of town? I'm just curious if they are up slope or down slope? I'm definitely down slope from Union and have 67.3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 This synoptic setup reminds me of a pattern in 2006 or 2007 of a parade of storms running from STL to central OH and then due east just south of NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 It looks like it would get the sleet line pretty far north based on that sfc pressure track at 96h. Probably up into CNE...but then again its Crazy Uncle...might be a track of HSE next run. Also, is it popping a triple point or secondary off the coast while the low is in PA. Didn't the 1/7-8, 1994 event feature temps near 50 in PIT while we were getting KUd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 It looks like it would get the sleet line pretty far north based on that sfc pressure track at 96h. Probably up into CNE...but then again its Crazy Uncle...might be a track of HSE next run. Maybe its sfc depictions have sucked, but it's had a pretty good run at H5 in the last couple of weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 What elevation are they taken at? Do you know what part of town? I'm just curious if they are up slope or down slope? I'm definitely down slope from Union and have 67.3". I think they take them near the center of town at about 1025 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 It looks like wed storm may be alot like the one we just had in some ways, first we had possible mix issues with each model run all through conn/mass even north of hartford was mentioned ,then 2-3 days before the model runs went way south and we were worried about getting a dusting only to come way north into perfect position for conn in its last 24 hrs,only difference this time might be colder air to our north where it was suppose to be scoured out last storm.I can see how you have to treat every storm solution differently,but do comp models understand seasonal trends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I think they take them near the center of town at about 1025 feet. If you can't find a house on Weenie ridge in princeton..you should consider living in Union..high elevation..great snow spot..great snowpack retention..cooler in the summer..rural, yet close to civilization Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Id take the 12z GFS. Probably gives me 12+ before some pinging if you count the tuesday pre-event. If the Euro trends colder, game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 If you can't find a house on Weenie ridge in princeton..you should consider living in Union..high elevation..great snow spot..great snowpack retention..cooler in the summer..rural, yet close to civilization I avg more snow where I live right now than Union. They are a good snow spot, but they are 25-30 minutes from civilization. Very nice area though...just too far into the sticks for me. Maybe when I'm older. Though I'd pick weenie ridge since its better on both fronts....def more snow and still only 15 min from ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 wbz blog chucks 'em then decides to mention record snowfall. Why not? What I see is a lot of cold in place, a moisture laden low coming out of the Gulf which will likely track south of New England. This has the ingredients for another substantial snowfall across many areas of New England. Today, it looks like along and North of the Mass Pike will have the best chance for a foot or more of snow. I would not be surprised with some areas seeing 15-18″. Of course a slight shift to the south, will bring it all down with less mixing and more snow like we saw this week. So still plenty of time to adjust, analyze and discuss all the possibilities between now and then. The storm will be exiting, but still lingering accumulating snow into Thursday morning. This has the potential to be a bit more of a stretched out prolonged event compared to our recent quick hitting powerful storms. This slower duration will help the snow pile up inland. Cold arctic air will follow in behind the storm. There is Plenty of cold air left in this pattern for the next 2-3 weeks of February with a persistent trough in the Northeast and the potential for more storm development in the battle of warmth in the south and cold in the north. Instead of a blocking pattern keeping the cold in place, it is the Polar jet stream and Polar vortex in Canada which are back on the scene which will steer in pieces of energy and reinforcing cold shots into the Northeast to keep things very interesting. A break from the relentless cold of this winter will likely have to wait until the final week or two of February. For real? For real. If this keeps up we may be heading towards record snowfall for a winter. 60.3″ at Logan and Counting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 Actually Will I thought that was maybe 24 hours further out. And a couple of days ago they had the blizzard for Cleveland with this upcoming event...lol.. John.....I never said we've been in a 1993-94 pattern. It's just the upcoming modeling. Don't chastise me like I'm an idiot knowing nothing about the differences in teleconnective indices this winter vs that one. But ground truth might well be another issue. Who ever did that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I avg more snow where I live right now than Union. They are a good snow spot, but they are 25-30 minutes from civilization. Very nice area though...just too far into the sticks for me. Maybe when I'm older. Though I'd pick weenie ridge since its better on both fronts....def more snow and still only 15 min from ORH. SW NH go above 1500'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I avg more snow where I live right now than Union. They are a good snow spot, but they are 25-30 minutes from civilization. Very nice area though...just too far into the sticks for me. Maybe when I'm older. Though I'd pick weenie ridge since its better on both fronts....def more snow and still only 15 min from ORH. I have a sugarbush on Stickney Hill Rd in Union/Stafford. There's a guy who lives down the street at 1250' and he keeps track of temps in the spring for me. I swear that ridge get's 5-10"/year more than places a few hundred feet lower. Especially in those marginal events I've seen it snow there and be raining at the center of town. You can see a map below. Google Maps 1250' Union What nice about that location is that you're 5 minutes from the Interstate and 15 minutes from Sturbridge. Yeah it's 30 minutes from Worcester, but you're also 30 minutes from Manchester and there's plenty of civilization there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I'll feel pretty good if the euro levels off, but it may be just a hair warmer than 00z imo. I'll be ecstatic if it isn't. A little warmer through 54hr. Hopefully it doesn't get too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 SW NH go above 1500'. I think he said he wanted to avoid the "sticks"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I have a sugarbush on Stickney Hill Rd in Union/Stafford. There's a guy who lives down the street at 1250' and he keeps track of temps in the spring for me. I swear that ridge get's 5-10"/year more than places a few hundred feet lower. Especially in those marginal events I've seen it snow there and be raining at the center of town. You can see a map below. Google Maps 1250' Union What nice about that location is that you're 5 minutes from the Interstate and 15 minutes from Sturbridge. Yeah it's 30 minutes from Worcester, but you're also 30 minutes from Manchester and there's plenty of civilization there. Its like that near the ridge line in Princeton north of me. I've seen it raining or rain/snow mix in Holden near 1000 feet and then by the time I'm up onto the ridge line at 1300 feet its a whiteout with rapidly accumulating snow on the roadway. It can be pretty nuts on those setups. Usually it doesn't last that long as the snow level will drop or move up in elevation and northward after a relatively short time, but sometimes it can stay that way for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 ...Euro rollin on in now - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I think he said he wanted to avoid the "sticks"? Semantics, he said "too far into the sticks" Monadnock region isn't that far from civilization. Anyway, looks like 10-20" for us, lock it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I'm sick of daytime highs being warmer than forecasted. 35.0\25 UGH. I'm out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Euro likes the idea of moving snow into the area Tuesday morning out ahead of the main storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I'm sick of daytime highs being warmer than forecasted. 35.0\25 UGH. I'm out. yeah, lots of melting.. but clouds rolling in now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 PV is trying with all its might. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Euro likes the idea of moving snow into the area Tuesday morning out ahead of the main storm. A nice 0.25"+ for all of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 yeah, lots of melting.. but clouds rolling in now.. 35.6\26 Maybe lose an inch, today....2m temp forecasts blow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 This map really surprised me because it doesn't look like I should get 8-10" of snow based on the 850's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Little colder through hr 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 35.6\26 Maybe lose an inch, today....2m temp forecasts blow. MAV has been way too cold the past few days. The warmer MET MOS has been verifying well for many spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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