weathafella Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 If snow numbers have credibility, some places are getting an awful lot this week. I hesitate because of their epic failure in our last 2 major storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 So the GGEM just hangs back most of the energy and used just the front runner stuff to make the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 John, The previous pattern this winter was not '93-'94-esque, you are def right about that, but this current one most certainly is. Its why like 3 different storms have popped up from that season on the CIPS analog site the past 2 or 3 days. Yeah, I agree - I was trying to point that out, too - that this particular event is (ironically enough). cool. are you going to that deal tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Her loss...lol. actually, I stand corrected. it was the 2/8/94 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheetah440 Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 What is this 'highway' that you speak of? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Boy, the end of the GFS run has an air mass even colder than the one we has last week! This winter won't end folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 January 4 1994. Check this out. This was wild. SPECI KBOS 041504Z 02038G57KT 1/4SM -SNPL -BLSN OVC/// OVC016 A//// RMK R04RVR06V14 SIPBS8 PRESFR WND 33V07 DRFTG SNW SLPNO A 57 knot gust with pellets mixing in....that probably peeled some paint off a few homes in the Boston area, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 actually, I stand corrected. it was the 2/8/94 storm. Bummer....that was a HECS (wasn't it the Friday event that was modeled OTS till the last minute. I went to a funeral at its height.....5 hours to come from the cemetary in Sharon back to my office in Boston. 20 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 12z GGEM looks like optimal LP placement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 CMC is quite the dumper......a huge amount of snow for most of us Tuesday AND Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I almost would like to see an inch of ice just out of pure morbid curiosity to see what it would do to the city infrastructure right now. That would be an awful sight to be sure. I am hoping see some pretty epic snow removal issues crop up over the next month or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Kevin I think all this snow has gone to your head lol, that's major icing even for you. At best it looks like a 6 to 10 inch front end dump with lots of sleet and lots of freezing rain, but your temps probably don't get above 30F this run! I'm just basing it on the inevitable south and colder trend that we'll start seeing over the next day or 2.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 That would be an awful sight to be sure. I am hoping see some pretty epic snow removal issues crop up over the next month or two. ORH is probably in pretty rough shape regardless of which one happens....there really isn't anywhere to put another 12" of snow....and of course an inch of ice would be an epic disaster with the current snow pack. You'd have structure collapse issues with little runoff occurring and all the water clinging to everything in the form of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 I know that of course but the upcoming pattern sure resembles it's best moments...at least this week's pattern. It's like the teleconnections are handing off to ensure we stay cold and snowy somehow before a stronger NAO returns. Crazy. No kidding! haha - I was chiming on at the beginning of this thread how there was a teleconnection signal for a major thaw/warning, and no sooner does the EPO crash "Oy Vey" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I want to see Kevin shovel 6" of sleet onto his Mt Everest snowbanks. The plow came by as soon as my made my 12-24 post..and they had one of those dual plow things with a blade on the side and one on the front..2-3 feet piled in front of my driveway..Just finished shovelling that nightmare..Sweaty mess. The street is a little wider now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 LOL Did you make it back Wed night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 My girlfiend broke up with me on the school bus during that storm. Kinda ruined it for me. lol. Phuckin b**ch - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Many events like this have the warm layers 850-700mb though. Sometimes it's not modeled that way well and when the event is unfolding everyone is wondering why they are turning to sleet so early. Then actual soundings show the warmest air streaming in at 800mb or something. Maybe I'm a nervous negative nellie, but I'm still concerned about getting pingers up here given how far out we still are. fixed...you don't strike me as negative. is this at all similar to dec 19-21 08 which was a double hitter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phishn Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 CMC is quite the dumper......a huge amount of snow for most of us Tuesday AND Wednesday. The CMC performed well the past storm. Does this model tend to do well with anomalously cold air masses? I don't recall the biases of this model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vttaconics Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I'm just basing it on the inevitable south and colder trend that we'll start seeing over the next day or 2.. Bite your tongue!!!!!!!!!!! LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 actually, I stand corrected. it was the 2/8/94 storm. That was a good storm for LI I believe. I'm sure that softened the blow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 The CMC performed well the past storm. Does this model tend to do well with anomalously cold air masses? I don't recall the biases of this model. Not in this time range it didn't. I think it had a blizzard for Binghamton and Syracuse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 My girlfiend broke up with me on the school bus during that storm. Kinda ruined it for me. lol. Thank God for the storm though to distract you! Leaving now guys, see ya'll in a coupla hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 A 57 knot gust with pellets mixing in....that probably peeled some paint off a few homes in the Boston area, lol. I remember watching Ch 5 live right when it happened at Logan. The reporter had her head ripped to the side from the gust..lol. I'll never forget it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 ORH is probably in pretty rough shape regardless of which one happens....there really isn't anywhere to put another 12" of snow....and of course an inch of ice would be an epic disaster with the current snow pack. You'd have structure collapse issues with little runoff occurring and all the water clinging to everything in the form of ice. CT is in worse shape than ORH..I'll be able to tell on the drive up in an hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 The GGEM is beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 CMC is quite the dumper......a huge amount of snow for most of us Tuesday AND Wednesday. This model has been a POS much of the time - but sometimes forces the hypocritical oath. As I discussed in my earlier diatribe, I think the colder solutions should be weighted this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 CT is in worse shape than ORH..I'll be able to tell on the drive up in an hour We know how to plow up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 We know how to plow up here. You also don't have 35-40 inches of snow on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 The CMC performed well the past storm. Does this model tend to do well with anomalously cold air masses? I don't recall the biases of this model. typically over-amped more than 3 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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