Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Yeah, rough down here. Snow to PL/ZR and then maybe rain? That would be an ugly storm for people with 30" of snow OTG lol Looks like a foot of snow with a sleet mix/frzra coast to snow flash freeze. Think trend goes back south some starting tomorrow, still think major major storm for a whole lot of people. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Looks good for interior MA up through NNE Maybe Mica Vim Toot will get some snow Gfs says I taint at the peak, but not before chipping into Kev's 10" lead on the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 GFS is wicked cold Thursday/Friday GFS has 2m temps in the -30s F Fri morning for N NJ, S VT, and ORH. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I don't see how this is a good trend for SNE. Looks like the Lakes region gets hammered with this on the 00z GFS. Snow-Ice outside 128 You will be fine , sleet , its a transitional sleet too, your massive snowpack will increase and be frozen like a popsicle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I feel good because the low levels are unlikely to go above freezing outside of rt 128....and when it is up to the mid levels I usually do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Gfs says I taint at the peak, but not before chipping into Kev's 10" lead on the season. ... Jan will be CTs month. Feb will rock you. And March? Fugedaboutit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I don't see how this is a good trend for SNE. Looks like the Lakes region gets hammered with this on the 00z GFS. Snow-Ice outside 128 Nothing is going to warm us at the surface with that HP draining mighty cold down. Do you remember 1993-94? Every one of those storms was modeled like this. Overrunning is always over warmed by models it seems in this type of pattern. I have no doubt it will give us plenty of snow and little sleet. Remember this winter's pattern. It's not changing next week. ' ; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 GFS has 2m temps in the -30s F Fri morning for N NJ, S VT, and ORH. lol Boys crying for their Mommas..... guys I am telling you over and over, historic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I feel good because the low levels are unlikely to go above freezing outside of rt 128....and when it is up to the mid levels I usually do well. bombed and I think qPF is underdone by 20-30% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Nothing is going to warm us at the surface with that HP draining mighty cold down. Do you remember 1993-94? Every one of those storms was modeled like this. Overrunning is always over warmed by models it seems in this type of pattern. I have no doubt it will give us plenty of snow and little sleet. Remember this winter's pattern. It's not changing next week. ' ; Yeah Im going to agree. Seasonal trend FTW. Outcome likely in the same neighborhood of recent storms even with a differences in pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I like where I sit with this storm, again. If it goes south, Im still far enough south where I should get some good snows most likely. If its warmer I still get a good dump before some ice, bring the snowpack into the 30s. In the middle and I get the jackpot with 12+ possible. Of course, this could trend into a lakes cutter, but I dont see it happening. My guess IMBY major 8+ snowstorm: 50% chance major snowstorm with taint: 40% suppresion: 1% cuts west/non wintry solution: 9% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 You will be fine , sleet , its a transitional sleet too, your massive snowpack will increase and be frozen like a popsicle. EPIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Boys crying for their Mommas..... guys I am telling you over and over, historic lol - Got faith in the "circle". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Boys crying for their Mommas..... guys I am telling you over and over, historic You have to write a big version of that... lots of wailing and huddling... people burning furniture...Kev climbing out of a second story window to add to his snowbanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 wtf Day After Tommorrow? Cold air from the stratosphere crashing helicopters? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 . . . Allright guys. I'm out. It's been another epic week, and pushing for the same next week. As much as I want to stay awake, I've got to hit the sack. Hopefully I will see some of you tomorrow. -out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Gotta love how horrible the GFS 2m temps are...especially in the LR. Date: 6.5 day AVN valid 12Z FRI 4 FEB 11 Station: KFWN Latitude: 41.20 Longitude: -74.62 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 0 1000 227 SFC 998 240 -35.6 -36.2 95 0.5 -35.7 324 2 237.6 237.7 237.6 238.1 0.17 2 950 608 -15.7 -33.0 21 17.4 -17.6 141 3 261.3 261.3 258.7 262.0 0.25 3 900 1018 -13.3 -40.0 9 26.7 -16.1 171 8 267.8 267.8 263.4 268.2 0.13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 bombed and I think qPF is underdone by 20-30% Not that it matters, but I have to think I sleet this run because the H85 0c line gets so close at hr 120....even if it doesn't quite make it to me, my H7-8 temps must sh** the bed at least brielfy at the height. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Time to sleep. See some of you tomorrow. Rest up this weekend. Light snow.falling...minor dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 You have to write a big version of that... lots of wailing and huddling... people burning furniture...Kev climbing out of a second story window to add to his snowbanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Not that it matters, but I have to think I sleet this run because the H85 0c line gets so close at hr 120....even if it doesn't quite make it to me, my H7-8 temps must sh** the bed at least brielfy at the height. You're safe verbatim this run. H85 is the warmest layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 You're safe verbatim this run. H85 is the warmest layer. Thanks alot...may try to sneak above btwn 120-126 hrs, but it wouldn't be a big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 What I would give to lock that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 And the GFS is literally Brutal Winter Snow or Cold 100% of the time. Its like an eternal winter. I feel like I'm in Quebec City right now looking outside... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Am I over tired, or is that around 1.8" of QPF.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Am I over tired, or is that around 1.8" of QPF.... More like 1.1-1.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Perfect day-time storm. Almost/all snow. 1"+ qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 More like 1.1-1.2 Yea...I'm still reeling from the last event....thx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Yea...I'm still realing from the last event....thx. Overtired here too... Really need to get a solid 12 hour sleep tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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