IsentropicLift Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I know its a tad weeniesh of me to say this but, you just get the feeling that this one will be special, and from what I read on the main forum, the EC wants to really pump up the SE ridge after Valentines day and bring warmer than average temps over the entire east. While that idea has drawn quite a bit of skepiticism, you have to wonder how long this pattern can go on before we run out of luck? I hope we can squeeze one more MECS out of this season but if we don't, well its been an amazing season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I know its a tad weeniesh of me to say this but, you just get the feeling that this one will be special, and from what I read on the main forum, the EC wants to really pump up the SE ridge after Valentines day and bring warmer than average temps over the entire east. While that idea has drawn quite a bit of skepiticism, you have to wonder how long this pattern can go on before we run out of luck? I hope we can squeeze one more MECS out of this season but if we don't, well its been an amazing season. you mean the euro weeklies or the extended ens? The euro only goes out to feb 7 and it get very cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 you mean the euro weeklies or the extended ens? The euro only goes out to feb 7 and it get very cold the new weeklies which just came out today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I have mixed feelings about this one, I'm not sure we'll be able to pull out another snow event with the low going so far NW. Maybe a sleet and ice storm, but we'll just have to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I have mixed feelings about this one, I'm not sure we'll be able to pull out another snow event with the low going so far NW. Maybe a sleet and ice storm, but we'll just have to see. Like Jim said above, perhaps it's our turn this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I have mixed feelings about this one, I'm not sure we'll be able to pull out another snow event with the low going so far NW. Maybe a sleet and ice storm, but we'll just have to see. Frankly I think this storm you should have the MOST confidence in as any so far this winter. Dec 26 was borderline on getting the storm to develop in time and far enough west, 50-100 miles further east and we would have got nothing, this weeks bomb was a miracle (no cold and perfect timing). This storm is coming (huge coverage storm with abundant moisture), we will have bitter arctic air abundant and well entrenched with high pressures flanked to our north and west. As long as you can accept the possiblity of not a 100% snow storm and some changeover to sleet/ice you shouldnt be dissapointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 the new weeklies which just came out today. no they came out sunday, they always do i believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I know its a tad weeniesh of me to say this but, you just get the feeling that this one will be special, and from what I read on the main forum, the EC wants to really pump up the SE ridge after Valentines day and bring warmer than average temps over the entire east. While that idea has drawn quite a bit of skepiticism, you have to wonder how long this pattern can go on before we run out of luck? I hope we can squeeze one more MECS out of this season but if we don't, well its been an amazing season. We've ran through a whole winter without ever getting any cold or a snowstorm-- 22/24 months as a matter of fact, from 1990 through 1991, so why cant we have a mere four months of snow and cold? Time to balance the scales Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 and btw its snowing lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 and btw its snowing lol. I was just abt to post the same thing...its like clockwork...death, taxes and snow in 2010-2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Frankly I think this storm you should have the MOST confidence in as any so far this winter. Dec 26 was borderline on getting the storm to develop in time and far enough west, 50-100 miles further east and we would have got nothing, this weeks bomb was a miracle (no cold and perfect timing). This storm is coming (huge coverage storm with abundant moisture), we will have bitter arctic air abundant and well entrenched with high pressures flanked to our north and west. As long as you can accept the possiblity of not a 100% snow storm and some changeover to sleet/ice you shouldnt be dissapointed. No that's NOT acceptable ALL snow or BUST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 no they came out sunday, they always do i believe. Well I was just quoting what I read off the main thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 no they came out sunday, they always do i believe. Thursday evening they come out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 so far through 48hrs the gfs is less aggressive with bringing in the northern stream energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Thursday evening they come out. my bad, i thought it was sundays...sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Well I was just quoting what I read off the main thread your right, im wrong...sorry about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 your right, im wrong...sorry about that. No sweat Tombo, nothing but respect for you, now back to the weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Do we want the northern stream faster or slower? I would think we want it slower and phase in as late as possible... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Like Jim said above, perhaps it's our turn this time. Unless the EURO verifies, then it's Upstate NY's, interior NNE's and the GL's turn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Man Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 no they came out sunday, they always do i believe. Do they show a heatwave as he suggested? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 At 123 hours, major ice storm for parts of jersey and PA. At 126 hours, NYC switches over to ice too. Warmer at the mid levels this run. As we said, 12z was best case scenario. Doesnt look like 32 surface line gets north of middle jersey even though 850 does warm. Lots of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jgir Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 This is our storm. As Will.I.Am. says, "I gotta feelin'" but all autotuned n junk... Seriously, this is almost the perfect set up for us snow-starved in NE-Central PA to get heavy snows--overrunning...where there's not some superbomb transfer of energy to a coastal low eroding the NW precip shield. For all of us that live up this way (pretty much me, voyager and psuhazwx) this could make or break our winter. *JIM* I am a little south east of ya Jim, also on the low end of snow. The upcoming set up is quite favorable for our "neck of the woods" this time around. Let's see if the model trending continues over the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 big dump of snow over to a lot of ice on this run for the cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 This is our storm. As Will.I.Am. says, "I gotta feelin'" but all autotuned n junk... Seriously, this is almost the perfect set up for us snow-starved in NE-Central PA to get heavy snows--overrunning...where there's not some superbomb transfer of energy to a coastal low eroding the NW precip shield. For all of us that live up this way (pretty much me, voyager and psuhazwx) this could make or break our winter. *JIM* Good luck up there Big Jim. I agree it's your time to shine. Well see what happens down this way. I think snow to ice at the very least where I live..I'm not exactly concerned with the euro solution today just yet given the other guidance, but we will see if rain becomes likely down this way. Agree with SG that if it locks into something then I'll follow it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 At 123 hours, major ice storm for parts of jersey and PA. At 126 hours, NYC switches over to ice too. Warmer at the mid levels this run. As we said, 12z was best case scenario. Doesnt look like 32 surface line gets north of middle jersey even though 850 does warm. Lots of ice. Does it get north of Philly? If so it sounds like it's moving to the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 big dump of snow over to a lot of ice on this run for the cities. Ever-Green Tree's worst nightmare. Gonna have alot of limbs and tree's coming down if this happeneds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 big dump of snow over to a lot of ice on this run for the cities. Ice meaning sleet or freezing rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I do not believe Philly gets about 32 at the surface, its close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Just saw it on NCEP -- Yep, steps towards the EURO here based on the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Ice meaning sleet or freezing rain? prob transitions to sleet, but it looks like a lot of frz rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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