EastCoast NPZ Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Re that HPC map: how does a storm center move from west central GA (day 6) to Nova Scotia (day 7) in one day? the HPC 3-7 fcast... they are going the way of gfs and euro according to maps.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2011 Author Share Posted January 27, 2011 Re that HPC map: how does a storm center move from west central GA (day 6) to Nova Scotia (day 7) in one day? no block? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 60 hr NAM looks interesting off the west coast http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/18/images/nam_500_060l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Yeah, but there is a high sitting over NY, though I can't see the map well enough to read the pressure. You'd think that offered some resistance? That's 1,000 + miles movement in 24 hours. I'm just trying to learn here, but that doesn't seem right. Wouldn't seem to be a big precip producer moving as fast as projected. no block? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 with that vortex sitting over Hudson's Bay, that event next week has a shot at being big with all that energy out west http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/18/images/nam_500_084l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Re that HPC map: how does a storm center move from west central GA (day 6) to Nova Scotia (day 7) in one day? 150+ kt jet might be enough to do the trick http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_250_162m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2011 Author Share Posted January 27, 2011 with that vortex sitting over Hudson's Bay, that event next week has a shot at being big with all that energy out west http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/18/images/nam_500_084l.gif We seem to always get a nice event or 2 before a hecs. 2010,2009,2003 etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 We seem to always get a nice event or 2 before a hecs. 2010,2009,2003 etc that's because of pattern repetition it killed us the for almost 2/3's of met winter, but maybe now it will save us now that we are into a more favorable pattern for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 The last few days have felt like 09/10 all over again. We got our mojo back I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregD Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 lolz ... veronica johnson on channel 4 mentioned a significant snowstorm next week. i guess the bite marks on her azz are still painful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 For the love of God I hope yesterday's snow makes these threads more bearable. The whining about the seasonal trend and the screwjobs on prior storms was getting to be too much. But then again, there was even whining last year because of too much of a lull between 12/19 and the good storms beginning late Jan. Some people are never happy I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 I am dying to track a snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 For the love of God I hope yesterday's snow makes these threads more bearable. The whining about the seasonal trend and the screwjobs on prior storms was getting to be too much. But then again, there was even whining last year because of too much of a lull between 12/19 and the good storms beginning late Jan. Some people are never happy I guess. Easy for you to say jonjon - You get snow every winter. You get snow if a bird farts. You are climatologically GUARANTEED to be waist deep in snow EVERY WINTER from now on thru the year 9877. You are literally up to your chest in snow - We have been forced to wait for LATE JAN for ankle deep snow. You'll get another 100 inches snow easy - We'll have to track our asses off for another 3 inches since we are unlucky enough to live well east of the mountains - mountains that steal our snow more often than not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
W4CGT Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Doug Kammerer thinks they "did a pretty good job" forecasting the snow totals. He and Veronica must be on something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 that's because of pattern repetition it killed us the for almost 2/3's of met winter, but maybe now it will save us now that we are into a more favorable pattern for us The new pattern of white/cold, cold/white, white/cold is much more to my liking. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 We're going to have snow on top of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 I love this heavy wet snow so much. I am almost in tears from sheer gratitude for five inches of sweet heavy wet snow. It's going to freeze nice and tight overnight. I am going to savor so many jebwalks in the next few days. Can anyone tell me how much snow Loudoun County ended up getting - especially up on RT 7 up to RT 9? I may just get to see it personally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 18Z GFS has the "money in the bank" system on the move at 114hrs on its way east http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_500_114l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 We're going to have snow on top of snow (on top of snow). fixed MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 18Z GFS has the "money in the bank" system on the move at 114hrs on its way east http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_500_114l.gif It sure does look "special" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 It sure does look "special" it does at this point http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_700_114l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 We're going to have snow on top of snow (on top of snow) [on top of snow]. NOW it's fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Top two climo set ups for heavy snow in DC: 2) strong 500mb low moving NE from the deep south and off of the VA coast 1) Strong dual axis artcic HP to our north with a disturbance moving out of the south central plains or GOM. back to back storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 It sure does look "special" Love that ridge out west. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 For the love of God I hope yesterday's snow makes these threads more bearable. The whining about the seasonal trend and the screwjobs on prior storms was getting to be too much. But then again, there was even whining last year because of too much of a lull between 12/19 and the good storms beginning late Jan. Some people are never happy I guess. +100 18z hits va hard so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 according to earlight, DC snowstorm at 141 hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mascho Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Trying not to get sucked back in, but this GFS run is pulling me right back...love the look at 138. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 at 132 hrs, it s leaving a piece out in the SW so this looks to come out flatter on this run, but we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 according to earlight, DC snowstorm at 141 hour she looks real nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 she looks real nice NCEP only out 132hrs, but it sure looks cold at 850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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