Grothar of Herndon Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Maybe somebody here can answer: Wasn't there a post yesterday, can't remember the thread, where it was stated that a data recon flight was requested and sheduled with the Tues storm in mind? Didn't it also say that this info would first show in the models by 0z and 12z sun? Anybody know? And any guesses why the sudden change in the GGEM? Yep http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/11326-winter-storm-fail-next-week/page__view__findpost__p__386894 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Euro has a serious ice storm again for Dulles and Leesburg. .26 of qpf with Temps around 28. 850 temps at 0.6. Much colder than past several runs is this the front end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Larryweather Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 accuweather has us in heavy snow ....Foots forecast ice storm ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 accuweather has us in heavy snow ....Foots forecast ice storm ... so now we know the two least likely scenarios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Larryweather Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 so now we know the two least likely scenarios actually Foots forecast does a good job ... disagree.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 is this the front end? Yes sir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 so now we know the two least likely scenarios How much of a fail is this? For those who haven't been able to read any of the pages before this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I'm not ready to give up on this. I have a good feeling about this storm. I think our area will see some front end snow and then a decent coating of ice that will cause even more power problems. We'll start to get a better handle on this tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I'm not ready to give up on this. I have a good feeling about this storm. I think our area will see some front end snow and then a decent coating of ice that will cause even more power problems. We'll start to get a better handle on this tomorrow. Wonderful! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Wonderful! I'm not sure what the situation is like in DC and its immediate area, but last night there were still dark areas in Bmore that BGE was actively working on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Yes sir i guess the 850 line moves north faster than it looked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 3 rain storms on the euro Good to see things back to normal in RIC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 3 rain storms on the euro so much for snow and winter!! at least for the immediate future, not surprised though.Need to be realistic about this winter. Still La nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Wonderful! I hope we get just enough ice so you don't have power. j/k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 3 rain storms on the euro Now we enter the race against time the season. Feb is a short 4 weeks. Sure we can get snow during the first half of March but it has been proven to be very elusive and it's tough to stay cold afterwards. Maybe this year will give a good solid March dumping? Nina's have their strengths around here right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 It's almost as if the last storm didn't even happen. It's like a funeral around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I hope we get just enough ice so you don't have power. j/k - You're terrible lol And @Randy - I'm more than happy with that storm. Anything else in my mind is bonus. If this one fails who cares I had boatloads of fun with this last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 @Randy - I'm more than happy with that storm. Anything else in my mind is bonus. If this one fails who cares I had boatloads of fun with this last storm. What? Are you on prescrips?? j/k- it was a nice release of pent up snow depression. Too bad we can't just pile it on like NYC. Either way, were just one decent storm away from climo totals. Hardly anyone expected that this winter. I think the hardest part of this winter is that it has been just plain cold for weeks on end with little precip. It's one thing when it's a torch but all that cold with only one decent storm really grates on the nerves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Ye aeroplane dataz will get in the 0z/12 runs tonights. We all know what that means.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 What? Are you on prescrips?? j/k- it was a nice release of pent up snow depression. Too bad we can't just pile it on like NYC. Either way, were just one decent storm away from climo totals. Hardly anyone expected that this winter. I think the hardest part of this winter is that it has been just plain cold for weeks on end with little precip. It's one thing when it's a torch but all that cold with only one decent storm really grates on the nerves. Forgive me...I'm high on having a warm house again . Definitely took away a little of the bite from the Dec 26th storm. I mean don't get me wrong if this one finds a way to give us a win I'm all for that but I'm content at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Good to see things back to normal in RIC. The best sign for us would be a wintry mix in Richmond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 accuweather has us in heavy snow ....Foots forecast ice storm ... What the heck is Accuweather looking at? I just saw that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Actually, I'm somewhat serious. If the new data doesn't help (which is a slim to none chance and a weenie lifeline at best anyway), then it really will be telling tonight. Telling us to bail hard. Like others have said, the lag energy might spark something, although its a bit warm on the Euro verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdsofprey02 Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 actually Foots forecast does a good job ... disagree.... They did well last year because they aim high for every storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Now we enter the race against time the season. Feb is a short 4 weeks. Sure we can get snow during the first half of March but it has been proven to be very elusive and it's tough to stay cold afterwards. Maybe this year will give a good solid March dumping? Nina's have their strengths around here right? At DC Mod/Strong Ninas before this have about 32% of their 3"+ snowfalls in March, and the same for Jan (tho we added another this yr). On the whole it's 31% Jan, 30% Feb, 18% Mar. Of course the sample sizes difference is quite large so who knows if it's as meaningful as it looks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Actually, I'm somewhat serious. If the new data doesn't help (which is a slim to none chance and a weenie lifeline at best anyway), then it really will be telling tonight. Telling us to bail hard. Like others have said, the lag energy might spark something, although its a bit warm on the Euro verbatim. this storm never looked that good after the first few runs that were interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 is this the front end? Yes sir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Yes sir Yes sir deja vu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Snowpack hanging tough up here, anyway. Driving around my neighborhood and over to Towson area, the trees were still gorgeous with snow still affixed to the trunks and the undersides of some branches of all things, and very little melting going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 At DC Mod/Strong Ninas before this have about 32% of their 3"+ snowfalls in March, and the same for Jan (tho we added another this yr). On the whole it's 31% Jan, 30% Feb, 18% Mar. Of course the sample sizes difference is quite large so who knows if it's as meaningful as it looks. as diff as this NINA has acted, I don't think one can rely on the past NINAs at all this one certainly has a mind of its own Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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