Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 this is still a winter warning storm for Loudoun County per GFS but any more warmer runs and were done. GGEM cuts low to vancouver Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 I agree storm cancel. When the models lock rain at 114 hours away, it never goes back. relax..most of the storm is still frozen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 relax..most of the storm is still frozen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Early bailers make me sad. wait till the euro torches us again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 relax..most of the storm is still frozen Ice does nothing for me, only good thing is it would save my snowcover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 wait till the euro torches us again I'm not going out till 0z Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 watch out for a coastal with left over energy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I'm curiouser and curiouser about what follows this mid-week event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Don't give up on the GFS version of the DGEX storm. It had a fairly close approach at 18Z. Not horrible at 150. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I'm curiouser and curiouser about what follows this mid-week event... This.. IF we have hope for a winter threat its going to be what happens with the left over energy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Not tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I'm not going out till 0z Monday Id hope for the frontrunner for now. We need help on the main show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 watch out for a coastal with left over energy good catch Ji, I started becoming interested in that with the 12z runs today. Models will have a hard time resolving what comes behind until they can get this first system out of the way, but it has the look of something that could pop if the trough is a little more amplified behind this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 The strung out energy back toward the south-west killed the idea of a storm coming up this time ;p Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I'm curiouser and curiouser about what follows this mid-week event... Tht might be the Feb mecs brewing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Hopefully, this is the warmest run that we see. It is concerning that basically all of the model guidance wants to wrap this low up a little too much and a little too early so that it shoots up between the departing high to the northeast and the arriving high to the west. As PSU said, we need a weaker more strung out low or we need that high to the west to press in sooner. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 this winter fooking sucks. We must lead the league in wasted potential. 1.5 of liquid in Mid January and we only get 8-12 inches? Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I'm having flashing backs to last Friday. Wasn't many on this board at this exact same time 7 days convinced that this past Wednesday storm was looking more and more like it would be a cutter? Wasn't The only model showing us getting anything but heavy, perhaps flooding rain, at this stage last week the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 notice that when there is a cutter, the models rarely ever shift. When there is coastal, there are massive shifts on a nightly basis even up to 24 hours before the storm. The Central people have it easy when they are inline for a storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 I'm having flashing backs to last Friday. Wasn't many on this board at this exact same time 7 days convinced that this past Wednesday storm was looking more and more like it would be a cutter? Wasn't The only model showing us getting anything but heavy, perhaps flooding rain, at this stage last week the Euro? nope.. at this time last week...Euro gave us 6 inches of snow, an inch of rain and 8 inches of snow on the backend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I'm having flashing backs to last Friday. Wasn't many on this board at this exact same time 7 days convinced that this past Wednesday storm was looking more and more like it would be a cutter? Wasn't The only model showing us getting anything but heavy, perhaps flooding rain, at this stage last week the Euro? Different setup this time really.. I can't really see this as a comparison to what happened last week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 a b-day mecs would be good.. it fits the tuesday/wed pattern. tho we really need a sat storm for a mecs/hecs. if wednesday was a saturday we could have had a hecs. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_pcp_264m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 a b-day mecs would be good.. it fits the tuesday/wed pattern. tho we really need a sat storm for a mecs/hecs. if wednesday was a saturday we could have had a hecs. http://www.nco.ncep....fs_pcp_264m.gif good looking storm with no surface low and a 1012 L in michigan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 im ready for a warm up and then a 41 inch early March Blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 Maps scream for PDIII at 384 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 ive called for PDIII every year since PDII Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 how can we have a strong La Nina and not had a January thaw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 im ready for a warm up and then a 41 inch early March Blizzard What, are you moving to Boston? MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 What are you moving to Boston? MDstorm when Ian moves to Florence, SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Ji you just went through like 3 mood shifts in like 5 post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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