stormtracker Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Newbie here. Have been reading the last few posts, so question is: models have not been in agreement - and what was that bi-polar thing????? anyway --- and temperatures seen to be warmer to support more of a 'sneet' or ice event, no? It does seem we always trend colder than predicted -- hence my skepticism on temps, unless this comes so far west.... Has this storm been named? What Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 What Shutup...I understood....preach on clueless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redskinsnut Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Shutup...I understood....preach on clueless Exactly. He is saying the models are acting bi-polar and since they can't agree whether we are getting snow or sleet we are going to get sneet. Now we just need a name for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I like the 00z GFS through 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I like the 00z GFS through 72 what Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 GFS has over-running snow Monday night/Tuesday. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 what huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 CAD holding on tight through 102 hours. Still over-running snow through Tuesday night. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 GFS looks like massive ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 That is one amazing specimen of weather. Road trip would need to be to MO however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 huh you remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Isn't this the part where midlo posts the rainy smilie or tell us its gon rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Plain rain by 114---- meh. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 ugly....ice storm cancel...no snow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 GFS looks pretty strong with the primary..... Overunning, 0.3" ice, then rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Pretty close to an ice storm. N/MD gets a lot of ice this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 every run has gotten warmer since yesterday...this one is over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 every run has gotten warmer since yesterday...this one is over That's nice. Turn your computer off then and don't track this one please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Meh, at least we had one good storm this winter.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Looks like significant icing further up I-95 into SNE. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 every run has gotten warmer since yesterday...this one is over lol wut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 too bad the euro is still good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 actually...in the front end..i get .27 of qpf with very cold 850 temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 actually...in the front end..i get .27 of qpf with very cold 850 temps at this pt it might be best to hope we miss the backend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 gfs is probably 4 inches of snow for Leesburg and .15 of ice...still very cold at 12z on Wed after .50 has fallen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Ji has a point, 48 hours ago I said this had good potential as long as the storm did not trend more amplified. We needed the more strung out look at h5 where no one vort amplified. The trends since then on all models is to bundle the energy more and have a more amplified solution. This wont work for us, and if that solution is right the warming on the GFS is just it catching up to reality. We need the surface low to be weak and suppressed. Nothing is showing that anymore. We had 2 scenario's, one good and one bad and it looks like the bad is looking much more likely now. We could still get some ice and perhaps a little snow if there is a front runner, but the chances of a significant snow are becoming very low at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Ji has a point, 48 hours ago I said this had good potential as long as the storm did not trend more amplified. We needed the more strung out look at h5 where no one vort amplified. The trends since then on all models is to bundle the energy more and have a more amplified solution. This wont work for us, and if that solution is right the warming on the GFS is just it catching up to reality. We need the surface low to be weak and suppressed. Nothing is showing that anymore. We had 2 scenario's, one good and one bad and it looks like the bad is looking much more likely now. We could still get some ice and perhaps a little snow if there is a front runner, but the chances of a significant snow are becoming very low at this time. at least sne will get snow http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_500_126m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 Ji has a point, 48 hours ago I said this had good potential as long as the storm did not trend more amplified. We needed the more strung out look at h5 where no one vort amplified. The trends since then on all models is to bundle the energy more and have a more amplified solution. This wont work for us, and if that solution is right the warming on the GFS is just it catching up to reality. We need the surface low to be weak and suppressed. Nothing is showing that anymore. We had 2 scenario's, one good and one bad and it looks like the bad is looking much more likely now. We could still get some ice and perhaps a little snow if there is a front runner, but the chances of a significant snow are becoming very low at this time. this aint no Psuhoffman storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I agree storm cancel. When the models lock rain at 114 hours away, it never goes back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Early bailers make me sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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