yoda Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 lol. i hope i never have a storm named after me. then you have to live up to knowing something. i dont like ice.. i wont get excited about it if that's what the outcome is. unless we get 1"+. Ok LC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 lol. i hope i never have a storm named after me. then you have to live up to knowing something. i dont like ice.. i wont get excited about it if that's what the outcome is. unless we get 1"+. I love ice and am down for as big an ice storm as we are allowed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I love ice and am down for as big an ice storm as we are allowed. I am not really looking forward to more than half inch of ice IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Ok LC it's useless and most of the time nothing more than an inconvenience that disappears quickly. if i can see hundreds of trees go down it might make it more worthwhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 it's useless and most of the time nothing more than an inconvenience that disappears quickly. if i can see hundreds of trees go down it might make it more worthwhile. While true, an ice storm of that magnitude would destroy the DC area power grid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 While true, an ice storm of that magnitude would destroy the DC area power grid it's suffering... might as well put it out of its misery at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 It's winter weather, it's interesting regardless. People like tracking severe weather outbreaks/tornados too, and hurricanes, and they bring plenty of suffering as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 18Z DGEX was another great run for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 18Z DGEX was another great run for us I thought the DGEX was banned? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I thought the DGEX was banned? Only when it shows something we don't like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 some signs that winter ends mid Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 http://raleighwx.ame...emblep12120.gif 850 0c line goes north of us... but barely... we get up to +2 at 120... and then it collapses back south as the coastal takes over. Can't tell 2m temps... but it looks like snow to ice to maybe rain back to snow At 108.. 850 line is in N VA... but there is a 1031 H in NY... so i call bogus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 it's useless and most of the time nothing more than an inconvenience that disappears quickly. if i can see hundreds of trees go down it might make it more worthwhile. Dude, just come on up to Bethesda and you can see all the trees and limbs down you could ask for. Just got power back an hour ago, still about 41 degrees in my house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 some signs that winter ends mid Feb didnt it end 10 days ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 http://raleighwx.ame...emblep12120.gif 850 0c line goes north of us... but barely... we get up to +2 at 120... and then it collapses back south as the coastal takes over. Can't tell 2m temps... but it looks like snow to ice to maybe rain back to snow At 108.. 850 line is in N VA... but there is a 1031 H in NY... so i call bogus i think this looks colder initially on models than the ice storm did. so i wonder if the ultimate solution will be colder. i.e., more sleet/snow than ice etc. that is if the low doesnt go to chicago and roast us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 didnt it end 10 days ago? nope, 12, but it was brought back to life on Wednesday let's all hope it wasn't a false reincarnation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 some signs that winter ends mid Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 nope, 12, but it was brought back to life on Wednesday let's all hope it wasn't a false reincarnation at this pt i'll have to believe it when i see it. nina tends to have an OK finish around here. i'm surprised we have not seen a break and if one comes mid-feb we obviously start running out of time pretty quickly unless it's really short lived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 at this pt i'll have to believe it when i see it. nina tends to have an OK finish around here. i'm surprised we have not seen a break and if one comes mid-feb we obviously start running out of time pretty quickly unless it's really short lived. fwiw, JB thinks March (sometime) into April will be real cold and wintry in the NE after warm up starting mid-Feb but he was wrong on his original winter idea, so he could be wrong again I hear Euro weeklies get warm on the entire east coast starting Valentine's Day'ish hey, it is what it is; at least this has been an active year, dud or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 fwiw, JB thinks March (sometime) into April will be real cold and wintry in the NE after warm up starting mid-Feb but he was wrong on his original winter idea, so he could be wrong again I hear Euro weeklies get warm on the entire east coast starting Valentine's Day'ish hey, it is what it is; at least this has been an active year, dud or not it's possible... and a break around then may shut us out unless it snaps back quick by the end of the mo/early march. im sure hartford will get a hecs in march and then a 12" snow late April to finish or something. it has been active.. and this last storm was a game-changer for winter in/near the city at least. we're not far off getting into that avg range now at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 fwiw, JB thinks March (sometime) into April will be real cold and wintry in the NE after warm up starting mid-Feb but he was wrong on his original winter idea, so he could be wrong again I hear Euro weeklies get warm on the entire east coast starting Valentine's Day'ish hey, it is what it is; at least this has been an active year, dud or not I would like to get at least two more events in if this is true....the big 4-6" then .50 ice event next week then Ian's 2' HECS soon to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 at this pt i'll have to believe it when i see it. nina tends to have an OK finish around here. i'm surprised we have not seen a break and if one comes mid-feb we obviously start running out of time pretty quickly unless it's really short lived. March has had some pretty big snows in the north/west suburbs but I was shocked when I looked at local climo how DC had problems getting much snow in almost all of those storms. It seems its not too late into mid March if you are out near IAD or up by Fredrick or my area, but in DC its hard. My biggest snow on record for Westminster was March 30th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 new run of SREFs at 87 hrs put DCA/BWI into .25"+ qpf with 850s <0 and thicknesses < 540 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THEREALTOR1 Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Just a quick question, can someone explain how this wv image translates to the projected path of the L, because I don't see where they match up at all. Obviously i'm missing something much more in depth than what little knowledge I do have. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I would like to get at least two more events in if this is true....the big 4-6" then .50 ice event next week then Ian's 2' HECS soon to follow. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_p60_336m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 new run of SREFs at 87 hrs put DCA/BWI into .25"+ qpf with 850s <0 and thicknesses < 540 With these west to east overrunning events there is almost always a front running piece of energy that escapes and runs out ahead faster then any of the models indicate from 5 days out. If the main storm amplifies that front runner is all we get, if the second low remains suppressed its just the tease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 With these west to east overrunning events there is almost always a front running piece of energy that escapes and runs out ahead faster then any of the models indicate from 5 days out. If the main storm amplifies that front runner is all we get, if the second low remains suppressed its just the tease. I agree that's the way it usually goes, hence I'll take whatever I can get asap and the he!! with the supposed "big" event otoh, all the models seem to be advertising the overrunning prior to the main show, so I'll take that too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 March has had some pretty big snows in the north/west suburbs but I was shocked when I looked at local climo how DC had problems getting much snow in almost all of those storms. It seems its not too late into mid March if you are out near IAD or up by Fredrick or my area, but in DC its hard. My biggest snow on record for Westminster was March 30th. yeah i was thinking the me to mitch corridor mainly but have there been many big march events (i know 09 of course) of late even in elevation? generally march is a cool month but latitude and elevation become pretty important quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 With these west to east overrunning events there is almost always a front running piece of energy that escapes and runs out ahead faster then any of the models indicate from 5 days out. If the main storm amplifies that front runner is all we get, if the second low remains suppressed its just the tease. i like the potential for a few inches with the front runner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 i like the potential for a few inches with the front runner I wish we could push that 0-850 line south another 50+ miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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