buckeye Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 12z JMA ftw haha what's it got? oh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 OT.. Hoosier, why arent pics showing up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 what's it got? 12Z JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 12Z JMA that settles it... sushi for dinner! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 that settles it... sushi for dinner! Not yet, no one showed the LOLGAPs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 HA HA JMA!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 It would have been nice to get our inland bomb but all I was looking for on the 12z Euro was that it wouldn't trend even worse or stay the same. It didn't and in fact there was a positive baby step. Next 1 or 2 runs will be very important. Yeah I would rather be in you or Bucky's corner than JI's for snow and not rain. Hope for another baby step tonight, Gone Fishing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 It's going to be intersting watching which way the NAM trends since it seems to be pretty agressive with the Pac storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Can someone post the LOLOGAPS Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 GFS has 4-7 inches here. The ukmet smashes us, the gem is a bit norh, the GFS ensemble mean gives us snow as well. the euro is the odd man out so far. but it seems even without a major phase I can still get snow..we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 GFS has 4-7 inches here. The ukmet smashes us, the gem is a bit norh, the GFS ensemble mean gives us snow as well. the euro is the odd man out so far. but it seems even without a major phase I can still get snow..we will see. Yeah I actually like the looks of this right now haha...even the Euro still gives me a couple inches of snow. Looks like it would take a pretty aggressive phase for this to be mainly rain in the OKC area...of course I wouldn't totally rule that out yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 So its likely the euro is showing its bias with holding energy back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 So its likely the euro is showing its bias with holding energy back? likely isn't the word i'd use. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 admitteldy i do like the teleconnections which i know are only a part of the puzzle......but at least when we get up to my lattitude, they are a major part of the puzzle. the door is open if something wants to cooperate....however with the huge PV over hudsons bay, we will need some phasing to bring it north and the pac ridge is eating up energy for breakfast..... more likely, as of right now looking at models and teleconnections, looks to be a classic overrunner which when taking into consideration end of jan climo in the eastern lakes, favors the SW ontario/OV/NYS along and south of I-90 and SNE corridor. alternatively, we end up with a useless scenario which passes harmlessly off the SE or southern coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 +AO/NAO and the low is STILL in GA? What the fook has to happen for things to pull north this year?? Have to wonder if the Euro trends back north and stronger...But can't ignore seasonal trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 admitteldy i do like the teleconnections which i know are only a part of the puzzle......but at least when we get up to my lattitude, they are a major part of the puzzle. the door is open if something wants to cooperate....however with the huge PV over hudsons bay, we will need some phasing to bring it north and the pac ridge is eating up energy for breakfast..... more likely, as of right now looking at models and teleconnections, looks to be a classic overrunner which when taking into consideration end of jan climo in the eastern lakes, favors the SW ontario/OV/NYS along and south of I-90 and SNE corridor. alternatively, we end up with a useless scenario which passes harmlessly off the SE or southern coast. Another NAM run about to fire up, lets see how many more it has in the tank before it starts the downward trend with the Pac storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Another NAM run about to fire up, lets see how many more it has in the tank before it starts the downward trend with the Pac storm. Why the sad face? You had your dog piss cover snow today!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Why the sad face? You had your dog piss cover snow today!! I'm not sure i even got that much. I'm trying to keep the faith that we get a decent storm through the Pac ridge but it's an uphill battle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 You know what is starting to bother me... We have had like 1 sunny day in the last 20 days. Its starting to get to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 You know what is starting to bother me... We have had like 1 sunny day in the last 20 days. Its starting to get to me. Yeap I think 2 here or something along those lines. Its been pretty dull around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 18Z NAM through 42 will likely be closer to the GFS this round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 You know what is starting to bother me... We have had like 1 sunny day in the last 20 days. Its starting to get to me. That's what it's like here in Western Michigan the whole winter...people start getting pretty grumpy. But then it's the opposite in the summer, where it's one beautiful sunny day after another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 18Z NAM through 42 will likely be closer to the GFS this round. yeah, should still be better but i think we're going to start seeing the trend down with this run. Northern piece def west of the GFS so they'll likely phase at least somewhat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 You know what is starting to bother me... We have had like 1 sunny day in the last 20 days. Its starting to get to me. THAT"S CALLED "MICHIGRAY" You are right, we dont get the snow, on top of that we barely get any sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 You know what is starting to bother me... We have had like 1 sunny day in the last 20 days. Its starting to get to me. That's just not true. We've had at least 2 completely sunny days and 7 partly cloudy days. http://www.weather.gov/climate/getclimate.php?wfo=dtx CLEAR (SCALE 0-3) 2 PTCLDY (SCALE 4-7) 7 CLOUDY (SCALE 8-10) 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Large shift towards fail from 12z to 18z. Much less phasing and a decided step towards a GFS type solution. EDIT: looks worse than i tought by 72, orphan vort sliding down the coast as the northern piece gets ready to dump down the cold. The debate over how cloudy michigan is, is really boring btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 That's just not true. We've had at least 2 completely sunny days and 7 partly cloudy days. http://www.weather.gov/climate/getclimate.php?wfo=dtx CLEAR (SCALE 0-3) 2 PTCLDY (SCALE 4-7) 7 CLOUDY (SCALE 8-10) 17 Call me mr stupid...but I cant recall remember 7 partly cloudy days. Sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 0z runs tonight will be interesting to see. At least we have a couple of models that are looking good at this moment in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Call me mr stupid...but I cant recall remember 7 partly cloudy days. Sorry WEll Mr. Stupid, we had several sunny days (or partly cloudy, whatever you want ot call them) not only within the past week (January 21st and 22nd I believe), but we also had some a couple (if not a few days) behind (or ahead) the 3-5" clipper earlier this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Careful. Sampling of the northern stream is critical. This goes right to the weakest part of model sampling. It may not phase as quick, but it may phase. sure it wasn't a major difference, but it will have major implications down the road, it's possible we trend back, but i'm not holding my breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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