baroclinic_instability Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Through 48 it looks GFS like--maybe a tad W with the northern stream but also S with the western wave. It won't be a full on phase here, but it may kick out as a good storm if the timing is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 On 1/27/2011 at 5:21 PM, prinsburg_wx said: 12Z ggem 132/144 looking at those images, we stay all snow here. and a big dump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 12z Euro looks exactly like the 0z EURO so far imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dschreib Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 On 1/27/2011 at 5:58 PM, snowstormcanuck said: I can't believe this is happening almost exactly 2 years later. Beware. Those of us from St. Louis are hoping this is happening almost exactly 29 years later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 On 1/27/2011 at 6:00 PM, Hoosier said: Quiet...I mentioned that in the last thread but only because I was going to be closing it. No bad vibes allowed here. lol, you must have suspended Alek then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Southern states are going to cash in with a storm of some type no doubt. Now it just depends on how far N it comes. Currently the western wave is farther S than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 On 1/27/2011 at 5:55 PM, dmc76 said: Well you have to.. A Low will come up lose its energy and transfers another low of the coast. Thats what I think might happen yeah I guess you all kind of get screwed when that happens. We have kind of a situation like that with cold air and the Ozarks. Typically arctic air hangs up over the Ozarks, so areas along and NW of I-44 see decent wintry precip and areas south of there get rain. My area sometimes will have just enough cold air to produce freezing rain and sleet while areas 40 miles farther NW get snow. It's pretty frustrating and it's pretty much what the GGEM is trying to show, heh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 On 1/27/2011 at 6:10 PM, JoMo said: yeah I guess you all kind of get screwed when that happens. We have kind of a situation like that with cold air and the Ozarks. Typically arctic air hangs up over the Ozarks, so areas along and NW of I-44 see decent wintry precip and areas south of there get rain. My area sometimes will have just enough cold air to produce freezing rain and sleet while areas 40 miles farther NW get snow. It's pretty frustrating and it's pretty much what the GGEM is trying to show, heh. I think you are in a great spot right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 I don't think i'm going to like the Euro, looking good for southern plains folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 HR 84 has a 1012 low down in S. Texas with another 1008 low in Utah. 0z EURO had a 1014 low or so in Utah at the same time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 On 1/27/2011 at 6:10 PM, baroclinic_instability said: Southern states are going to cash in with a storm of some type no doubt. Now it just depends on how far N it comes. Currently the western wave is farther S than the GFS. looking at that its hard to believe anything can cut.....unless it phases BIG time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 On 1/27/2011 at 6:11 PM, buckeye said: looking at that its hard to believe anything can cut.....unless it phases BIG time with a wide miss like that, it won't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 On 1/27/2011 at 6:11 PM, buckeye said: looking at that its hard to believe anything can cut.....unless it phases BIG time I was thinking the same...how can it not cut? Its got the room to at least cut to near the Ohio River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Is it going to be solution A!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 AT 96 looks interesting. Bad tilt but if it "kicked out" ahead of the northern stream and de-amplified there is hope for northern regions. Only way it would "kick-out" is if there is a northern stream wave similar to the GFS still in development though. I don't see it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 On 1/27/2011 at 6:13 PM, dmc76 said: I was thinking the same...how can it not cut? Its got the room to at least cut to near the Ohio River. I think you misunderstood him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 On 1/27/2011 at 6:11 PM, Alek said: I don't think i'm going to like the Euro, looking good for southern plains folks. Yep. This one one will finally be our storm, for a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 0z EURO 114: 1016 low down in C. Mexico 12z EURO 102: 1008 low in New Mexico. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 On 1/27/2011 at 6:14 PM, Madmaxweather said: Is it going to be solution A!!!!!!!!!!!! Those are fighting words around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Well at least its not worse than last night.. Pretty hard to be though.. That was one hot mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 On 1/27/2011 at 6:15 PM, Alek said: I think you misunderstood him I was thinking total opposite of him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 On 1/27/2011 at 6:13 PM, dmc76 said: I was thinking the same...how can it not cut? Its got the room to at least cut to near the Ohio River. no, i meant i can't see it cutting...unless it can do a ukie-esque phase meh, if that vort over canada rolls on its belly and elongates, it might have room Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 On 1/27/2011 at 6:15 PM, baroclinic_instability said: AT 96 looks interesting. Bad tilt but if it "kicked out" ahead of the northern stream and de-amplified there is hope for northern regions. Only way it would "kick-out" is if there is a northern stream wave similar to the GFS still in development though. I don't see it here. Yeah it's not going to, just have to hope the Euro is being too agressive with digging the southern piece into the southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 On 1/27/2011 at 6:05 PM, snowstormcanuck said: lol, you must have suspended Alek then. I haven't been that bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 On 1/27/2011 at 6:17 PM, buckeye said: no, i meant i can't see it cutting...unless it can do a ukie-esque phase meh, if that vort over canada rolls on its belly and elongates, it might have room I see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Wow that's really far south at 120, heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 What the.... it digs the southern wave into Mexico. It looks like the Mexico snow storm Alek talked about like 4-5 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 lol Texas snowstorm at hr 126. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 On 1/27/2011 at 6:21 PM, baroclinic_instability said: What the.... it digs the southern wave into Mexico. It looks like the Mexico snow storm Alek talked about like 4-5 days ago. The Euro loves to dig live a groundhog in the southwest, if those two pieces don't play ball earlier on like in this run, i can see it happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 There is a 1007 hpa low south of the Rio in Mexico about to track into the Gulf or southern TX. Wow. It looks like it wants to bomb on the EC possibly if this ejects in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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