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End of January/early February storm potential part 2


Hoosier

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Select cities:

OMA: 1.34"

DSM: 1.73"

MSP: 0.18"

LSE: 0.47"

DVN: 1.35"

JLN: 0.81"

OKC: 0.67"

STL: 0.94"

ORD: 1.16"

MKE: 0.80"

DTW: 1.50"

LAF: 1.37"

PAH: 0.77"

CMH: 1.88"

DAY: 1.64"

YYZ: 0.78"

WOWZA at a lot of those numbers especially those that stay all snow.

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Lucky we have help to the north or else we all would be getting pissed on at some point. Nice storm on the Euro but it really could be something special with a little more room to work with.

A system like this might have a hit of help from Lake Michigan in your area.

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Select cities:

OMA: 1.34"

DSM: 1.73"

MSP: 0.18"

LSE: 0.47"

DVN: 1.35"

JLN: 0.81"

OKC: 0.67"

STL: 0.94"

ORD: 1.16"

MKE: 0.80"

DTW: 1.50"

LAF: 1.37"

PAH: 0.77"

CMH: 1.88"

DAY: 1.64"

YYZ: 0.78"

Yeah, that's definitely our biggest storm of the year. Need a little 25 mile nudge to the north to get into that sweet action that DTW's in.

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as I said the Euro would get all of the play and the rest would be ignored.

anyways...the 12z JMA it is much further south about the GFS maybe colder and crushes SW MO to LAF and east with STL and INDY and other placed screwed by the euro getting nailed.

totp_sfc_f138.png

pretty much all of that in MO and IL is snow except the far south..

LAF to DET gets 1+ feet on this run

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1.16 for ORD... is that all snow?

Now, some serious, non trolling questions: If LAF is all sleet, or freezing rain, what are the chances of that type of precip issue coming farther north?

We are 5-6 days out from this, given atmospheric conditions, can this thing go farther north or west? I notice their appears to be a strong low over N Canada, and a high pressure area above the CAN/US border. Can this impede any more N or NW movement? Also, can it also force the storm farther SE? What role (if any) can that low up in Canada (which looks pretty impressive by the way) play in all of this?

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as I said the Euro would get all of the play and the rest would be ignored.

anyways...the 12z JMA it is much further south about the GFS maybe colder and crushes SW MO to LAF and east with STL and INDY and other placed screwed by the euro getting nailed.

totp_sfc_f138.png

pretty much all of that in MO and IL is snow except the far south..

LAF to DET gets 1+ feet on this run

That's the FIM not the JMA. Not sure how Detroit gets a foot plus per that map. They're right on the 0.50" line and it's contaminated anyways with the the QPF from tomorrow's clipper.

Regardless, that map is 2009-2010esque for mby.

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1.16 for ORD... is that all snow?

Now, some serious, non trolling questions: If LAF is all sleet, or freezing rain, what are the chances of that type of precip issue coming farther north?

We are 5-6 days out from this, given atmospheric conditions, can this thing go farther north or west? I notice their appears to be a strong low over N Canada, and a high pressure area above the CAN/US border. Can this impede any more N or NW movement? Also, can it also force the storm farther SE? What role (if any) can that low up in Canada (which looks pretty impressive by the way) play in all of this?

low to super low

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That would be an amzing storm,..but that won't happen.

It was much colder then.

850s were extremely cold and a warm nose at 800mb or so came north IIRC.

surface temps were in the single digits here when that started.

Yeah that had better antecedent cold, but it's not bad in this case. If we were to get a full phase/ejection, I think this would have a chance to be more impressive than '99 across the region on the larger scale.

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