Stebo Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 pretty darn good spot for a good snow here. Yeah, I like seeing this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 at 120 the height amplification translates downstream eastern lakes heights are about 75 or so miles further amped PV over quebec is shifted quite a bit north compared to the GFS should be enough to bring precip into SW ontario still tons of energy gets left behind.....wierd storm that way.....but if you look at 96 hours the standoff between the PV in one corner of the continent vs the trough out west in the other corner.....its almost like it ends in a draw lol, not squahsed and not fully phased either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 12z Euro delivers but sure has a funky look about it. At 120 hrs out, i think things are bound to get funkier. EURO is playing catch up I think... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I'll repeat it...this surface low track through IL/IN is actually a little south of the 00z run. From what I can tell, it would be significant ice problems in LAF. No doubt about that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Is anything reaching me or is it shaftsville like the GEM? I failed to mention YYZ, didn't I? Likely the best hit of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Just about every post here the next 12 hours will be how Iowa, N,. IL, Michigan gets hit and everything else will be discredited. So it doesn't matter, the reason being the euro is usually right when it starts trending NW each run. It is a horrible and ugly truth I dunno, I wouldn't take MSP out of the equation yet....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 so GFS furthest south, GEM in the middle and Euro most north. If you want to throw the UKIE in there, it'd probably be closer to the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I failed to mention YYZ, didn't I? Likely the best hit of the season. $$ and happyness for SSC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I failed to mention YYZ, didn't I? Likely the best hit of the season. wanna text me the qpf for ORD? lol gotta head into work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I dunno, I wouldn't take MSP out of the equation yet....... You can't really take anyone that lives in the GL, OV, and MW out of the equation yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I failed to mention YYZ, didn't I? Likely the best hit of the season. I was surprised it wasn't the first place you mentioned, since it's $ for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 1.28" for lincoln,ne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I'll repeat it...this surface low track through IL/IN is actually a little south of the 00z run. From what I can tell, it would be significant ice problems in LAF. Me too. WED 06Z 02-FEB -1.9 1.4 1012 93 100 0.60 554 544 WED 12Z 02-FEB -1.5 1.4 1005 94 70 0.48 545 541 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 True Madison/La Skivies dump with out it getting crunched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Before I make a short list i'll just say an axis from OMA to DTW is at or above 1" of QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 The only postive thing is we maxed out at 52F on 00z and now its 44....Lost 8 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 at 120 the height amplification translates downstream eastern lakes heights are about 75 or so miles further amped PV over quebec is shifted quite a bit north compared to the GFS should be enough to bring precip into SW ontario still tons of energy gets left behind.....wierd storm that way.....but if you look at 96 hours the standoff between the PV in one corner of the continent vs the trough out west in the other corner.....its almost like it ends in a draw lol, not squahsed and not fully phased either yeah i'm impressed by the height rises to the east despite the pug fugly ejecting of the southwest energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 wanna text me the qpf for ORD? lol gotta head into work. 1.16" thus far. If it changes I will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 What a messy config like canuk said. I am not sure what the models are trying to do with this. The only thing that looks certain in that we will have interaction with the PAC sw. After that, fantasy land. Maybe the thing will slow down ejected a piece and phase with the next s/w from Canada? Bizzare. yeah i agree Angry will be interesting to see how this plays out in future runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 yeah i'm impressed by the height rises to the east despite the pug fugly ejecting of the southwest energy. euro's been overdoing it in the east all year.....not sure back your way id hedge towards the GFS to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 lol qpf for cmh looks great. too bad it's all rain WED 06Z 02-FEB 2.6 1.8 1015 95 87 0.62 558 546 WED 12Z 02-FEB 4.1 2.8 1006 97 96 0.76 550 546 WED 18Z 02-FEB 8.7 1.1 1003 85 44 0.27 540 537 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I'd say this is pretty good model agreement, in the broader sense. Upper level features look roughly the same. All show heavy QPF. It's just minor differences (say, 100 miles?) in the sfc low track that determine where the heaviest QPF actually falls, and thermal issues. But for 5-6 days out, it's not bad at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 Me too. WED 06Z 02-FEB -1.9 1.4 1012 93 100 0.60 554 544 WED 12Z 02-FEB -1.5 1.4 1005 94 70 0.48 545 541 Looks like surface temps never make it to 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 lol qpf for cmh looks great. too bad it's all rain WED 06Z 02-FEB 2.6 1.8 1015 95 87 0.62 558 546 WED 12Z 02-FEB 4.1 2.8 1006 97 96 0.76 550 546 WED 18Z 02-FEB 8.7 1.1 1003 85 44 0.27 540 537 Yeap! Hopefully this is one of those RARE times the EURO isn't in the game... LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Yeap! Hopefully this is one of those RARE times the EURO isn't in the game... LOL yea, But that is unlikely. Im going to watch til sunday, and if we dont see improvement in the euro coming south and even the gfs south. Im going to wish this thing to cut west. I dont want the massive icestorm the gfs is showing and I dont want rain lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Looks like surface temps never make it to 30. That's a power line dropper right there. Yikes indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northernohio Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Man the Lake Erie shore is cuttin it way to close here for my liking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 euro's been overdoing it in the east all year.....not sure back your way id hedge towards the GFS to be honest. I've already been accused of humping the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguru Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 12z ECMWF spits out 12+ from Omaha to DTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Select cities: OMA: 1.34" DSM: 1.73" MSP: 0.18" LSE: 0.47" DVN: 1.35" JLN: 0.81" OKC: 0.67" STL: 0.94" ORD: 1.16" MKE: 0.80" DTW: 1.50" IND: 1.52" LAF: 1.37" PAH: 0.77" CMH: 1.88" DAY: 1.64" YYZ: 0.78" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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