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End of January/early February storm potential part 2


Hoosier

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See how cold its behind this bad boy? Just imagine all that ice=power outages=folks freezing to death... Question for you Ohio folks.. Do you really want to see this scenario? I mean if it was true we would be in some serious $hiT!!!

Wouldn't be bad here, but I wouldn't want to wish that on my home in Cincy LOL. Honestly I would always take rain and 33, 35, 40, even 50 degrees over that much ice. That is destructive...

Buckeye, careful what you wish for! We'll get a no phase and no storm based on seasonal trends :arrowhead::lightning:

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This is something we'll have to watch later on. The models are notorious for not handling the southward penetration of arctic air into the Plains.

Seems like they've been a little quick with it this winter, but i may be way off. Either way with the kind of great gulf flow and artic airmass nearby, something pretty good should pop along that boundary. Maybe it's the weenie in my, but that 850map and gulf flow screams WAA, i can't tell you how many times that is underdone.

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The baroclinic zone over the panhalndle area is looking more explosive each run.

by Wednesday Bowme will break his snow drought.:snowing:

edit: this winter screams nickel and dimes with misses to the south and east and pattern changer will hammer areas north and west of us

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I think we're getting to the point where we can assume that the stream interaction along the west coast is a done deal. The idea of keeping both s/ws separate a la the GFS runs previous from 12z yesterday is not going to pan out. What happens once the trough pulls out of the rockies is still undetermined.

I think i'm there too, now it's about how they emerge from the mountains and lee side cyclogenesis.

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Stupid decision to come peek at the GFS cost me a beautiful morning of ice fishing and a ride to the lake.. Now I get to drive myself 45 mins to meet them and I won't be able to get my drink on. When this storm tracking takes over my ice fishing and drinking with the gang I know I officially need help..

Gotta say right now I would rather be south east of here say around LAF.. But then I think back to 07/08 in this time frame and if I had a dollar for every time I seen someone say there is no way this thing can cut into that high or blocking I would've had enough money for a summers supply of Steele Reserve.. Major dysfunction is this is nothing like back then and the trend is no doubt not my friend.. At least its showing a little overunning or w/e love so it might not be a total whiff and others can hopefully get the big one. This isn't going to be our last biggie potential to track before winter is out either. I'm on the Josh Train for Feb.

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