dilly84 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 once again we are 5 days out and the track will be extremely wild as well as the intensity. good grief. Yea but I don't like seeing the euro go supressed today back to what it was showin with the big cutter. Not a good sign. At least for OV people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Gets up 11.7 C for CVG OUCH!!! rainstorm for us on the EURO... Good night folks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I understand given how sharply it turns eastward after going north that the precip may not be long lived, but how does Iowa get crushed and Southern Wisconsin not get in on the best action? It occuludes and weakens a ton, plus it shifts east then towards Ohio which shuts off the best precip to the south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 0.77" for ORD. Hey ChiStorm...How much QPF for Seymour, Indiana, although I know its mostly rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 2.50-3.00" of QPF just south of Omaha. All snow. How does it put out so much QPF for a storm that doesn't get all that strong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OhioValleyWx Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Omaha for all hours.... MON 12Z 31-JAN -8.5 -6.9 1028 87 44 0.01 555 533 MON 18Z 31-JAN -6.6 -8.7 1028 88 86 0.01 554 533 TUE 00Z 01-FEB -6.4 -9.3 1026 88 93 0.03 553 533 TUE 06Z 01-FEB -6.7 -10.9 1028 90 98 0.06 552 530 TUE 12Z 01-FEB -8.3 -12.6 1029 87 97 0.07 551 528 TUE 18Z 01-FEB -9.2 -13.2 1029 86 99 0.21 550 528 WED 00Z 02-FEB -9.4 -14.3 1028 85 95 0.36 548 527 WED 06Z 02-FEB -10.0 -14.7 1025 85 92 0.59 545 526 WED 12Z 02-FEB -12.1 -14.8 1024 83 88 0.78 541 523 WED 18Z 02-FEB -14.1 -13.6 1026 75 94 0.43 543 523 THU 00Z 03-FEB -14.9 -11.8 1028 65 68 0.05 545 524 2.6 QPF and then with nearly all falling under -10C or colder 850s and height fields below 528......65" of snow. Josh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 .49 for fsd from 06z monday to 18z wednesday msp = .28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I understand given how sharply it turns eastward after going north that the precip may not be long lived, but how does Iowa get crushed and Southern Wisconsin not get in on the best action? Blows its wad plowing into a High? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I'll create a list of cities for QPF... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 .49 for fsd from 06z monday to 18z wednesday cool, i'll take it considering wasn't expecting squat from this thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Omaha for all hours.... MON 12Z 31-JAN -8.5 -6.9 1028 87 44 0.01 555 533 MON 18Z 31-JAN -6.6 -8.7 1028 88 86 0.01 554 533 TUE 00Z 01-FEB -6.4 -9.3 1026 88 93 0.03 553 533 TUE 06Z 01-FEB -6.7 -10.9 1028 90 98 0.06 552 530 TUE 12Z 01-FEB -8.3 -12.6 1029 87 97 0.07 551 528 TUE 18Z 01-FEB -9.2 -13.2 1029 86 99 0.21 550 528 WED 00Z 02-FEB -9.4 -14.3 1028 85 95 0.36 548 527 WED 06Z 02-FEB -10.0 -14.7 1025 85 92 0.59 545 526 WED 12Z 02-FEB -12.1 -14.8 1024 83 88 0.78 541 523 WED 18Z 02-FEB -14.1 -13.6 1026 75 94 0.43 543 523 THU 00Z 03-FEB -14.9 -11.8 1028 65 68 0.05 545 524 2.6 QPF and then with nearly all falling under -10C or colder 850s and height fields below 528......65" of snow. Josh lincoln shows 2.8"qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OhioValleyWx Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 lincoln shows 2.8"qpf Yeah. See you in May when you dig out, lol. Josh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 GFK: 0.07" FSD: 0.49" OMA: 2.74" DLH: 0.08" MSP: 0.28" DSM: 2.04" MKC: 1.49" JLN: 1.00" TUL: 0.85" OKC: 0.72" LSE: 0.23" DVN: 1.07" STL: 0.90" PAH: 0.91" FLD: 0.32" MSN: 0.65" MKE: 0.99" ORD: 0.83" PIA: 1.10" LAF: 0.84" IND: 0.74" EVV: 0.89" GRR: 0.62" FWA: 0.78" SDF: 0.87" DTW: 0.61" CMH: 0.57" DAY: 0.64" CLE: 0.37" YYZ: 0.44" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I'm not buying the euro. I don't think it cuts that hard and I don't think anyone is going to see 60" of snow lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I'm not buying the euro. I don't think it cuts that hard and I don't think anyone is going to see 60" of snow lmao same here, but it would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 So this will be on shore and possibly be phasing by Sunday night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 LAF: 0.84" A lot of that looks like mix/ice. Still have to work out the phasing issues but a narrow zone could get quite an ice storm if things go right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 If everything comes together, there is a way this thing plays out like the EURO. Like Baro said before, there was a chance this could be a HUGE storm if everything falls in to place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Thanks Chicago Storm. Kind of worried about some of that being ice. Looks like at hr114-120 850 MB temps are +0-5. If we are 32 or below, look out :-\ However it's still a long way off and it'll probably end up even farther west, heh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Chi is that with the clipper for tommorow night, or is that QPF just for this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Chi is that with the clipper for tommorow night, or is that QPF just for this storm? This system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 The GEM ensemble mean is much further South and East then the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguru Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 This system. Is ECMWF all snow for Chicago? I'd like a blend of ECMWF/GFS. If it wasent for the northern stream this would track up near MSP! EDIT: Chicagostorm pm will be sent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 If everything comes together, there is a way this thing plays out like the EURO. Like Baro said before, there was a chance this could be a HUGE storm if everything falls in to place. maybe for once it will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Is ECMWF all snow for Chicago? Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I expect a major winter event from roughly Joplin MO to Farmington MO(50 miles south of STL to around INDY or just NW. major snow band problably from South Central Kansas and Northern OK to COlumbia MO to Around Chicago probably south towards LAF. with cities on the south side of that like STL and LAF getting ice and snow. it will depend on how fast and hard it cuts... I think the euro is over done..the gem is probably a good bet or maybe bit more supressed...but there will be a major and wide spread event, we know that much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I expect a major winter event from roughly Joplin MO to Farmington MO(50 miles south of STL to around INDY or just NW. major snow band problably from South Central Kansas and Northern OK to COlumbia MO to Around Chicago probably south towards LAF. with cities on the south side of that like STL and LAF getting ice and snow. it will depend on how fast and hard it cuts... I think the euro is over done..the gem is probably a good bet or maybe bit more supressed...but there will be a major and wide spread event, we know that much too early to be making these calls.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Thanks as well Chicago Storm! I am actually pleasantly surprised this track gives out about an inch of QPF. When I read Chicago gets under .8, I figured we might have much less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 anyone have the JMA..and the FIM? I lost my link to the FIM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 anyone have the JMA..and the FIM? I lost my link to the FIM FIM JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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