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End of January/early February storm potential part 2


Hoosier

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I think....if this were to fully 2 vort max phase, you would be quite quite happy with the result. Maybe so happy, you wouldn't ever want to see another storm again. Because it just would never be the same.

Actually I probably would... LOL. In all seriousness, I have been trying to follow everyone's analysis on this system so far. I am holding out for a decent snow for the early part of next, week but trying not to get caught up right now, as it is only Thursday. However, enough seems to be going "right" as it were, that I am more interested in following this thing at this point. My feeling is, if this keeps up for another model run or two, I'll be looking forward to some snow for the first part of next week.

It would be a much needed break to the monotony that the pattern has been lately..

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GFS now shows significant ice storm in OKC, transitioning to snow in the end. Looking at the depth, strength, and orientation of the high on Monday, I think it may be underdoing the cold air intrustion, thus affecting p-types. Oh yeah, and it's still almost 4-5 days away.

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haven't seen how much of a wtod the ggem manages to bring north. Either way it's not happening like that. Gonna either cut or stay further southeast.

Good point. The dramatics of the GFS is a red flag overall. I have to side on more of a SE solution based on set up. Does not mean it will work that way but I like something in the middle between the Detroit Euro a few runs ago and the off the SC coast. It puts the low in SE KY or NE TN. Scary that the GFS ensemble mean is close to that track.

Josh

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scored a run on a sac fly too. Productive run for those craving a big storm.

LOL hitting the cycle tonight with the baseball references. GGEM looks to dump decent front end snows before the main storm arrives, kind of like what happened yesterday in philly. Looking good but as well know phasing is a touchy situation. Luckily we should know by sunday if we still have a chance.

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