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End of January/early February storm potential part 2


Hoosier

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Not all the region needs a phase as this run shows--but folks like you and folks in WI will probably need one in some manner.

Normally the amped up full phase jobs track N/W of me but I don't think I'd mind one of those in this setup. Antecedent arctic air looks like it would be dammed in place (see the 12z CMC which takes its sfc low to near Lk Michigan but keeps me snow or sleet).

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kCMH so far...

WED 06Z 02-FEB -7.2 -1.9 1026 89 97 0.01 557 536

WED 12Z 02-FEB -7.4 -1.1 1016 97 100 0.36 553 540

WED 18Z 02-FEB -6.5 -1.2 1008 97 100 0.50 545 538

THU 00Z 03-FEB -8.0 -9.2 1017 97 96 0.05 539 526

Now stop! No more north movement....yeah right!

Josh

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LOL. yea if the gfs barely phased, I can only imagine what the NAM or a more phased solution would look like. I would say maybe a MSp GB Iowa special.

I think that'd be tough

nam_500_084s.gif

PV over Baffin Island keeps confluence over the Lakes/suppresses the SE ridge. It'd probably be pretty good for us extrapolated, unless the PV just rolled east quickly.

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