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January 26-27 Storm Disco/Obs III


Baroclinic Zone

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Newport certainly was the screw-zone. In this area when storms track this close to the coast...if you don't cash in on the front-end thump you won't get much at all....because once the heaviest precip. from the front-end thump moves north...you're left with the dry slot or lighter precip....and once the heavy bands move east from CT and LI they always weaken when they reach Newport. Other than Block Island and SOME parts of the Cape, I probably had the least snow out of this. Little over 2 yesterday, and maybe 3 overnight.

I honestly think this time it wasn't really the track that got you, it was the little spin rotating around the m/l. The NAM for some reason flipped over it, did kind of recognize the dry punch we saw on the water vapor but greatly overplayed it north of the canal. Minus that little spin I think everything would have been 10-15 miles further south and you'd have been fine.

I dont ever remember there being 2, sometimes 3 mini circulations in each system aloft. it's like we cannot quite get all the vorticity to phase but instead have independent tiny centers rotating around. As that little one spun west south of long island - that's when it was just insane in CT.

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In the end, the Euro verifies pretty well in the days leading up to the event. Too bad it abandoned ship in the last 24 hrs. It does much better in the medium range than in the short range (strange). One run of the GFS had it pretty well, while all the other runs failed. The NAM was an epic FAIL. Say what you want about the 2 separate areas of moisture, fact is, it still tracked the storm OTS (convective feedback). To me, Euro is still king (especially 3 days out).

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OBS: 0.00" :devilsmiley: ...though I got .6" from some lake stuff this morning. It was fun driving through the white out down in the lower HV though yesterday on the way home from Long Island. If I had been an hour later I may have been stranded down there.

Maybe next week's storm with throw us a few inches.

just posted about next week briefly on John's thread. Looks nice.

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It all depends upon your IMBY perspective vis-a-vis the Euro.

Here it started with a mixed precip. cutter event at day 7, shifted to a coast hugging track and major snowstorm by day 4, then shifted to a BM or CC track for a few days with still significant qpf depicted here. Then slowly cut the qpf from .75 to .5 to .3 to Zero over the last 48 hours.

In the end, the Euro verifies pretty well in the days leading up to the event. Too bad it abandoned ship in the last 24 hrs. It does much better in the medium range than in the short range (strange). One run of the GFS had it pretty well, while all the other runs failed. The NAM was an epic FAIL. Say what you want about the 2 separate areas of moisture, fact is, it still tracked the storm OTS (convective feedback). To me, Euro is still king (especially 3 days out).

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Interesting... 15" Colchester just north of me but only 8.5" Norwich 10 miles east of Colchester. Also 17.5" in Lisbon just 6 miles NE of Norwich. Don't believe the Norwich for a second.. that must just be round 2. Even then it is still very low. 8.5 vs 17.5 within 6 miles of each other.. and there was no gradient/banding visible on radar that would explain it.

An impressive 12" even in Groton.

Old Saybrook 13" just across the river and south of me.

Sleet contamination not too bad on the shoreline.. I thought I would have a lot more than KGON.

The radar capture I posted tells why, Norwich was slotted during the epic five per hour.

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48" on the month.....only behind Jan 2005 (51.1") and Jan 1966 (50.5")

29" depth is my 3rd highest, behind only 30" in Feb 1978 and 40" in Feb 1969.

EPICEPICEPICEPIC

37" was on the ground after the Blizzard of 1978. At least 5" old left over from the (White Out of 1978) January 19-20 then.... 32" from the The Blizzard of 1978! The 36-40" sounds about correct after the Big Snow of 1969 (4 Days) of snow.:popcorn:

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Yeah that's just beyond nuts. That is probably one of the highest depths since 1888.

I took some measurements all around the yard and I got 32,33,35,38 and 42!! which is probably somewhat drifted..

So we'll call it a 33-35 inch snowpack in the yard. I told Will I thought it was 36 and certainly over 30. Just insanely deep..That map someone posted confirms it too of snowdepth.

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Just finished my driveway after starting around 8:00.. Wait till you guys see the snowbanks.. I'll post them in the pics thread after i get some lunch. I had people driving by and taking pictures of therm lol

Dude I am wooped, LOL I saw a guy with huge banks in Sterling, thought of you, can not wait to see.

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post-1203-0-97673300-1296152252.jpg

This is a shot of the gazebo in our front yard. We totalled15.5" here in the "Little Town of Mendon".

Makes sense, Northbridge to my west checked in with 15 and Milford a couple of miles to my east jackpotted at 16.4". I'd put total snow depth at over 25".

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