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January 26-27 Storm Disco/Obs III


Baroclinic Zone

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You should have come up and knocked! I would have come out.

Would do so happily! I probably won't make another round before sunrise (only about 1 hour of unplanned sleep 2-3am and actually do have to work today rolleyes.gif)... I'll give you a headsup if I head out again. I assume we are pretty close (I'm in the St. Paul Crossing complex) but not sure where I'd be knocking...?

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MPM should be impressed. 49 pages since I went to bed at 11:45

Bob JuJu FTW

Wiz's back will never recover

Will was chuckin' em left and right

Dom broke open his lockbox

Ray survived the sustinance subsistance synonym snaggle

Ginx will be measuring using his tower if he can make it there on closed roads

Scott calmly called the coastal calamity

Messenger nailed the nasty dual features

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Would do so happily! I probably won't make another round before sunrise (only about 1 hour of unplanned sleep 2-3am and actually do have to work today rolleyes.gif)... I'll give you a headsup if I head out again. I assume we are pretty close (I'm in the St. Paul Crossing complex) but not sure where I'd be knocking...?

1st row house on School St. Abuts the old Minsok Parking lot. I'm going to head out with the dog in about 30 minutes and then shovel for a spell before getting ready for work....getting through today will be a challenge but I got 3 and 1/2 hours sleep so not as bad as your situation.

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Would do so happily! I probably won't make another round before sunrise (only about 1 hour of unplanned sleep 2-3am and actually do have to work today rolleyes.gif)... I'll give you a headsup if I head out again. I assume we are pretty close (I'm in the St. Paul Crossing complex) but not sure where I'd be knocking...?

Look for the doctor walking his dog when it is -10F and he can't see through rimed glasses... probably him

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Question for the mets from last night. At what I think was peak development time like 5-7 pm I believe 10 mb/3hr drops were observed just off the MA coast which coincided with some pretty damn strong convective activity. Can the convection account for a more tucked in track and heavier pressure falls? Is it vice versa - that the pressure falls cause the instability and extreme lift? Or is it a positive feedback type cycle?

Reason I ask is since meso models sometimes obsess about convective induced pressure drops.

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Question for the mets from last night. At what I think was peak development time like 5-7 pm I believe 10 mb/3hr drops were observed just off the MA coast which coincided with some pretty damn strong convective activity. Can the convection account for a more tucked in track and heavier pressure falls? Is it vice versa - that the pressure falls cause the instability and extreme lift? Or is it a positive feedback type cycle?

Reason I ask is since meso models sometimes obsess about convective induced pressure drops.

That convection was associated with the ULL. As the ULL moves ne, it facilitated development near the Delmarva coast. This low didn't come much closer than we thought, but I think the ULL came a little more nw and also..we always see better banding to the nw..sometimes way nw of the max modeled qpf. I like to look at the mid level features to determine it, and the track of the mid level lows was classic with this one.

Usually, lots of deep convection down south over the GOM is what can pump up the downstream ridge via latent heat release. This increase in the sharpness of the ridge causes the low to move closer to the coast.

The convection is a result of instability, but convection itself doesn't cause instability directly.

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Fellow at Brigham... thankfully in a research year, otherwise this winter would be destroying me lol

Yes! This year is destroying me but if I was a resident I'd probably either wash out or die...lol. As it is.......I feel like I'm working 2 full time jobs....one of which is an obsession and the other requires utmost concentration....live for the weekends!

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