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NYC Area January 26-27 Bomb Discussion and OBS Part 4


earthlight

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I was curious if anyone verified the HRRR from earlier. I don't think I've heard of a 6''/hr total except for the mega lake effect bands and even that's rare I would think?

I believe it showed it in the mountains of Maryland and Virginia/west virginia....

which, in a storm with dynamics such as this one....is very possible

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Yup...plenty of potential with the gradient and overrunning pattern in that time frame.

Signal has been there. Beyond the clippers this weekend and the potential storm next week, the ice box opens up. What a winter. My christmas stuff is still frozen into the lawn and under a months worth of snowpack.

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well I graduated high school in 2005 back on long island I'm up at new york medical college in valhalla...Westchester climate FTW

ah nice!

Jesus just when I thought it couldnt get any heavier it does, all I hear are the snow plows in the parking alot down my street can't see **** easily 3" an hourthumbsupsmileyanim.gif

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What would truly be awesome and what would separate this winter from all others is to have snow on the ground for all of February as well. 2 straight months with snowcover would be unprecedented.

Signal has been there. Beyond the clippers this weekend and the potential storm next week, the ice box opens up. What a winter. My christmas stuff is still frozen into the lawn and under a months worth of snowpack.

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Just got back from my 3rd jebwalk, and Upper Manhattan is completely covered, nowhere to go, snow is piling up quick. I tried to grab a measurement, but pretty difficult since I didn't set up a place to measure, but looks like a solid 10" on the ground (but I could be wayyy offfff) all I know is that it is feet deep out there, sig accumulations, and that was 30 minutes ago, and still coming down heavily.

I don't want it to end. Simply amazing.

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What is the most important thing that I learned from this storm and from this winter in general ? THE MODELS DO NOT FULLY TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THE DYNAMICS OF STORMS. In some cases, the models can simulate banding and show 12" of snow, for example, over an area...and they will get only 6" as the banding might set up elsewhere and not be as strong or fully developed. OR, it can show 12" of snow....and the banding might set up nearby or elsewhere but be STRONGER than modeled...and suddenly...that area can get 20" ! These are VERY important things to take into consideration. However, basically...what it means...is that when making predictions....rather than a "general 6 to 10 inches" call....when dealing with storms such as this....a more honest call would be "models are showing a general 6 to 10 inches over the area...however...if this storm winds up as we feel it could....those areas or areas nearby could get amounts in the 15-20" range"

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MTA Bus Service is suspended, J line is suspended in both directions the whole way, A suspended from Euclid Ave to the Rockaways, definitely starting to sound like 12/26 and would be absolutely foolish for Bloomberg to not close schools tomorrow.

It's also a wetter, heavier snow than the storm from 2 weeks ago. Plus there's much more of it on the ground!

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Wow, now that is extremely impressive, you know this is one of those great ones when you start comparing it to '83 and '78.

hey perro como. where in NJ are you? That KU book will need a few more chapters after last season and this historic one.

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